Maria Ratna Marisa Ginting
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PENGARUH TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA, NILAI TUKAR DAN INFLASI TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM (Studi Pada Sub-Sektor Perbankan Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2011-2015) Maria Ratna Marisa Ginting; . Topowijono; Sri Sulasmiyati
Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis Vol 35, No 2 (2016): JUNI
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Administrasi Universitas Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (443.823 KB)

Abstract

The monetary situation and the movement of macroeconomic variables are things that must be considered an investor in the stock trading activity in a country. The economic situation and fluctuations in macro variables in one country can affect the stock price, including the banking sector. This study aimed to examine the effect of macroeconomic variables, namely interest rate (BI Rate), the exchange rate and inflation to changes in stock prices.This study uses quantitative methods. The population in this study are all banking companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period 2011-2015. Sample selection technique is by using purposive sampling method. Based on predetermined criteria, acquired 29 banking companies sampled in this study. Data analysis techniques in this study using multiple linear regression analysis.The results showed that the variables simultaneously BI Rate, Exchange Rate and Inflation significant effect on stock price of banks. Partially, variable BI Rate and Inflation was a significant influence on stock price, while the variable Exchange Rates significant influence on stock price. Keywords: BI Rate, Exchange Rate, Inflation, Stock Price ABSTRAK Situasi moneter dan pergerakan variabel makro ekonomi adalah hal yang harus diperhatikan seorang investor dalam melakukan aktivitas perdagangan saham di suatu negara. Keadaan ekonomi dan fluktuasi variabel makro dalam suatu negara dapat mempengaruhi harga saham, termasuk dalam sektor perbankan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh variabel makro ekonomi yaitu tingkat suku bunga (BI Rate), nilai tukar dan inflasi terhadap perubahan harga saham. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah seluruh perusahaan perbankan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada periode 2011-2015. Teknik pemilihan sampel yaitu dengan menggunakan metode purposive sampling. Berdasarkan kriteria yang telah ditentukan, diperoleh 29 perusahaan perbankan yang menjadi sampel dalam penelitian ini. Teknik analisis data dalam penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan variabel BI Rate, Nilai Tukar dan Inflasi berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Harga Saham Perbankan. Secara parsial, variabel BI Rate dan Inflasi tidak terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap Harga Saham, sedangkan variabel Nilai Tukar terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap Harga Saham. Kata kunci: BI Rate, Nilai Tukar, Inflasi, Harga Saham
The Effect of Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inflation on Stock Prices, Moderated by CAR (A Study of the Banking Industry on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, 2021–2025) Maria Ratna Marisa Ginting; Muchlis Mas’ud; Darmoko; Hanif Rani Iswari; Survival
Journal of Education and Teaching Learning Vol.4 No.1 July (2026)
Publisher : PT MEDIA JURNAL DAN PENDIDIKAN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59211/mjpjetl.v4i1.318

Abstract

This study aims to analyze and examine the influence of macroeconomic factors, consisting of Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inflation, on Stock Prices in banking sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2021–2025 period. Furthermore, this study also examines the role of the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) as a moderating variable in moderating the effects of interest rates, exchange rates, and inflation on these stock prices. The research method employed is an explanatory research approach with an ex post facto design. The population in this study comprises all banking companies listed on the IDX during the 2021–2025 period. The sampling technique utilizes a purposive sampling method based on specific criteria, resulting in a sample of 44 banking companies for observation. The data used are secondary data, including annual financial statements and official macroeconomic indicator data. The data analysis method applies Panel Data Regression Analysis with a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) approach, processed using EViews 14 statistical software. The results of the study indicate that: 1) Interest Rates have a negative and significant effect on Stock Prices. 2) Exchange Rates have a positive and significant effect on Stock Prices. 3) Inflation has a positive and significant effect on Stock Prices. 4) CAR is able to moderate the effect of Interest Rates on Stock Prices, classified as a Pure Moderator. 5) CAR is unable to moderate the effect of Exchange Rates on Stock Prices, classified as a Predictor Moderator. 6) CAR is able to moderate the effect of Inflation on Stock Prices, classified as a Quasi Moderator in the banking industry on the IDX for the 2021–2025 period.