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All Journal Bioma : Berkala Ilmiah Biologi Media Statistika SAINS DAN MATEMATIKA Jurnal Gaussian E-Dimas: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat

Moch. Abdul Mukid

Departemen Statistika, Fakultas Sains Dan Matematika, Universitas Diponegoro

Author-ID : 324112

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Mathematics Social Sciences Other

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ANALISIS PAJAK KENDARAAN BERMOTOR MENGGUNAKAN MODEL MULTISCALE AUTOREGRESSIVE DENGAN MAXIMAL OVERLAP DISCRETE WAVELET TRANSFORM (Studi Kasus di UP3AD Kab.Temanggung) Wahyuningrum, Sri; Suparti, Suparti; Mukid, Moch. Abdul
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 3, No 1 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Time series analysis is applied in many fields, one of them is in the economic field. In this paper will consider analysis of the time series on data income taxes motor vehicles UP3AD Kab.Temanggung using Maximal Overlap Wavelet Transform Discrete (MODWT). Data time series decomposed using wavelet transform, namely MODWT with filter Haar and D4. From this transformation wavelet coefficients and scales coefficients are used for the modeling of time series. Modeling is done using the Multiscale Autoregressive (MAR) forecasting to get period ahead. Results of analysis showed that the model MAR with filter D4 is better than on the model MAR with filter Haar.

KLASIFIKASI NASABAH KREDIT BANK “X” DI PROVINSI LAMPUNG MENGGUNAKAN ANALISIS DISKRIMINAN KERNEL Azkiya, Maulida; Mukid, Moch. Abdul; Ispriyanti, Dwi
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 4 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Credit is the biggest asset carried out by a bank and become the most dominant contributor to the bank income. However, the activity to distribute the credit takes a risk which can influence health and continuance of bank business. The credit risk which potentially occurs can be measured and controlled by analyzing directly the credit client which belongs to current credit or bad credit based on the character in credit assessment, such as age, and amount of loan, how long the relationship between company and bank, the period of company, total income, and debt risk of company to the income. Discriminant analysis is a multivariate statistical technique which can be used to classify the new observation into a specific group. Kernel discriminant analysis is a non-parametric method which is flexible because it does not have to concern about assumption from certain distribution and equal variance matrices as in parametric discriminant analysis. The classification using the kernel discriminant analysis with the normal kernel function with optimum bandwidth 0,1 in data of credit client from bank “X” in Lampung Province gives accurate classififcation 92% whereas kernel discriminant analysis with the epanechnikov function with the optimum bandwidth 4,6 gives the accurate classification 79%. Keywords: credit, classification, kernel discriminant analysis

METODE GENERALIZED MEAN DISTANCE-BASED K-NEAREST NEIGHBOR CLASSIFIER (GMDKNN) UNTUK ANALISIS CREDIT SCORING CALON DEBITUR KREDIT TANPA AGUNAN (KTA) Saraswati, Mei Sita; Mukid, Moch. Abdul; Hoyyi, Abdul
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 8, No 1 (2019): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Unsecured Credit is one of the credit facilities provided by banks, where the prospective debtor can borrow some amount of fund from the bank without having to provide collateral. Credit scoring is a process that aims to assess the worthiness of credit applications and classify the credit applicants into prospective debtors whose the credit application is worthy to be accepted and prospective debtors whose the credit application should be rejected. One of the statistical methods that can be applied in examining the analysis of credit scoring is the Generalized Mean Distance-Based k-Nearest Neighbor (GMDKNN) classifier. Empirical study on this method uses 23,337 data of prospective debtor of unsecured credit in 2018, with the dependent variable being the credit scoring final decision and seven independent variables, i.e. age, child dependent, length of employment, age of the company, income, loan proposed, and duration of credit. Based on the feature selection test, all independent variables are significantly taking effect on the credit scoring final decision. The best classification model is obtained in the parameters k = 137 and p = -1 with the classification performance metrics represented by the values of APER = 0,2580, accuracy = 74,20%, sensitivity = 0,6083, specificity = 0,8393, AUC = 0,7238, and G-Mean = 0,7146.Keywords: Unsecured Credit, credit scoring, classification, Generalized Mean Distance-Based k-Nearest Neighbor (GMDKNN).

ANALISIS ANTREAN BUS NONPATAS AKAP DAN AKDP JALUR TIMUR TERMINAL TIRTONADI KOTA SURAKARTA Sitomurang, Rosalina Aprilda; Sugito, Sugito; Mukid, Moch. Abdul
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 7, No 3 (2018): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

The queuing system is a set of customers, services and a set of rules governing the arrival of its customers and services. Queue is a waiting phenomenon that is part of everyday human life. The queue is formed if the number of subscribers to be served exceeds the available service capacity. Queue phenomenon one of them seen in the queue nonpatas buses at Terminal Tirtonadi Surakarta. Nonpatas bus lanes studied include non-purpose buses Surabaya, Karanganyar, Wonogiri, Purwodadi and Pedesaan. The queue displant used is FIFO (First In First Out). For the five nonpatas bus lanes it meets steady state conditions because it has utility value less than 1. The selected model is a model that has the following 4 types of distributions: Erlang, Weibull, Gamma and Lognormal. The queue model generated for the five tracks (ERLA/ERLA/1):(GD/∞/∞) for Surabaya nonpatas buses, (ERLA/WEIB/1):(GD/∞/∞) for Karanganyar nonpatas buses, (GAMM/WEIB/1):(GD/∞/∞) for Wonogiri nonpatas buses, (ERLA/WEIB/1):(GD/∞/∞) for Purwodadi nonpatas buses, (WEIB/LOGN/1):(GD/∞/∞) for Pedesaan nonpatas buses. Based on the value of the system performance measure indicated that the five lines are queue system is good. Keywords: Beta, Erlang, FIFO, Gamma, Steady State Conditions, Lognormal, Queue Model, Queuing Systems, System Performance Measure, Weibull

PENILAIAN CARA MENGAJAR MENGGUNAKAN RANCANGAN ACAK LENGKAP (Studi kasus: Cara Mengajar Dosen Jurusan Statistika UNDIP) Muhammad, Ilham; Rusgiyono, Agus; Mukid, Moch. Abdul
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 3, No 2 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Completely randomized design (CRD) is the simplest design among the designs of other experiments. In this treatment plan is fully charged randomized trial units or vice versa. Do research to find out how to rank professors teach statistics Diponegoro University Diponegoro University by alumnus statistics. This study used a RAL because only treatment variable that will be compared. Alumni variables as replication and assumed homogeneous. From the analysis of variance for the CRD, it is concluded that faculty groups differed significantly was A, P, O and L

ANALISIS PREFERENSI SISWA SMA DI KOTA SEMARANG TERHADAP PROGRAM STUDI DI PERGURUAN TINGGI DENGAN METODE CHOICE-BASED CONJOINT Anggreani, Dini; Mukid, Moch. Abdul; Rusgiyono, Agus
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 2, No 4 (2013): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

This research aims to determine the design of study program that has the biggest opportunity to be chosen by the students. One method can be used to determine the preferences of high school students on existing study program in college is choice-based conjoint method. Variables used in this research are a minimum value of accreditation of selected study program that consist of three categories (A, B, and C), field of science study program that consist of two categories (exact sciences and not exact sciences), type of study program that consist of two categories (educational and not educational), and education level that consist of three categories (S1, D4, and D3). Data analysis techniques used in the choice-based conjoint method is conditional logit model. Variables order starting from the biggest contribution in influencing students preferences is accreditation of study program, level of education, type of study program, and field of science. The design of study program most likely to be chosen by the students is a study program with accreditation A, not exact sciences field, not educational type, and S1 level.

ANALISIS ANTREAN DAN KINERJA SISTEM PELAYANAN GARDU TOL OTOMATIS GERBANG TOL MUKTIHARJO (Studi Kasus: Gardu Tol Otomatis Gerbang Tol Muktiharjo) Erna Fransisca Angela Sihotang; Sugito Sugito; Moch. Abdul Mukid
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 8, No 1 (2019): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Queue process is a process related to the arrival of customers in a service facility, waiting in line queue if it cannot be served, get service and finally leaves the facility after being served. Research on the queue process can be seen directly through the queue system at the automatic toll booth Muktiharjo. Queue models and their distribution were obtained using the Sigma Magic program. The model of the vehicle queue system at the Muktiharjo Automatic Toll Gate is (GAMM/ GAMM/ 4): (GD/ ∞/ ∞). Based on the values of the queue system performance measures obtained through the MATLAB GUI program as a whole it can be concluded that the queue of vehicles at the Muktiharjo Automatic Toll Gate has a condition where the average number of vehicles estimated in the system every 15 minutes is 25,5646 vehicles. The average number of vehicles in the queue system every 15 minutes is 24,5639 vehicles. The waiting time in the system is estimated to be around 7,99332 seconds. The estimated waiting time in line is around 7,68042 seconds. The queue system has a busy opportunity of 63.2849% and the remaining 36.7106% is a chance the queue system is not busy. The simulation of the vehicle queue system at the Automatic Toll Gate of Muktiharjo Toll Gate by using ARENA is optimal with the number of service points as many as 4 automatic toll booths. Keywords: Automatic Toll Booth, Queue, Gamma Distribution, Performance Size, Queue Simulation

Analisis Kesehatan Bank Menggunakan Local Mean K-Nearest Neighbor dan Multi Local Means K-Harmonic Nearest Neighbor Alwi Assegaf; Moch. Abdul Mukid; Abdul Hoyyi
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 8, No 3 (2019): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

The classification method continues to develop in order to get more accurate classification results than before. The purpose of the research is comparing the two k-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) methods that have been developed, namely the Local Mean k-Nearest Neighbor (LMKNN) and Multi Local Means k-Harmonic Nearest Neighbor (MLM-KHNN) by taking a case study of listed bank financial statements and financial statements complete recorded at Bank Indonesia in 2017. LMKNN is a method that aims to improve classification performance and reduce the influence of outliers, and MLM-KHNN is a method that aims to reduce sensitivity to a single value. This study uses seven indicators to measure the soundness of a bank, including the Capital Adequacy Ratio, Non Performing Loans, Loan to Deposit Ratio, Return on Assets, Return on Equity, Net Interest Margin, and Operating Expenses on Operational Income with a classification of bank health status is very good (class 1), good (class 2), quite good (class 3) and poor (class 4). The measure of the accuracy of the classification results used is the Apparent Error Rate (APER). The best classification results of the LMKNN method are in the proportion of 80% training data and 20% test data with k=7 which produces the smallest APER 0,0556 and an accuracy of 94,44%, while the best classification results of the MLM-KHNN method are in the proportion of 80% training data and 20% test data with k=3 which produces the smallest APER 0,1667 and an accuracy of 83,33%. Based on APER calculation shows that the LMKNN method is better than MLM-KHNN in classifying the health status of banks in Indonesia.Keywords: Classification, Local Mean k-Nearest Neighbor (LMKNN), Multi Local Means k-Harmonic Nearest Neighbor (MLM-KHNN), Measure of accuracy of classification

KLASIFIKASI CALON DEBITUR KREDIT PEMILIKAN RUMAH (KPR) MULTIGUNA TAKE OVER MENGGUNAKAN METODE k NEAREST NEIGHBOR DENGAN PEMBOBOTAN GLOBAL GINI DIVERSITY INDEX Inas Hasimah; Moch. Abdul Mukid; Hasbi Yasin
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 8, No 4 (2019): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

House credit (KPR) is a credit facilities for buying or other comsumptive needs with house warranty. The warranty for KPR is the house that will be purchased. The warranty for KPR multiguna take over is the house that will be owned by debtor, and then debtor is taking over KPR to another financial institution. For fulfilled the credit to prospective debtor is done by passing through the process of credit application and credit analysis. With the credit analysis, will acknowledge the ability of debtor for repay a credit. Final decision of credit application is classified into approved and refused. k Nearest Neighbor by attributes weighting using Global Gini Diversity Index is a statistical method that can be used to classify the credit decision of prospective debtor. This research use 2443 data of KPR multiguna take over’s prospective debtor in 2018 with credit decision of prospective debtor as dependent variable and four selected independent variable such as home ownership status, job, loans amount, and income. The best classification result of k-NN by Global Gini Diversity Index weighting is when using 80% training data set and 20% testing data set with k=7 obtained APER value 0,0798 and accuracy 92,02%. Keywords: KPR Multiguna Take Over, Classification, KNN by Global Gini Diversity Index weighting, Evaluation of Classification

PERBANDINGAN METODE REGRESI LOGISTIK BINER DAN METODE BACKPROPAGATION DALAM MENENTUKAN MODEL TERBAIK UNTUK KLASIFIKASI PENGGUNA PROGRAM KELUARGA BERENCANA Muhammad Mujahid; Hasbi Yasin; Moch. Abdul Mukid
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 1 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Indonesia is one of the highest population density in the world has high birth level. One of the regulation to get the population density lower than before that is used by Government is Family Planning Program. On the reality, not all of the productive age join this program. The method is Binary Logistic Regression and Backpropagation. The predictor variables that is researched are husband’s age, wife’s age, age of the last child, count of children, husband’s education, wife’s education, husband’s job, wife’s job and the level of family prosperity. The aim of the research is to compare the classification accuracy between Binary Logistic Regression and Backpropagation. The result of the research by binary logistic regression method, shows the variables that affect the status of KB user is age of the last child and wife’s education with the classification accuracy are 66.98%, and the classification accuracy of Backpropagation are 67,30%. The conclution based on the research that is the Backpropagation is better than Binary Logistic Regression when classification the status of KB user in Semarang on March 2013 until Januari 2014. Keywords : Binary Logistic Regression, Backpropagation, Keluarga Berencana, Classification

Co-Authors Abdul Hoyyi Agung Waluyo Agus Rusgiyono Agus Setyawan Agus Subagio Alan Prahutama Alwi Assegaf Ana Kartikawati Anastasia Arinda Annisa Sugesti Azzarah, Dian Fatimah Budi Warsito Dani Al Mahkya Desy Ratnaningrum Desy Ratnaningrum, Desy Di Asih I Maruddani Dini Anggreani Djalal Er Riyanto Dwi Ispriyanti Dwi Rahmayani, Dwi Erna Fransisca Angela Sihotang fatimah Fatimah Finisa, Husnul Fuad Muhammad Hasbi Yasin I Gusti Ngurah Antaryama Ilham Muhammad Inas Hasimah Jatmiko Endro Suseno Lies Kurnia Irwanti Masithoh Yessi Rochayani Maulida Azkiya, Maulida Mesra Nova Muhammad Mujahid Muhammad Nur Munifatul Izzati Mustafid Mustafid Noviana Nurhayati Nur Walidaini Nurhikmah Megawati Qorina Rara Sartika Redemtus Heru Tjahjana Restu Sri Rahayu, Restu Ririn Sulpiani Rita Rahmawati Saraswati, Mei Sita Satriyo Adhy Siska Alvitiani Sitomurang, Rosalina Aprilda Sri Wahyuningrum Sudarno Sudarno Sugito - Sugito Sugito Suparti Suparti Tarno Tarno Tatik Widiharih Tatik Widiharih Triastuti Wuryandari Udi Harmoko Wetty Anggun Werti, Wetty Anggun Yuciana Wilandari Yudha Subakti, Yudha Yulia Agnis Sutarno Yundari, Yundari Zulfa Wahyu Mardika, Zulfa Wahyu

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