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ANALISIS KURVA ROC PADA MODEL LOGIT DALAM PEMODELAN DETERMINAN LANSIA BEKERJA DI KAWASAN TIMUR INDONESIA Muhammad Rizqi Fachrian Nur; Siskarossa Ika Oktora
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 4 No 1 (2020)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v4i1.524

Abstract

Binary logistic regression is used for probability modeling or to predict binary response variables (Success / Failure) from one or more explanatory variables that are continuous or categorical. In carrying out this analysis, there are several ways to test the suitability of the resulting model, and one of them is the area under the ROC curve. The application of the analysis method in this study is the determinant of the elderly population to work. The population of the elderly in Indonesia is increasing every year. Many views that the elderly depend on other residents, especially in terms of the economy. However, if seen from the percentage of elderly working in Indonesia, it is increasing, including the elderly in KTI. The purpose of this study is to determine the characteristics of the elderly in KTI, know the factors that influence the decision of the elderly population to work in KTI and find out the tendency of variables that affect the decision of the elderly to work in KTI. The data used are raw data from Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) was Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional (Susenas) Kor March 2018. This study using descriptive analysis methods and binary logistic regression. The results are that the variables that significantly influence the decisions of the elderly to work are residence, gender, age, education, family status, marital status, health complaints, and health insurance. Elderly who has characteristics residing in rural, male sex, classified as young elderly (60-69 years old), has the highest level of elementary school education, has the status of KRT in his family, is married, has no complaints health, and not having health insurance will have a greater tendency to decide to work.
ANALISIS SPASIAL KETERTINGGALAN DAERAH DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2018 MENGGUNAKAN GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED LOGISTIC REGRESSION Tata Pacu Maulidina; Siskarossa Ika Oktora
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 4 No 3 (2020)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v4i3.690

Abstract

Development inequality in Indonesia has led the developed and underdeveloped regions. Regional backwardness caused by high inequality must be handled properly to prevent negative impacts on national stability. But in fact, the handling of underdeveloped regions is only effective in Western Indonesia, while in Eastern Indonesia tends to be not optimal. This study aims to explore regional backwardness in Indonesia and examines the factors that influence it. Based on data, underdeveloped regions tend to cluster in eastern Indonesia, and the independent variables have large variations between regions. This indicates dependence and spatial heterogeneity. Therefore, this study applies spatial analysis using the Geographically Weighted Logistic Regression (GWLR) method. GWLR shows better performance in modeling the regional backwardness in Indonesia compared to its global model (binary logistic regression). This study provides a local model for each district/city that can be used by local governments to implement more effective policies based on factors that do have significant effects on regional backwardness.
Determinants of Male Adolescents Smoking Behavior in Indonesia using Negative Binomial Regression Angel Zushelma Hartono; Siskarossa Ika Oktora
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 5 No 1 (2021)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v5i1p182-194

Abstract

Adolescent smoking habits have become the Ministry of Health's major program associated with tobacco consumption. In 2016, the prevalence of adolescent smoking aged 10-18 years reached 8.8% and were rate increasingly against the Strategic Planning Ministry of Health 2015-2019 target to lower adolescent smoking prevalence to 5.4%. Male adolescents consuming cigarettes are higher than females. Whereas, high consumption of cigarettes in men will increase the risk of impotence and decrease reproductive health quality to affect future generations' quality. This study aims to determine the general picture of smoking behavior in Indonesia's male adolescent in 2018 and any variables that affect the number of cigarettes consumed. The analytical method used is Poisson Regression and Negative Binomial Regression. The data source used is raw data Riskesdas 2018 with the unit of analysis are male adolescent smokers aged 10-18 years. Research indicates that most male adolescents are light smokers. Heavy smokers were dominated by older age, living in a rural area, poorly educated, employed, lived with a household head who was a smoker, and had low education. Age, location of residence, education level, working status, smoking status, and household head education level significantly affect male adolescents' smoking behavior.
Analysis of Net Enumeration Rate of Senior High School Using Fixed-Effect Clustered-Robust Standard Error Model: Analisis Angka Partisipasi Murni Sekolah Menengah Menggunakan Model Fixed-Effect Clustered Robust Standard Error Leonita Amara Husna Metanda; Siskarossa Ika Oktora
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 6 No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v6i2p270-286

Abstract

The Net Enumeration Rate (NER) of senior high school (SHS) in Indonesia in 2017-2019 always be the lowest than the other education levels and cannot fulfill the target of the 2014-2019 National Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMN). This study aims to analyze the determinants of NER of SHS in Indonesia 2017-2019 using the panel data regression method. The independent variables include child labor, child marriage, Smart Indonesia Program (PIP), repeat rates, and poverty. The NER of SHS is the dependent variable. Based on the modeling, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation problems are found. The fixed-effect clustered-robust standard error method is used to solve these problems. The results show that the NER of SHS increased every year, and poverty decreased every year. Meanwhile, other variables fluctuate during 2017-2019. Furthermore, it is found that child labor and poverty significantly affect the NER of SHS in Indonesia. Meanwhile, child marriage, PIP, and repeat rates have no significant effect. This study can be used by local government to implement more effective policies based on the factor that do have significant effects on NER of SHS in Indonesia in 2017-2019.
Co-Authors Aghnia Ussyarovi Aloysius Bela Boro Amalia Pasaribu, Asysta Anang Kurnia Andrian Dwi Putra Angel Zushelma Hartono Bagus Sartono Butar Butar, Daniel Daffa Dhiaulhaq, Hafsha Dewi Novita Sari Diva Amadea Erina Herwindalita Ermawan, Geri Yesa Ernawati Pasaribu Fitriyani Sahamony, Nur Geraldi Putra P Balebu Geri Yesa Ermawan Ibnu Santoso Ika Yuni Wulansari Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications IJSA Ira Helsa Triana Khairunnisa, Sherina Rafidah Leonita Amara Husna Metanda Maksum, Fadhila Annisa Maria Valentina Makung Matualage, Dariani Muhammad Rizqi Fachrian Nur Nanda Bagus Rahmawan Nashif Satria Ramadhan Ni Luh Evindia Andini Nora Muhtasib Nursaliyawati, Adella Siti Primanda, Etsa Ristanto Hadi Salsabila, Annisa Nur Sari, Rika Dwi Puspita Siti Muchlisoh Subriandi, Askar Tata Pacu Maulidina Valencia Shabrina Putri Wulansari, Ika Yuni Yafi’, Muhammad Almas Yohana Rosaripatria Zulfa Nur Fajri Ramadhani