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All Journal JOURNAL ON SOCIAL ECONOMIC OF AGRICULTURE AND AGRIBUSINESS Jurnal Pertanian Agros Best Journal (Biology Education, Sains and Technology) Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Agripreneur : Jurnal Pertanian Agribisnis Pengabdian Pendidikan Indonesia (PPI) Jipmas : Journal Inovasi Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Agri Smart Deli Sumatera
Octasella Ainani As’ad
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Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Immunology & microbiology Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Economic Factors Affecting Rice Price Fluctuation in North Sumatera Mariana Eva Yanti; Octasella Ainani As’ad; Faiz Ahmad Sibuea
Budapest International Research and Critics Institute (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Vol 4, No 2 (2021): Budapest International Research and Critics Institute May
Publisher : Budapest International Research and Critics University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33258/birci.v4i2.1925

Abstract

The research approach method is a qualitative approach. The method of data collection is secondary data, secondary data needed is obtained from relevant agencies, namely from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Department of Agriculture as well as other literature related to research. The analytical method used is descriptive analysis and analysis of Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The results showed that: 1) The dominant factors affecting rice prices in North Sumatra are 2, the first is 60% production because the higher the production of rice, the price of rice will decline and the lower the production, the price of rice will increase and the second factor is 38% inflation because if the price of rice continues to increase there will be inflation, but it is different from the fact that rice prices fluctuate due to the stability of rice prices. 2) Factors that affect rice prices in North Sumatra in the short term are significant, namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) ) and inflation (inf). 3) From Impulse Response Function Analysis, it can be seen that the factors that influence rice prices in North Sumatra can be seen as stability, namely the production variable (Prod) reaches stability in the 25th period, the penen variable (Field) reaches stability in the period 28, the consumption variable (Cons) reaches stability in the 25th period, the income (Inc) variable reaches stability in the 20th period, the inflation variable reaches stability in the 27th period. namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) and inflation (inf).
Co-Authors Ainani As’ad , Octasella Astuti, Aulia Putri Dwi Eva Yanti, Mariana Faiz Ahmad Sibuea Hamela Sari Sitompul Intan Maulina, Intan Mariana Eva Yanti Mulia, Sukri Nasution , Nurhadida Nasution, Nurhadida Nurhadida Nasution Pratama, Harry R. Sapto Hendri Boedi Soesatyo Rizqi, Fauzan Salmiah Salmiah Sitompul, Hamela Sari Sukri Mulia Supriadi Surbakti Yanti , Mariana Eva Yanti, Mariana Eva Yurizki, Yusra Yurizky, Yusra Yusra Yurizki