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SUATU PENDEKATAN EKONOMETRI TERHADAP EKONOMI MAKRO INDONESIA (1978-1994) Aris Soelistyo; Farid Wijaya Mansoer
Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business (JIEB) Vol 13, No 4 (1998): October
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada

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Abstract

An emperical study to Macroeconomic of Indonesia 1978.3-1994.4 with econometric approach, and be emphasized on its short run behaviour is directed to seek for the approval of treatment for sintesa Monetarist-Keynes in order to analysis Macro-economic of Indonesia by ekonometric method and though reduced form equation will try to express the impact ofgoverment expenditure, the riil exchange rate index, and the domestic credit changes to Income, price and Balance of Payment. The reduced form coefficient are called impact multiplier, since they measure the immediate response of the endogenous variables to changes in the predetermined variable. Debate and controversy between rival school economic thinking are conducted the theoritical level, the emperical level, and the policy level, especially, in order to express the Balance of payment. The Moneterist view balance of payment surplus and deficit as monetery flow due to stock disequilibrium in the money market or a balance of payment disequilibrium is a merely a reflection of a disequilibrium in the money market. Thus the monetary approach to the balance of payment asserts that the balance of payment involves essential monetary fenomena, in which that increase in income imply that the balance of payment improves, since the demand for money rises. On the other hand, the balance of payment expression in Keynes approach, however, associates increases in income with increased import and a detiorating balance of payment. Does this mean that the two approach provide conflicting views on the balance of payments. Actually, the different between them lies in the way the balance of payment is looked at, in which Keynes look at the balance of payment statistik from the top down (ie. the current account) while' the monetarist look for the bottom up (ie. the change in Reserve).
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI UTANG LUAR NEGERI DI INDONESIA Yogie Dahlly Saputro; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 1 No. 1 (2017): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v1i1.5408

Abstract

The purpose of the research is to describe how the influence of budget deficit, foreign exchange reserves, net exports and foreign debt of the previous year against foreign debt in Indonesia. Instrument analysis used is the method linear regression multiple with the methods ols with the data time series.With the methods testing the assumption classical and by test statistics like a test t and F test. The results of the analysis what have been done by researchers the results that on partial foreign exchange reserves (CDV) have had a positive impact and foreign debt of the previous year (ULNt-1) have had a positive impact and influential but not significant is namely the budget deficit (DA) and net exports (NX).Simultaneously of the four variable influential in significant impact on foreign debt.With the coefficients R2 of 99.91. Conclusions from research has been done that the variable that influence the foreign debt in Indonesia is foreign exchange reserves and foreign debt year earlier, and influential but not significant variables to external debt are the budget defisit and net exsport.Keywords: foreign debt , the budget deficit , foreign exchange reserves , net exports
PENGARUH PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH (PAD), DANA ALOKASI UMUM (DAU), DANA ALOKASI KHUSUS (DAK) TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO (PDRB) KABUPATEN/KOTA DI PROVINSI JAWA TIMUR Ardiani Maulidia Oktafia; Aris Soelistyo; Zainal Arifin
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 2 No. 1 (2018): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

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This study aims to know the overview of the region original income (PAD), General Allocation Fund (DAU), Specific Allocation Fund (DAK) at Regency / City of East Java Province and to find out how much influence of Local Own Revenue (PAD), General Allocation Fund (DAU), Specific Allocation Fund (DAK) to the Gross Regional Domestic Product (PDRB) at Regency / City of East Java Province on 2012-2016. Gross Regional Domestic Product (PDRB) was used by the dependent variable, while the independent variables were region original income (PAD), General Allocation Fund (DAU), Specific Allocation Fund (DAK). The method of data analysis used by the researcher was the multiple linier regressions method which used the panel data on 2012-2016, It was strengthened by the middle Conformity Test, Statistic test, Coefficient of Determination.The result of the research showed that the PDRB ADHK on 2012 up to 2016, the highest income was in the Surabaya city while the lowest income located in Blitar City. And the result of simultaneous test showed that the whole variables of region Original Income (PAD), General Allocation Fund (DAU), Specific Allocation Fund (DAK) had the positive effect significantly on the Gross Regional Domestic product (PDRB) to the Regency / City of East Java Province.Keywords: DAK, DAU, PAD and PDRB
PENGARUH PROFIT, TOTAL ASET, DAN TOTAL HUTANG TERHADAP EFFECTIVE TAX RATE PADA PERUSAHAAN INFRASTRUKTUR DI INDONESIA Dewi Ratna Prihaningtyas; Aris Soelistyo; Muhammad Faisal Abdullah
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 2 No. 1 (2018): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

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This research is aimed to find out the effect of profit, asset total, and debt total to the Effective Tax Rate of registered infrastructure company in Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period 2012-2016. Profits, assets total, and debt total as independent variable. The samples determined by purposive sampling method, and there are 15 infrastructure companies that fulfilling the criteria. Data analysis done by panel regression and using Eviews9. The result of this research shows that profit, assets total, and debt total are having simultaneously significant impact to ETR. While partial profit has positive and significant impact to ETR. Assets total has negative and significant to ETR. And debt total has positive and significant to ETR.Keywords: Tax Expense, Profit, Assets Total, Debt Total
PENGARUH TOTAL ASET, DANA PIHAK KETIGA, DAN KREDIT PADA BANK UMUM TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI-PROVINSI DI INDONESIA PADA TAHUN 2013-2016 Lutfi Nofi Zumaidah; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 2 No. 2 (2018): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

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Abstract

The increased economic growth cannot be separated from the role of banks in providing financial services because almost all financial activities require bank services. This research aims to determine the influences of total assets, third-party fund, and credit to commercial banks on economic growth of Indonesia in 2013 – 2016. Data used in this research is panel data in 2013 until 2016 year period. The method of analysis used in this research is multiple linear regression analysis using panel data. The result shows that total assets (X1) have significant positive influence on economic growth with coefficient value 0.175711 and probability value 0.0075. Third-Party Fund Value (X2) has positive and significant influence on economic growth with coefficient value 0.285815 and probability value 0.0000.Value of Credit (X3) has significant positive influence on economic growth with coefficient value 0.088468 and probability value 0.0023.Keywords: Economic Growth, Total Assets, Third-Party Fund, Credit
ANALISIS PENGARUH UPAH,PDRB,DAN INVESTASI TERHADAP PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA DIKAWASAN GERBANGKERTASUSILA TAHUN 2012-2016 Nofandillah Arumsyah Putri; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 2 No. 3 (2018): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

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This research aims to analyze the influence of wages , PDRB , and Investment on employment absortion. Dependent variabel used is labor , and Independent variabel used is panel data , a combination of time series and cross section. This research uses six districts / cities ini Gerbangkertasusila area ini 2012-2016. This estimation results show that the wage variable has a negatif effect of -0.069927 and significant , PDRB variable also has negatif effect of -0.253666 and significant , while investment variable has a positive effect on labor absortion of 0.599640 and significant. In the selection of the best model in this research is to use the Random Effect Model (REM), choosing a Random Effect Model because thus model has a Standart error smaller than the Common Effect Model (CEM).Keyword : Wage ,PDRB , Investment , Labor.
ANALISIS PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, JUMLAH PENDUDUK, PAD, IPM, DAN UMK TERHADAP KETIMPANGAN DI PROVINSI BANTEN Rosita Juliana; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 3 No. 2 (2019): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v3i2.8232

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This study aims to analyze the effect of per capita GRDP, population, PAD, UMK ana IPM on inequality in Banten Province in 2010-2016. The type of data used in this study is secondary data in the form of panel data consisting of seven-year time series, namely 2010-2016 which consists of 8 districts / cities in Banten Province, meanwhile, the data analysis used in this study is the FEM method. (Fixed Effect Model). The results of this research, among others. First, the inequality of development 2010-2016 year in Banten Province experiencing fluctuations in each year. Second, GDP per capita, population, and significant influential PAD against inequality. Third, the IPM and the UMK insignificant against inequality. And third, the coefficient of Determination (R2) of 0.998990 or 99.89%. This indicates that the traffic free variables i.e. GDP per capita, population, PAD, IPM and the UMK explain variables bound Inequalities of 99.89% and the rest of 0.11% can be explained by other variables.
MODEL DINAMIK PERMINTAAN IMPOR KEDELAI DI INDONESIA Ainul Dwi Pangestu; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 3 No. 2 (2019): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v3i2.8242

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the Dynamic Model of Soybean Import Demand in Indonesia so that it can be known simultaneously and partially, soybean import demand. This study aims to determine the effect of the real exchange rate, and GDP on Indonesian soybean imports from 1987 to 2017 for analyzing data, this study uses the multiple linear regression analysis of the Partial Adjustment Model (PAM) and time-series data. The results of this study indicate that the GDP variable has a positive and significant effect on the import value of Indonesian soybeans, where an increase of 1$ increases 0.39 while for the real positive and not significant exchange rate variable where if there in an increase of 1$, the import value will increase by 0.16. From the results of the regression, it is obtained that the R-square value is 87.68%. This illustrates that the independent variable was 87.68%, while 12.32% was explained by other variables outside the model
PENGARUH INVESTASI ASING DAN NET EKSPOR NON MIGAS TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR TAHUN 2009.I-2016.IV Nirwana Sangga Langi; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 3 No. 2 (2019): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v3i2.8262

Abstract

Economic growth is one of the important indicators to know how big the success of regional development and as a determinant of future development policy. Some experts say that export and investment was the "engine of growth". This study aims to determine the effect of foreign investment and non-oil exports net on economic growth in both short and long term. This research used quarterly data from 2009.I to 2016.IV.During the observation, the researcher utilizes Partial Adjusment Model method. The results shows that the influences between economic growth with foreign investment (PMA) in the short term is 0.12% and in the long term is 0.27%.While in the short term, the influence between economic growth with non-oil exports net is 0.03% and in the long term is 0.07%. Keywords: Economic growth, foreign investment, non-oil exports net, PAM
ANALISIS PENGARUH TENAGA KERJA, PENDIDIKAN, DAN PENDAPATAN DAERAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PROVINSI JAWA TIMUR TAHUN 2011-2016 Juhaina Nur Afifah; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 3 No. 2 (2019): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v3i2.8269

Abstract

Economic growth increased the number of production and income, could be realized without terwujudya development. The increase in economic growth of East Java was seen in Demand Management in form of a PAD, DAU, DAK, and Government spending. Supply Managemnet in form of a Labor and Education. The study uses panel data analysis in the form of Fixed Effect ModelLabor research results do not affect positively not significantly to boost economic growth economic growth of 0.5416% when up by 1%. Education rid by 1% economic growth ride by 190.7056%. Regional income in the form of a PAD went up by 1% economic growth ridee by 18.0789%, DAU went up by 1% economic growth down by 0.3598%, DAK ride by 1% economic growth ride by 2.2397%, government spending ride by 1% economic growth down by 0.0816%The results of regression adjusted R2 value of 0.998315 which is where the independent variables explained about the dependent variable i.e. economic growth of 99.8315% rest of 0.1685% explained by other reasons that are not in the models
Co-Authors A.A. Ketut Agung Cahyawan W Ade Dewi Yulianti Ahmad Jazuli Rahman Ainul Dwi Pangestu Aisyah Najibah Nabilah Almaas Aulia Syah Andri Ashari Anggriawan, Satria Yuda Ardiani Maulidia Oktafia Arif Pangestu Abitaha Arista, Linda Bachrudin Capridasari, Denita Dessy Triaz Wulandari Dewi Ratna Prihaningtyas Dika Saputra, Erzza Dwi Susilowati Dwi Susilowati Dwi Susilowati Dwi Susilowati Dyah Indri Widyapangesti Elma Sintia Dewi Fahad Ainun Saleh Fahrizal Yazid Farid Wijaya Mansoer Farid Wijaya Mansoer Hendra Kusuma Hendra Kusuma Izza Adelia Azizah Izzah, Evita Nurul Juhaina Nur Afifah Juvico Akbar Karuniawan Kusumawardani, Risa Anggraeni Lutfi Nofi Zumaidah Mochamad Reza Irdiansyah Mohammad Faisal Abdullah Muhammad Firmansyah Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin Muhammad Sri Wahyudi Suliswanto Muhammad Yusuf Nabila Eka Marza Oktavia Nabilah, Aisyah Najibah Nirwana Sangga Langi Nofandillah Arumsyah Putri Norita Fitria Novi Rosyana Nuri Hikmahyanti Rahman, Ahmad Jazuli Ratih, Diana Reza, Deft Syatir Putri Rezeta, Frila Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat Hidayat Rizky Ramadhanty Rosita Juliana Salim, Tiara Satfika Kurnia Sari Satria Yuda Anggriawan Savira Rahmadianti Setyo Wahyu Sulistyono Setyowati, Ika Yuli Shaula Fathimatuz Zahroh Sri Budi Cantika Subiyakta, Dhea Hervina Sukma Indah Syamsul Ph.D M.A. Hadi Sya’diyah, Putri Alif Tikaloka Wikaningrum Verren Elyviana Supriadi Wahyu Himatul Aliya Wicaksono, Agung Prasetyo Nugroho Wulansari, Anisa Salwa Yahya Yakaria Pangestin Yogie Dahlly Saputro Yunan Syaifullah, Yunan Zainal Arifin Zainal Arifin Zana Chobhita Aris Tusa