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ANALISIS PENGARUH KESEMPATAN KERJA, TINGKAT BEBAN/TANGGUNGAN DAN PENDIDIKAN TERHADAP PENGANGGURAN DI PROPINSIDATIIJAWA TENGAH Soebagiyo, Daryono; Hasmarini, Maulidyah Indira; Chuzaimah, Chuzaimah
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.3999

Abstract

The objectives of this research are: to analyze influence of employment level, the other population burden level and the education level influences the unemployment in Central Java Province, as well as to find out how big the influence of each variable in short and long term, namely, job opportunity, the other population burden level and the education level i.e. elementary school, secondary school and high school toward unemployment in Central Java. This research was conducted in central Java, with secondary data which supported by the primary data from interviewing result with competent party.This research used Adaptive Expectancy Model as its analysis tools, namely, rationalization model which proposed by Nerlove (as in the Econometrics Gujarati book), namely, called as Stock Adjustment Model or Partial Adjustment Model (PAM)The result of this research acquired is for lower education, labor recruitment still can be done to decrease the unemployment level in the province. While for middle educational level, there is obstacle in recruitment of labors, even though; it still can be overcome because of the little relative. Yet, for the higher education, even though, in this analysis concluded that none of independent variable which used has the significant influence toward the dependent variable of unemployment, this is enabled because the higher education tends to search for the job not only in solely Central Java Province, but also they can search for the job in the other province that has leading sector of effort agreeing with that education. The higher education level is, then the lower the influence of burden level will not influence unemployment level either in short or long term is.
ISU STRATEGI PEMBIAYAAN DEFISIT ANGGARAN DI INDONESIA Soebagiyo, Daryono
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 13, No 2 (2012): JEP Desember 2012
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v13i2.173

Abstract

The issue of budget deficit financing strategy has been broad enough to gain attention in macroeconomic policy. This study is focused on Analysis of Budget Deficit Financing in Indonesia. How is the deficit financing management implemented such as what are the best sources and its contribution to the Indonesian economy. The study explains that the model used to estimate the impact indicators is capable to manage budget deficit financing, in which the variable domestic financing and external debt encourages the economic growth. Another research goal is to identify the amount of deficit financing sources and their effects on the economy. Under normal conditions in simulation 2. by increasing foreign financing about 15 percent, economic growth will increase about 1.40 percent, and inflation will fall about 0.11. In the crisis where the interest rate increased 15 percent and domestic financing increased with the same rate, economic growth will fall 0.08 and inflation 0.01 percent.
Leading Sectors 15 Countries-District in Central Java Soebagyo, Daryono; Hascaryo, Arifin Sri
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 17, No 1 (2016): JEP June 2016
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v17i1.2087

Abstract

Sectors of the economy are vital to the economic growth of a region. A sector can be said to be high productivity levels and if the sector is able to absorb a large workforce and the use of human resources as efficiently as possible. Each area has advantages in certain sectors which could be a contributor to economic growth. This study was conducted to determine and explain the influence of the areas that have a particular advantage to economic growth. Measurements using the Location Quotient leading sectors, whereas the determinant analysis using panel data. This research is expected to know the areas that have the basic sector and determine its impact on economic growth in Central Java. An area is said to have a dominant sector if it has a score of more than 1 and is said not to have if less than 1. The sample used in this study are 15 city / county for the years from 2007 to 2011. The results of the analysis using the LQ shows that in 2007-2011 there were about eight areas that excel in the agricultural sector, 9 in the industrial and commercial sector.
Factors Contributing to Deficit Spending in Indonesia Walyoto, Sri; Soebagiyo, Daryono; Hapsoro, Ahmad Luthfi Ridho
Shirkah: Journal of Economics and Business Vol 6, No 2 (2021)
Publisher : IAIN Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22515/shirkah.v6i2.350

Abstract

The issues concerning deficit spending have been a major concern in macroeconomic policies. Each country has a different method to solve the problems, including by devising appropriate deficit spending policies. This study investigates the effect of deficit spending in Indonesia. The effect of deficit management is seen from the sources to finance budget deficit, the efforts that are made, and the ability to contribute to the economy. Another research objective is to identify the magnitude of the effect of deficit spending and its effect on the national economy. This study attempts to explain that the applied model is able to determine the factors that contribute to deficit spending in Indonesia. The findings of this study reveal that both in the short- and long-run, external debts have a positive and significant effect on deficit spending. On the contrary, the economic growth and inflation rate have no significant effect on deficit spending.
PENENTU INFLASI DI INDONESIA; JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, NILAI TUKAR, ATAUKAH CADANGAN DEVISA? Utami, Annisa Tri; Soebagiyo, Daryono
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan JESP Volume 14 Nomor 2, Oktober 2013
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

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Abstract

This study aims to determine how the influence of gross domestic product (GDP) on the inflation rate in Indonesia, how the influence in the money supply on inflation rate in Indonesia, how the influence of currency exchange rate Rupiah / USD on the inflation rate in Indonesia, and how the influence of reserves foreign exchange on the inflation rate in Indonesia. The data used in this study is quantitative data and data sources used are quarterly data with the period 2007-2013. The method used in this study is the method of least squares regression or ordinary least squares (OLS). The results showed that the Gross Domestic Product, Money Supply, Exchange Rates and International Reserves simultaneously affect Inflation in Indonesia in 2007-2013. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and foreign exchange reserves in that period did not affect inflation in Indonesia. Money Supply significant negative effect on inflation in Indonesia. Exchange Rates significant positive effect on inflation in Indonesia Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui bagaimana pengaruh produk domestik bruto (PDB) terhadap tingkat inflasi di Indonesia, bagaimana pengaruh perubahan jumlah uang beredar terhadap tingkat inflasi di Indonesia, bagaimana pengaruh nilai tukar mata uang Rupiah/USD terhadap tingkat inflasi di Indonesia, dan  bagaimana pengaruh cadangan devisa terhadap tingkat inflasi di Indonesia. Jenis data yang digunakan dalam studi ini adalah data kuantitatif dan sumber data yang digunakan adalah data triwulan dengan periode 2007-2013. Metode yang digunakan dalam studi ini adalah metode regresi kuadrat terkecil atau Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil menunjukkan bahwa Produk Domestik Bruto, Jumlah Uang Beredar, Nilai Tukar, dan Cadangan Devisa secara serempak mempengaruhi Inflasi di Indonesia pada tahun 2007-2013. Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) dan Cadangan devisa pada periode tersebut tidak mempengaruhi Inflasi di Indonesia. Jumlah Uang Beredar berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia. Nilai Tukar berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia. 
EFEK PENINGKATAN UPAH MINIMUM TERHADAP TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN Panjawa, Jihad Lukis; Soebagiyo, Daryono
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan JESP Volume 15 Nomor 1, April 2014
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

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Abstract: This research aims to analyze the determinants of unemployment rate in Surakarta Residency. The analytical method used in this study is panel data regression. Data panel is a combination of cross section that includes seven regencies in Surakarta and time series during 15 years from 1999-2013. The results showed that Fixed Effects Model (FEM) is the most ap­propriate. Based on simultaneous test, minimum wage, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), infla­tion, and the number of population simultaneously have an impact on the unemployment rate. Based on the effect validity test, the minimum wage and population has significant positive effect on the unemployment rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has significant negative effect on the unemployment rate, while inflation does not have significant effect on the unem­ployment rate.Abstrak: Studi ini bertujuan menganalisis faktor-faktor penentu tingkat pengangguran se-Karesidenan Surakarta. Teknik analisis yang digunakan dalam studi ini adalah regresi data panel. Data panel merupakan gabungan data cross section yang meliputi tujuh kabu­paten/kota di Karesidenan Surakarta dan time series selama 15 tahun dari tahun 1999-2013. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa Fixed Effect Model (FEM) merupakan model regresi data panel yang paling tepat. Berdasarkan uji simultan, upah minimum, Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB), inflasi, jumlah penduduk secara serempak memiliki pengaruh ter­hadap tingkat pengangguran. Berdasarkan uji validitas, upah minimum dan jumlah penduduk memiliki pengaruh positif signifikan terhadap tingkat pengangguran, Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap tingkat pengang­guran, sedangkan inflasi tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap tingkat pengangguran.
PROFITABILITAS DAN EFISIENSI USAHATANI BAWANG MERAH Imron Rosyadi; Daryono Soebagyo; - Suyatmin
PROSIDING SEMINAR NASIONAL & INTERNASIONAL 2015: Prosiding Bidang Sosial Ekonomi dan Psikologi The 2nd University Research Colloquium
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (272.616 KB)

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to determine and analyze the profitability and performance of onionfarming marketing margins; analyze and know the parts of prices received by farmers (farmer'sshare) and analyze the efficiency of onion farming in the district of Brebes. Samples taken in thisstudy is 30 onion farmers in the district of Brebes, who settled in six (6) Village, each village wastaken 5 farmers as the research sample. These results indicate that the location of onion farmingresearch does not provide benefits Significant (unprofitable) to the household economy of farmers.The high selling prices at the retail level and supermarkets do not have a significant impact on thelevel of profits of farming in the study area. Farming is done by farmers in the study area isinefficient. Onion marketing chain in the study area is relatively long, which consists of 4 lines ofmarketing: (i) farmers, traders, retailers in Brebes, end consumers in Brebes; (ii) farmers,wholesalers, traders in the central market Kramat Jati, market retailers outside of Jakarta, thefinal consumer in and outside Jakarta; (iii) farmers, traders in the central market Kramat Jati,market retailers outside of Jakarta, the final consumer in and outside Jakarta; and (iv) farmers,wholesalers, traders between islands outside Java vendors, and end users outside Java.Keywords: farming onion, profitability, efficient, output-input
PERANAN PENDAPATAN RIIL, TINGKAT BUNGA DAN INFLASI DALAM FUNGSI PERMINTAAN UANG Daryono Soebagiyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 1 (2003) : JEP Juni 2003
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v4i1.4015

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This writing to see problem of real income, inflation, and interest rate in money demand function. There are some perception similarities that money demand largely depends on the income or GNP (Gross National Product), besides other factors involved, like interest and inflation rates. However, to make and estimation about money demand in and economic system, it will involved some interrelated problems. (I) The definition of the most suitable money, (2) argumentation about money demand function, (3) the stability of the function statistically from period to period.The writer persons a study model from M. Semudram with OLS (Ordinary Least Square) method towards function in the form of log linear where the variable inserted is the demanded sum of nominal money, consumers price index, nominal GNP, interest rate, and inflation rate.
DISPARITAS PEMBANGUNAN DAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHINYA (STUDI KASUS DI DAERAH SUMBAGSEL) Daryono Soebagiyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 1 (2000) : JEP Juni 2000
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v1i1.3890

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This is well illustrated by recent research into inter-regional development growth disparities. Some researchers have followed the Neoclassical route, emphasizing the role of the Williamson Index, and then can be expressed relationship in general form that in regression and correlation coefficient analysis involving time series data. The objectives of this research was to preview the classification development of disparities and influence factors in the late five years during 1992-1996, case study in SUMBAGSEL. The Analysis can be calculated to measure the government revenue, income regional and contributed tax sectors.
MODEL PERENCANAAN EKONOMI MELALUI METODE PENGAMBILAN KEPUTUSAN DENGAN AHP (ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS) Daryono Soebagiyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 1 (2001) : JEP Juni 2001
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v2i1.3904

Abstract

The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a decision and planning which has received a great deal of attention in the past few years from both prettiness of the art/science of planning, and from theoreticians interested in this innovative approach in planning.This paper it is shown that to demonstrated used a simulation analysis measurement involved in the AHP's theory the one of how to derive priority vectors from matrix ofpairwise comparisons has found an especially large interest. Following the concept, AHP server as framework for people to structure their own problem and provide judgements based on knowledge, season on felling, to derive a set of priorities considered as an optimal solution to decision problem.