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All Journal Xplore: Journal of Statistics
Agus M Soleh
Department of Statistics, IPB University, Indonesia
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Mathematics

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Pemodelan Pola Produktivitas Cabai Rawit di Kabupaten Magelang Yohanes Purnama; Farit M Affendi; Agus M Soleh
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 10 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (282.296 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v10i1.358

Abstract

The objective of this study was to determine the best model that describe the pattern of cayenne pepper productivity in Magelang Regency. This study uses primary data which was obtained from the results of a survey of cayenne pepper production by the General Director of Horticulture on several sample plots in Magelang District, Central Java Province in 2018. The process of data analysis was divided into two parts: grouping the sample plots based on the similarity in productivity pattern and then fitting models in each group. The models used to fit data were Logistic Growth Model, Monomolecular Growth Model, Exponential Growth Model, Polynomial Model and Linear B-Spline Model. The best model was determined based on R2 and MAPE. The results showed that the pattern of cayenne pepper productivity in Magelang District had eight different characteristics. Characteristics of each groups were illustrated by the similarity of their productivity pattern. The best model in each group was B-Spline Linear Model.
Identifikasi Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Prestasi Mahasiswa Menggunakan Regresi Logistik Ordinal dan Random Forest Ordinal: Studi Kasus Mahasiswa FMIPA IPB Angkatan 2015-2017 Zuhdiyah Izzatun Nisa'; Agus M Soleh; Hari Wijayanto
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 10 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (267.829 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v10i1.465

Abstract

Student achievement is the result of student learning processes and efforts. This research was conducted through a survey of students of the 2015-2017 FMIPA IPB with the selection of respondents using stratified random sampling. The purpose of this study is to identify the factors that influence the achievements of the 2015-2017 FMIPA IPB students using ordinal logistic regression and ordinal random forest. The response variable used is the PPKU GPA category and the last even semester GPA which is categorized based on the predicate of IPB graduation. The results of ordinal logistic regression get 7 explanatory variables that influence the PPKU GPA and 7 explanatory variables that influence the last even semester GPA. Explanatory variables that have a significant effect on ordinal logistic regression and become 10 variables with the highest level of importance in the ordinal random forest for both response variables are department, mother’s education, internet access in a day for games, activity in the class, and active work on a group assignment.
Perbandingan Perbandingan Pengklasifikasian Metode Support Vector Machine dan Random Forest (Kasus Perusahaan Kebun Kelapa Sawit) Nabila Destyana Achmad; Agus M Soleh; Akbar Rizki
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 11 No. 2 (2022):
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (660.14 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v11i2.919

Abstract

Palm oil is one of the leading commodities that support the economy in Indonesia. One of the companies engaged in the oil palm plantation sector has 146 units of oil palm plantations. It is very important to optimize oil palm production, so it is necessary to classify the status of plantation units. Classification aims to predict new plantation units and find the most important variables in the modeling process. The variables used were the status of the garden as a response variable and nine explanatory variables, namely harvested area, rainfall, percentage of normal fruit, fresh fruit bunches production, oil palm loose fruits, production, harvest job performance, harvesting rotation, and farmers. The classification process is carried out using the Support Vector Machine and Random Forest methods to find which method is the best. The data is divided into 80% training data and 20% test data with ten iterations so that ten models are produced for each method. Comparing accuracy value, F1 score, and Area Under Curve (AUC) to evaluate the model. The modeling results show that the random forest method has better performance than the SVM method. The random forest has an average occuracy, F1 score, and AUC, respectively, 90%, 86%, and 89%. Variables of harvest job performance, oil palm loose fruits, harvested area, rainfall, and harvesting rotation are important variables that contribute more than 10% of the model. The results of the research are used for the evaluation and development process of oil palm companies by taking into account the result of important variables that affect productivity and predictive results of new plantation units.
Co-Authors Aji H Wigena Akbar Rizki Anang Kurnia Andriansyah Andriansyah ASEP SAEFUDDIN Bagus Sartono Beny Trianjaya Farit M Affendi Hari Wijayanto M. Yunus Nabila Destyana Achmad Nadya Dwi Muchisha Novian Tamara Riza Indriani Rakhmalia Victor Pandapotan Butar-butar Windyana Pusparani Yohanes Purnama Yopi Ariesia Ulfa Zuhdiyah Izzatun Nisa'