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Journal : JAS (Journal of ASEAN Studies)

Macroeconomic Determinants of Auto Sales in ASEAN: An Empirical Study in Five Major ASEAN Countries Suwinto Johan
JAS (Journal of ASEAN Studies) Vol. 8 No. 2 (2020): Journal of ASEAN Studies
Publisher : Centre for Business and Diplomatic Studies (CBDS) Bina Nusantara University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21512/jas.v8i2.6621

Abstract

This research examines the determinants of car sales in ASEAN countries. The research concentrates on five macroeconomic variables (consumer price index, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, changes in gross domestic product per capita, foreign exchange rate, and interest rate). The total sample is 12 years of automobile sales in five ASEAN countries from 2005 – 2016. The five ASEAN countries are Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, and Vietnam. This paper used the multilinear regression method with Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) software to test the research model. For interest-rate variables, we used a lag of one year. The empirical results show that the previous period for inflation, gross domestic product per capita, interest rate, and the foreign exchange rate significantly influenced on car sales in five ASEAN countries. The growth of GDP per capita does not influence car sales.
Does Terrorism Still Spread Fear to ASEAN’s Financial Market? Johan, Suwinto
JAS (Journal of ASEAN Studies) Vol. 12 No. 1 (2024): Journal of ASEAN Studies
Publisher : Centre for Business and Diplomatic Studies (CBDS) Bina Nusantara University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21512/jas.v12i1.7389

Abstract

The research aimed to examine the financial markets’ responses to terrorist attacks in Southeast Asia. Market reactions were a reflection of public sentiment. The market reaction was calculated using the stock index indicator and the currency exchange rate of the country relative to the US Dollar. The research employed a paired test to compare the period prior to and following the terrorist attack. The research used Wilcoxon Test to examine 38 terrorist attacks across four Southeast Asian nations: Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, and Malaysia. The research concludes that the stock index exhibits both normal and abnormal returns between pre-incident and post-incident periods. Post-incident returns are higher than pre-incident returns. Stockholders are not required to sell their existing holdings in response to a terrorist attack. Between pre-incident and post-incident investors who do not invest in the capital or money markets, the foreign exchange market does not exhibit significant changes. Investors can profit by purchasing stock or foreign currency on the day of the incident or one day afterwards and selling it three days later.