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Journal : Journal of Applied Data Sciences

Enforcement of Community Activity Restrictions Level Prediction in Jakarta Using Long Short-Term Memory Network Dewangga, Chendra; Hansun, Seng
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 5, No 4: DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v5i4.318

Abstract

The implementation of restrictions on community activities (Pemberlakuan Pembatasan Kegiatan Masyarakat – PPKM) is a strategy from the Indonesian government in handling the spread of COVID-19. PPKM is divided into four levels which will determine the restriction types that are to be implemented in a region. In this study, we aim to build a website that can predict PPKM levels through COVID-19 daily positive and death cases recorded in the Jakarta City, Indonesia. The prediction system uses the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network and Node.JS as the backend of the website. We also introduced the usage of multivariate approach for this regression task by combining both daily positive and death cases number into the LSTM network. Based on the test scores obtained through evaluation using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), it was concluded that the proposed LSTM method could accurately predict the death cases with 0.17% MAPE and 22.68 RMSE but has poor performance in predicting the daily positive cases with 53.11% MAPE and 27.15 RMSE. This might be rooted from the use of multivariate approach during the model development where more variation to the daily positive cases was detected.
Co-Authors Abdul Q. M. Khaliq Airell, Thomas Albert Albert Alethea Suryadibrata Andre Rusli Andreas Budiman Andy Santoso Andy Tanu Ciaputra Arthur Bachtiar Gunawan Aryono, Teddy Audrey Sugiarto Audy Audy Audy Brian Kristianto Brinardi Leonardo Daniel Halim David Hartanto Kamagi David Widodo Dennis Gunawan Dennis Gunawan Dewangga, Chendra Dharma Pratama Edbert Wibowo Sumarlin Erik Tangganu Erikson Marbun Erwin Ruslim Sia Fandy Ferdian Harryanto Farica Perdana Putri Fransiscus Xaverius Syahasta A.T. Halim, Rendy Hargyo Tri Nugroho I. Hayanto, Naufal Irfan Hendry Setiawan Henry Setiana Hugeng Hugeng Indah Noviasari Irma Yunita Ivan Oktana Ivana Herliana W. Jayawardanu Jason Christian Jessica Jessica Jessika Wandapranata Jhondry, Michael John Elmer Semaya John, Richard Joko Haryanto Julio Christian Young Kencana Wulan Argakusumah Kevin kevin Kristanda, Marcel Bonar Kristanda, Marcel Bonar Kristian Kristian Kristian Tjandradiredja Lesmana, Dennis Johanes Lucy Meiliana M. Chaeril Maricar Marbun, Erikson Marcel Bonar Kristanda Marcel Bonar Kristanda Marsel Widjaja Marvin Apriyadi Monica Santika Muh Salehuddin Muhammad Salehuddin Oktavianus, Alvin P. M. Winarno Pandean, Santo Sinar Peggy Peggy Rasi Rahwali Renaldo Valentdra Rendy Rendy Rizky Zaldi, Mochamad Simon Salomon Sirait, Gilbert Stanley Sutedy Stefanie Sirapanji Stephanie Halim Subanar . subanar subanar Sumarlin, Edbert Wibowo Sutedy, Stanley Teddy Aryono Vincentius Wirawan William Aprilius Wiratama, Yustinus Widya Wiratama, Yustinus Widya Wiryaputra, Samuel Yosua Petra Yosua Petra, Yosua Yustinus Vernanda Yustinus Widya Wiratama Yustinus Widya Wiratama