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All Journal JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Jurnal Fakultas Ekonomi : OPTIMAL Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business MIX : Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen JRB-Jurnal Riset Bisnis JURNAL VISIONIDA BERNAS: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Quantitative Economics and Management Studies JIAPI: Jurnal Ilmu Administrasi dan Pemerintahan Indonesia Journal of Accounting and Finance Management (JAFM) Journal of Business and Political Economy: Biannual Review of The Indonesian Economy Review Gudang Jurnal Multidisiplin Ilmu INQUISITIVE: International Journal of Eonomic Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi Pancasila (JIAP) JIMP: Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Pancasila

Hubbansyah, Aulia Keiko

Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Universitas Pancasila

Author-ID : 3061344

Religion Aerospace Engineering Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Dentistry Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Neuroscience Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Veterinary Other

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ANALISIS PENENTUAN SUBSEKTOR PRIORITAS PADA BIDANG KELAUTAN INDONESIA (PENDEKATAN DETERMINISTIK INPUT-OUTPUT) Hubbansyah, Aulia Keiko
JURNAL VISIONIDA Vol 3, No 1 (2017): June
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Djuanda

The aim of this study is to determine priority subsectors in the field of Indonesian marine. The analysis is done by input-output approach. This study has found several priority subsectors classified into two groups, namely short-term and long-term priority subsector groups. Short-term priority subsectors group in the Indonesian marine sector include fish processing and preservation industries, marine tourism, marine and fisheries support, marine and fisheries education and research services, and fisheries services. Meanwhile, for the long-term priority subsectors group the Indonesian marine sector comprises oil and gas mining and refining, marine trade services, offshore mining, fishery services and shrimp industry.Keywords: Input-Output, Multiplier Effect, Backward Linkages, Forward Linkages

PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN KREDIT TERHADAP DINAMIKA INDUSTRI DENGAN METODE MARKOV SWITCHING MODEL Hubbansyah, Aulia Keiko; Rabita, Eva
JURNAL VISIONIDA Vol 4, No 2 (2018): Desember
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Djuanda

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak pertumbuhan kredit terhadap pertumbuhan industri. Dalam menganalisis dampaknya, penelitian ini mengklasifikasi pertumbuhan industri ke dalam dua state atau regime. Sehingga, dapat diidentifikasi dampak pertumbuhan kredit pada masing-masing regime. Dengan menggunakan Markov Switching Model, hasilnya didapati bahwa pengaruh pertumbuhan kredit terhadap pertumbuhan industri lebih besar pada regime pertumbuhan rendah dibandingkan regime pertumbuhan tinggi. Hal ini mengindikasikan bahwa pertumbuhan kredit dapat memainkan peran dalam menstabilisasi tren pertumbuhan yang sedang berlangsung. Sementara itu, terkait dengan probabilitas transisional, studi ini juga mendapati bahwa transisi dari regime pertumbuhan rendah ke pertumbuhan tinggi dan sebaliknya cenderung bersifat persisten. Â Kata Kunci: Pertumbuhan Kredit, Pertumbuhan Industri, Model Markov Switching

PENERAPAN MODEL HAZARD UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN: STUDI PADA PERUSAHAAN YANG DELISTING DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA Aulia Keiko Hubbansyah; I Gusti Ketut Agung Ulupui; Ari Purwanti
MIX: JURNAL ILMIAH MANAJEMEN Vol 7, No 1 (2017): MIX: Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen
Publisher : Universitas Mercu Buana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (499.796 KB)

Abstract. The aim of this study is trying to identify a group of variables that can beused to predict firm bankruptcy. The examined variables consist of Net Income to TotalAssets (NIMTA), Total Liabilities to Market Value of Total Assets (TLMTA), Cash toMarket Value of Total Assets (CASHMTA), Relative Size (RSIZE), Excess Return(EXRET), Volatility of Return (SIGMA), Stock Price (PRICE) and Market to BookEquity (MB). By using Hazard Model as a modelling basis, the result of this studyfound there were six variables that could be used as a predictor of firm bankruptcy,including TLMTA, TLMTAsq2, TLMTAsq3, EXRET, SIGMA dan PRICE. Theevaluation of the model showed that it has a good accuracy. In accordance with modelaccuracy approaches, the level of accuracy of the model showed a range between89.36-96.51 percent; Area Under Curves (AUC) of ROC Curves reached 0.8476; andthe Brier Score showed a very low number which was 0.0309.Keywords: Model Hazard, Bankruptcy Firm.

THE INTERDEPENDENCE BETWEEN THE FINANCIAL SECTOR AND BUSINESS SECTOR IN ASEAN 4 COUNTRIES Aulia Keiko Hubbansyah; Zaafri Ananto Husodo
Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business (JIEB) Vol 33, No 1 (2018): January
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada

In this study, we analyze the dynamic interactions between the financial sectors and the business sectors in the ASEAN-4 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore). To do that, we apply the newly generalized version of the Vector Autoregressive Framework (VAR) spillover index approach proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) as our method of analysis. Based on quarterly data of each variable over the period from the first quarter of 1984 to the fourth quarter of 2015 for the ASEAN-4 countries, this study finds that: 1) Spillovers between the variables move in a diverse manner over the period of analysis for each country, 2) The variable that acts as the dominant crisis transmitter in each country is different for each country, 3) The interdependence between the variables became stronger, both within and across the countries, during the crisis period. In particular, the business sectors played a leading role during the onset of the crisis, while the financial sectors took their places as the dominant source of spillovers as the crisis deepened. 4) Credit growth in Thailand was found to be the dominant transmitter of shocks to the ASEAN-3 countries. Overall, these results suggest that the strength and movement of the spillovers between the financial and business sectors changed from time to time along with the changes that happened in the economies.

Dampak Pertumbuhan Ekonomi China Terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia Aulia Keiko Hubbansyah; Wurdaningsih
JRB-Jurnal Riset Bisnis Vol 2 No 2 (2019): April
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Universitas Pancasila

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

This study aims to analyze the impact of China’s economic growth on the Indonesian economy. In this analysis, the study adapted SVAR with block exogeneity consisting of blocks global variable (China’s economic growth and non-fuel global commodity prices growth) and domestic variable blocks (economic growth, inflation, real interest rates and Indonesia’s exchange rates). Using the data over the period from 1993q1-2017q2, this study found that the shock if China’s economic growth had a major impact on non-fuel global commodity price movements. Additionally, it is also acknowledged that China’s economic growth shock of 1.9 percent causes the Indonesian economy to grow by 0.85 percent. This was due to the appreciation of Rupiah exchange rate againt US Dollar by 1.6 percent, make inflation under control, while inflation in term of rising price index was insignficant

Peran Budaya Organisasi Terhadap Komitmen Organisasi Ditinjau Dari Persepsi Dosen Universitas Terbuka Cherly Kemala Ulfa; Ari Juliana; Aulia Keiko Hubbansyah
JIAPI: Jurnal Ilmu Administrasi Dan Pemerintahan Indonesia Vol. 1 No. 1 (2020): December
Publisher : Universitas Terbuka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33830/jiapi.v1i1.31

In the New Normal Era, Universitas Terbuka (UT) emerged as the leading Open Distance Learning Organization. In order to survive and excel, Universitas Terbuka requires a strong organizational commitment from lecturers who are important elements in the learning system at UT. This article aims to examine the influence of organizational culture on organizational commitment for Universitas Terbuka’s lecturers. This was a correlational quantitative research conducted at the UT Headquarters and UT regional offices (UPBJJ UT). The sampling technique used was purposive sampling. Analysis of Simple linier Regression was used to test the hypothesis. The results showed that there was a positive and significant influence of organizational culture on the organizational commitment of UT lecturers. It means the more conducive the organizational culture adapted by the organization is, the higher the level of organizational commitment of UT lecturers have. The implication of this research could be a guide for the management to develop an organizational maintenance program which pays attention to the organizational culture.

Hutang Optimal dan Nilai Perusahaan di Indonesia: Studi Pada Perusahaan yang Listing di BEI Aulia Keiko Hubbansyah; Lailah Fujianti; Safitri Siswono
Optimal: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kewirausahaan Vol 15 No 2 (2021): Optimal: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kewirausahaan
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Islam 45

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33558/optimal.v15i2.3000

This study aims to identify the optimal portion of debt in the capital structure that maximizes the firm value. Using the panel threshold estimation approach and company data listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2012-2019, this study provides strong empirical evidence that there is a non-linear relationship between debt and firm value. In this case, it is found that the optimal portion of debt for companies in Indonesia ranges from 48 - 54 percent relative to its equity. As shown this level of debt is empirically proven to have the greatest positive impact on increasing the firm value. But, when the portion of debt that exceeds 54 percent, it has no impact on the firm value. Meaning that the impact of additional debt on firm value will be insignificant, and only increase the level of the debt. Keywords: Firm value, firm debt, dividend, managerial ownership

Event Study of IPO in Indonesia: Pump-and-Dump & Flipping Strategy Analysis Eka Sudarmaji; Sri Ambarwati; Aulia Keiko Hubbansyah; Shinta Budi Astuti
Journal of Accounting and Finance Management Vol. 1 No. 2 (2020): Journal of Accounting and Finance Management (May-June 2020)
Publisher : DINASTI RESEARCH

There were three important IPO anomalies: the positive average initial return (improperly called short-term 'underpricing'), the long-term underperformance, and hot/cold IPO. The EVENT STUDY model explained the 'underpricing' based on the assumption that the underwriter sets the initial price equal to the market-perceived true value and investors were rational. IPO prices are affected by demand and supply. The idea of the model was to explore pump-and-dump and flipping patterns exhibited upon IPO anomalies event in Indonesia. Pump-and-dump is the strategy to manipulate stock prices, while flipping was stocks bought at the IPO and sold at early days ta listing date. This strategy oftentimes exhibits anomalous behavior. Some implications of this model for the IPO market were positive 1st-day initial return (IR) and a negative relation cumulative average abnormal 5-days abnormal return (CAAR-5days) for flipping strategy. The other was a relationship between underperformance cumulative average 30-days abnormal returns (CAAR-30days) and cumulative average 5-days (CAAR-5days) abnormal returns in terms of pump-and-dump strategy. Using the relation between the Characteristics (Size of issue, Board and Floating rate) and Macroeconomics Condition (Central Bank Rate, Inflation rate, USD/IDR exchange, and GDP growth), and the IR, a CAAR-5days and a CAAR-30days, this EVENT STUDY explained the existence of the pump-and-dump and flipping pattern in the Indonesian stock exchanges. The Authors implemented a multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) to test hypotheses regarding the effect of a three-variables dependent (the initial return, a 5-days abnormal return, and a 30-days abnormal return) into several dependent variables. Using the IPO data taken from 2015-2019, the paper found that this EVENT STUDY explained the existence of pump-and-dump and flipping patterns at the early trading of IPO stocks in the Indonesia Exchange Market.

Relationship of Marketing Mix, Brand Equity to Purchase Decision and Loyalty with Digital Wallet as Moderating during the Covid 19 Pandemic Period Setiarini Setiarini; Aulia Keiko Hubbansyah; Iha Haryani Hatta
Quantitative Economics and Management Studies Vol. 4 No. 3 (2023)
Publisher : PT Mattawang Mediatama Solution

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/454RI.qems1640

This study aims to examine the relationship between Marketing Mix, Brand Equity with Purchase Decisions, and Loyalty with Digital Wallets to reinforce the relationship between Brand Equity and purchasing decisions. This research is included in cross-sectional research because it was conducted at a particular time and was not compared with other studies. The sample selection technique used non-probability sampling, namely convenience samples, and questionnaires were distributed via e-link via Whatsapp and Facebook. The sample of this study is the population aged 17 years and over who live in Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Tangerang, and Bekasi. The number of research samples is 271 respondents. This study uses a simultaneous equation approach model with two-stage least square (2SLS) estimation techniques and data processing with SPSS version 26.00. The results showed that marketing mix, brand equity, and customer loyalty positively and significantly affected customer satisfaction. Digital wallets played a moderating factor, statistically, do not influence purchasing decisions. Purchase decisions and customer satisfaction positively and significantly influence customer loyalty. The findings of this study are that in improving smartphone purchasing decisions, the best effort is to prioritize aspects of the marketing mix and brand equity. The digital wallet is not a factor that drives consumer purchasing decisions. Furthermore, customer loyalty can be built in the long term through efforts to optimize purchasing decisions and customer satisfaction

The Impact Of Financial Liberalization On Economic Risk In The Asia Pacific Countries Aulia Keiko Hubbansyah; Feriansyah Feriansyah
Journal of Business and Political Economy : Biannual Review of The Indonesian Economy Vol. 2 No. 1 (2020): Journal of Business and Political Economy: Biannual Review of The Indonesian Ec
Publisher : INDEF - Institute for Development of Economics and Finance

In this study, we analyze the non-linear effect of financial liberalization policy toward the economic risk of the Asia Pacific countries with trade openness as a threshold variable. To do that, we apply the panel regression threshold proposed by Hansen (1999) as our method of analysis. Based on yearly data from 1975 – 2015, we find that there is a non-linear effect of financial liberalization on economic risk depending on the certain level of trade openness. Regarding this finding, we find that when the trade openness is below the threshold value, financial liberalization policy can reduce the economic risk of Asia Pacific countries. However, when the trade openness exceeds the threshold value, financial liberalization will increase the economic risk. So that, we conclude that an open domestic financial market that is followed by high degree of trade openness will tend to create an economic instability. Keywords: Financial Liberalization, Trade Openness, Economic Risk, Volatility

Co-Authors Ananda Adirasasty Ari Juliana Ari Purwanti Baharuddin , Gunawan Cantaka Zaida Oktarina Cherly Kemala Ulfa Dedi Budiman Hakim Derriawan Dwi Rahmalina, Dwi Eka Sudarmadji Eka Sudarmaji Feriansyah Feriansyah Havana Alika Salwa Husodo, Zaafri Ananto I Gusti Ketut Agung Ulupui Iha Haryani Hatta Kintan Aulia LAILAH FUJIANTI Lailah Fujianti Lazarus Sinaga Maryam Mufa Muhram Muhammad Armand Irsyad Rabbani Lubis Lubis Munira, Mira Nadia aurelia Nia Rachmawati Nurul Hilmiyah Rabita, Eva Rahman, Reza Abdu Safitri Siswono Setiarini Setiarini Shelin Zahrah Salsabila Shinta Budi Astuti Shinta Budi Astuti Sri Ambarwati Sri Hartoyo Supriadi Thalib Tasya Amelia Putri Widyastutik Wurdaningsih

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