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All Journal Syntax Literate: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia Equity: Jurnal Ekonomi Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Manajemen Al-Iqtishadiah: Jurnal Hukum Ekonomi Syariah Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences I-PHILANTHROPY: A Research Journal on Management of Zakat and Waqf AT TARIIZ : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam Menawan : Jurnal Riset dan Publikasi Ilmu Ekonomi Journal of Religion and Social Community
Menghayati, Oki Sapitri
Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Fatah Palembang
Religion Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences Other

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Trends, Volatility, and Growth in UM-PTKIN Admissions: Strategic Implications for State Islamic Higher Education Institutions Widi Cahya Adi; Miftahussadi’ah; Muhamad Rahman Bayumi; Oki Sapitri Menghayati
Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences (IJoMS) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences (IJoMS)
Publisher : CV. Era Digital Nusantara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59066/ijoms.v5i1.2261

Abstract

This study examines trends, growth, and volatility in UM-PTKIN admissions as strategic indicators of institutional adaptability within Indonesia’s State Islamic Higher Education system. Using longitudinal administrative data from 2022 to 2025, the study applies a quantitative descriptive–comparative approach to analyze admissions dynamics across different types of State Islamic Higher Education Institutions, namely State Islamic Universities (UIN), State Islamic Institutes (IAIN), and State Islamic Colleges (STAIN). Admissions performance is assessed through a horizontal trend index, compound annual growth rates (CAGR), and year-to-year volatility measures. The findings reveal a persistent national-level contraction in UM-PTKIN participation, indicating structural pressures affecting centralized admissions pathways. However, institutional-level analysis demonstrates pronounced heterogeneity. UIN institutions experience the sharpest decline, characterized by negative growth and high volatility, reflecting heightened exposure to national competition. IAIN institutions display mixed but relatively resilient trajectories, while STAIN institutions exhibit strong positive growth and sustained upward trends, despite overall system-level contraction. Volatility patterns further indicate that admissions instability is closely linked to institutional positioning rather than institutional scale alone. These results suggest that UM-PTKIN admissions dynamics function as strategic signals of enrolment governance capacity rather than as isolated performance outcomes. The study contributes to enrolment management and institutional differentiation literature by extending these frameworks to faith-based public higher education contexts. Policy implications highlight the need for differentiated enrolment governance strategies that recognize institutional heterogeneity to support sustainable admissions planning within Indonesia’s Islamic higher education system.
Co-Authors Adi, Widi Cahya Ahmad Martinus Aldaris Amelia Putri, Helen Ana Mariya BARKAH, QADARIAH Chastuti Alwallyah Fakhrina Hafizzallutfi, Hafizzallutfi Heri Junaidi Hilda Hilda M Farhan Wijaya Maulydia Anggraini Miftahussadi’ah Mitra Anggrainy Muhamad Rahman Bayumi Muhammad Edwinsyah Muhammad Iqbal Mutiara Muslimah Nur Azizah Rahmawati, Tri Putri Sirat Nispuana Siti Ambarwati Surtiningsih, Wati Tarissyaa, Uut Thia Fathona