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                        METODE QUEST DAN CHAID PADA KLASIFIKASI KARAKTERISTIK NASABAH KREDIT 
                    
                    NUR FAIZA; 
I WAYAN SUMARJAYA; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 4 No 4 (2015) 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2015.v04.i04.p106                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
This aim of this research is to find out the classification results and to compare the magnitude of misclassification of QUEST and CHAID methods on the classification of customer of Adira Kredit Elektronik branch Denpasar. QUEST (Quick, Unbiased, Efficient Statistical Trees) and CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection) are nonparametric methods that produce tree diagram which is easy to interpret. The QUEST and CHAID classification methods conclude that: 1) QUEST method produces three groups which predict customers into the current category, whereas CHAID method produces four groups which also  predict customer into the current category; 2) both methods generate the biggest classification accuracy for customers that current category which share similar characteristics; 3) both methods also have the same degree of accuracy in classifying customer data Adira Kredit Elektronik branch Denpasar.
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        PENGGUNAAN MODEL ARIMAX UNTUK MERAMALKAN DATA CURAH HUJAN BULANAN DI BALI 
                    
                    CHAIRUN NISA; 
I WAYAN SUMARJAYA; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 10 No 4 (2021) 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2021.v10.i04.p341                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
Erratic raifall in the future has a major effect on life. Extreme rainfall can result in vaarious natural phenomena that have a negative impact in various fields work. The aim of this research is to find the best rainfall forecastng model in Bali using ARIMAX modeling, namely the transfer function model with an indeks Nino 3.4 as the input series. The transfer function model is a time series model that combines the regression approach and the ARIMA model for its error. Forecasting results suggest that the rainfall is linearly related to the Nino 3.4 indeks in the previous month. The best rainfall forecasting model has a value Akaike information criterion (AIC) is equal to .
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        ANALISIS WAKTU KELULUSAN MAHASISWA FMIPA UNIVERSITAS UDAYANA DAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHINYA 
                    
                    I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI; 
DESAK PUTU EKA NILAKUSMAWATI                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 9 No 3 (2020) 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2020.v09.i03.p300                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
The graduate profile shows the competencies of the graduate. Not all students are able to complete their studies within the specified study period. Some students are threatened with dropping out (DO) because within the maximum time limit given, which is 7 years for undergraduate degrees, they are still unable to complete their studies. This condition has a negative impact on student graduation on time which negatively affects to the assessment of study program accreditation. To anticipate this condition, it is necessary to know what obstacles students made they are unable to complete their studies on time. The information obtained can be used as a guide in anticipating no more students exceeds study period. The purpose of this study was to determine the graduation of undergraduate students of FMIPA Udayana University and the factors that influence student graduation. The research sample was taken using purposive sampling technique of FMIPA, Udayana University graduation period January 2002 to January 2019. Data analysis used statistics descriptive and exploratory factor analysis. The graduation data of FMIPA undergraduate students, there was 2710 students, 2190 (81%) was able to complete studies no more than five years and 514 students (19%) more than five years. There is significant dependency between study period with gender and study program. There are two intellectual factors that influence student graduation not on time, namely the knowledge and skills factor with an explainable diversity of 63.2%.
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        PENERAPAN METODE PERMUKAAN RESPONS DALAM MASALAH OPTIMALISASI 
                    
                    ADE KUSUMA DEWI; 
I WAYAN SUMARJAYA; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 2 No 2 (2013) 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2013.v02.i02.p035                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
The experiments were conducted to determine the relationship between response variable and independent variable and the effect of independent variables to response variable. Multiple comparison tests can be used to find the level that makes optimal response. However, this test has a drawback that it only finds the optimal level tested at the level being considered. Thus test is more suitable for qualitative independent variables. On the other hand, for quantitative independent variables we can use the orthogonal polynomial method and response surface method (RSM).The purpose of this research is to apply RSM to produce optimal response. It can be concluded that RSM is an efficient used to find the level of independent variables to makes optimal response.
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        PEMODELAN REGRESI SPLINE (Studi Kasus: Herpindo Jaya Cabang Ngaliyan) 
                    
                    I MADE BUDIANTARA PUTRA; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI; 
I WAYAN SUMARJAYA                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 4 No 3 (2015) 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2015.v04.i03.p097                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
Regression analysis is a method of data analysis to describe the relationship between response variables and predictor variables. There are two approaches to estimating the regression function. They are parametric and nonparametric approaches. The parametric approach is used when the relationship between the predictor variables and the response variables are known or the shape of the regression curve is known. Meanwhile, the nonparametric approach is used when the form of the relationship between the response and predictor variables is unknown or no information about the form of the regression function. The aim of this study are to determine the best spline nonparametric regression model on data of quality of the product, price, and advertising on purchasing decisions of Yamaha motorcycle with optimal knots point and to compare it with the multiple regression linear based on the coefficient of determination (R2) and mean square error (MSE). Optimal knot points are defined by two point knots. The result of this analysis is that for this data multiple regression linear is better than the spline regression one.
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        PENERAPAN METODE PARTIAL LEAST SQUARE REGRESSION (PLSR) PADA KASUS SKIZOFRENIA 
                    
                    NI WAYAN ARI SUNDARI; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI; 
MADE SUSILAWATI                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 10 No 2 (2021) 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2021.v10.i02.p333                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
Partial Least Square Regression (PLSR) is a method that combines principal component analysis and multiple linear regression, which aims to predict or analyze the dependent variable and more than one independent variable. The purpose of this study is to determine the equation model for the recurrence of schizophrenia patients using the PLSR method. The best number of components to form a PLSR model in this study is one component with a minimum RMSEP value of 0.6094 and an adjR2 value of 80.09 percent.
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        MENENTUKAN KOMPOSISI OPTIMAL DARI FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI KETAHANAN ASPAL DENGAN METODE TAGUCHI 
                    
                    GUSTI AYU PUTU YULIANDARI; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI; 
I WAYAN SUMARJAYA                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 2 No 1 (2013): E-Jurnal Matematika 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2013.v02.i01.p026                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
Taguchi method purpose to improve the quality of a product. This method can reduce the number of execution of the experiment when compared to using a full factorial method. measures taken, namely the calculation of degrees of freedom, the selection of orthogonal array to reduce the run, then calculating S/NR is used to determine the optimal composition of the factors that will affect the durability of asphalt. The results of this research that the optimal composition of the factors that affect the resistance of asphalt are aggregate of 6987.57 tons, temperature of 155? C, compaction speed 5 km/h, hardening time for 4 hours after paving before the opening of traffic at normal speed, thickness of 6.27 cm thick bitumen from the aggregate surface, body weight that is weighing 7 ton. Dimensions of factors is an area of ??5.598m.
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        PEMODELAN ANGKA KEMATIAN BAYI DENGAN PENDEKATAN GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED POISSON REGRESSION DI PROVINSI BALI 
                    
                    M ARRIE KUNILASARI ELYNA; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI; 
MADE SUSILAWATI                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Volume 1, No 1, Tahun 2012 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2012.v01.i01.p017                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
AlphaIn this study the used method of Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR) is a statistical method to analyze the data to account for spatial factors. GWPR is a local form of Poisson regression with respect to the location of the assumption that the data is Poisson distributed. There are factors that are used in this study is the number of health facilities and midwives, the average length of breastfeeding, the percentage of deliveries performed by non-medical assistance, and the average length of schooling a woman is married. The research results showed that factors significantly influence the number of infant deaths in sluruh districts / municipalities in Bali is the average length of schooling a woman is married. Then the results of hypothesis test obtained the results that there was no difference who significant between the regression model poisson and GWPR in Bali.
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        MODEL REGRESI NONPARAMETRIK SPLINE TRUNCATED PADA JUMLAH KASUS TUBERKULOSIS DI PROVINSI BALI TAHUN 2016 
                    
                    NI PUTU RINA ANGGRENI; 
NI LUH PUTU SUCIPTAWATI; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 7 No 3 (2018) 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2018.v07.i03.p205                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
Tuberculosis is a contagious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Based on data from the health office of Bali Province, in 2015 tuberculosis cases found 0,96%, while in 2016 tuberculosis cases increase to 1,05%. This research used truncated spline nonparametric regression to model tuberculosis cases in Bali Province in 2016. This method was used because truncated spline has high flexibility compared to other polynomial models. The truncated spline function has a connecting point called knots. The best estimation of truncated spline regression model is obtained from optimal knot point selection by calculating minimum generalized cross validation. The estimated truncated model is linear with one knot point with determination coefficient equals to 70,48 %. In addition, it is also found in order to reduce tuberculosis cases the government of Bali Province should increase percentage of family who lives clean and healthy.
                            
                         
                     
                 
                
                            
                    
                        HUBUNGAN KECANDUAN BERMAIN GAME ONLINE TERHADAP INTERAKSI SOSIAL PADA REMAJA 
                    
                    EKA ARISTA ANJASARI; 
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI; 
DESAK PUTU EKA NILAKUSMAWATI                    
                     E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 9 No 3 (2020) 
                    
                    Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University 
                    
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                                DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2020.v09.i03.p296                            
                                            
                    
                        
                            
                            
                                
Social interaction in adolescents in the modern era is influenced by several factors in life, one of which is addiction to playing online games. This study aims to determine the relationship between factors addicted to playing online games on social interaction in teenagers. The data used in this study are primary data which are the results of questionnaires. The data processing technique used in this study is canonical correlation analysis. The sample in this study were adolescents aged 13 to 21 years and living in the city of Denpasar, with a total sample of 150 adolescents. The results showed that the addiction factor playing online games had a significant effect of 0.0000019 on social interaction in adolescents with a close relationship of 0.8058964.