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Journal : Management Science Research Journal

The impact of macroeconomic variables and the volatility index (VIX) on the Indonesian Composite Index Winarno, Dwi; Manurung, Adler Haymans; Sembel, Roy; Hardiyanti, Siti Epa
Management Science Research Journal Vol. 2 No. 3 (2023): August 2023
Publisher : PT Larva Wijaya Penerbit

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56548/msr.v2i3.61

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship and influence between variables in the context of the Indonesian Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG). The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is estimated using a dataset with a complete sample size of 32 and a final sample size of 27. The results of the study show that the IHSG has a significant influence on its own movement in each period, indicating a self-reinforcing pattern. The VIX index shows a significant negative influence on changes in IHSG in the previous period, indicating the impact of market volatility on the IHSG. On the other hand, variables such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Inflation, and Bank Indonesia's Middle Exchange Rate (Middle Rate BI) do not show a significant influence on changes in IHSG in the previous period. Furthermore, the analysis of long-term influence indicates that changes in IHSG in the previous period have a significant negative influence on changes in IHSG in the current period, reflecting a tendency towards long-term equilibrium. The VIX index also shows a significant positive influence on changes in IHSG in the current period, indicating short-term volatility effects. However, GDP, Inflation, and Middle Rate BI do not have a significant influence on changes in IHSG in the current period
The Measurement of Efficiency and Analysis of Factors Affecting Conventional Commercial Banks in Indonesia Aziz, Lukmanul Hakim; Manurung, Adler Haymans; Sembel, Roy; Imron, Ali
Management Science Research Journal Vol. 2 No. 3 (2023): August 2023
Publisher : PT Larva Wijaya Penerbit

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56548/msr.v2i3.63

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to measure the level of efficiency of conventional commercial banks in Indonesia with input variables that are thought to influence output variables using non-parametric methods using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model and then to analyze the factors that affect the levels of bank efficiency. The object of this study consisted of 12 (twelve) Conventional Commercial Banks in Indonesia which were analyzed from 2012 to 2021. Overall, the results show that the level of efficiency of Conventional Commercial Banks in Indonesia during the period of this study, has not yet reached an optimal level of effectiveness. The factors that significantly affect the level of efficiency of conventional commercial banks are Concentration Ratio 4 (CR4), Market Share (MS), Lerner Index (LI), Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and Capital Adequacy Ratio. (CAR). While the factors that do not affect the level of efficiency of conventional commercial banks are Return on Assets (ROA) and Non-Performing Loans. (NPL).