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ISU STRATEGI PEMBIAYAAN DEFISIT ANGGARAN DI INDONESIA Daryono Soebagiyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 13, No 2 (2012): JEP Desember 2012
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v13i2.173

Abstract

The issue of budget deficit financing strategy has been broad enough to gain attention in macroeconomic policy. This study is focused on Analysis of Budget Deficit Financing in Indonesia. How is the deficit financing management implemented such as what are the best sources and its contribution to the Indonesian economy. The study explains that the model used to estimate the impact indicators is capable to manage budget deficit financing, in which the variable domestic financing and external debt encourages the economic growth. Another research goal is to identify the amount of deficit financing sources and their effects on the economy. Under normal conditions in simulation 2. by increasing foreign financing about 15 percent, economic growth will increase about 1.40 percent, and inflation will fall about 0.11. In the crisis where the interest rate increased 15 percent and domestic financing increased with the same rate, economic growth will fall 0.08 and inflation 0.01 percent.
Leading Sectors 15 Countries-District in Central Java Daryono Soebagyo; Arifin Sri Hascaryo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 17, No 1 (2016): JEP June 2016
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v17i1.2087

Abstract

Sectors of the economy are vital to the economic growth of a region. A sector can be said to be high productivity levels and if the sector is able to absorb a large workforce and the use of human resources as efficiently as possible. Each area has advantages in certain sectors which could be a contributor to economic growth. This study was conducted to determine and explain the influence of the areas that have a particular advantage to economic growth. Measurements using the Location Quotient leading sectors, whereas the determinant analysis using panel data. This research is expected to know the areas that have the basic sector and determine its impact on economic growth in Central Java. An area is said to have a dominant sector if it has a score of more than 1 and is said not to have if less than 1. The sample used in this study are 15 city / county for the years from 2007 to 2011. The results of the analysis using the LQ shows that in 2007-2011 there were about eight areas that excel in the agricultural sector, 9 in the industrial and commercial sector.
ANALISIS EXPORT BASE TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PROPINSI DATII JAWA TIMUR PERIODE 1997-2001 Sri Rahayu; Daryono Soebagiyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 5, No 1 (2004) : JEP Juni 2004
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v5i1.4033

Abstract

The growth of many economic sectors can support mutually. Therefore, it needs to analyze the sectors which have potency to be basis sector and non-basis sectors. Some activities of economic sector in an area is basic, it is means that its growth rises and determines development of the area entirely, while activities of non-basic economic sector is consequence of the development entirely. More further, to make clearer the identification to the activity of economic sector, it needs to analyze the large of multiplier of the basis sector activity to the region income and the leaking level of region income which occurred as result of basis sector activity.The research area is East Java province, and object of PRDB research sector ally in East Java province in 1997-2001 and PDB Indonesia is as references. This research is explorative. To analyze the basis sector is used LQ method.
ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS AFFECTING ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA FROM 2005-2021 Arien Juliana; Daryono Soebagiyo
JIM UPB (Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Universitas Putera Batam) Vol 11 No 1 (2023): Volume 11 Nomor 1 2023
Publisher : Universitas Putera Batam

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Abstract

The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of exports, tax revenues and the rupiah exchange rate on economic growth in Indonesia in 2005-2021. This study uses time series data in the form of exports, tax revenues, and exchange rates in 2005-2021. This study uses secondary data sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics, Bank Indonesia. Then the data is processed using the Eviews 10 application, after which the data is processed using the OLS (Ordinary Least Square) regression analysis tool and using the classic assumption test. By showing that the analysis of the Coefficient of Determination is 60.3% that exports, tax revenues and the exchange rate affect Indonesia's economic growth by 60.3% while the remaining 39.7% is influenced by variables or other factors not included in this research model
ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA 2001-2021 Wahyu Krisniawanti; Daryono Soebagiyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi, 2023 Periode Januari - Maret
Publisher : SEAN Institute

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Abstract

Economic Growth in a country is often related to policies that have been set by the government to overcome economic problems. This study aims to analyze the effect of Inflation, Rupiah Exchange Rate, Bi Rate, Exports and Imports on Economic Growth in 2001-2021. The type of research data is quantitative data with secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Word Bank and Bank Indonesia (BI). In this study using multiple linear regression method with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) analysis tool. This study found that the Inflation variable has a positive and significant effect on Economic Growth. then the Exchange Rate variable has a negative and significant effect on Economic Growth. Bi Rate, Export and Import variables have no effect on Economic Growth. This needs control in policies regulated by the government for the purpose of increasing growth and the economy in Indonesia.
Analisis Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Selama Periode 2001-2022 Taufik Alfatar; Daryono Soebagiyo
Primanomics : Jurnal Ekonomi & Bisnis Vol. 21 No. 2 (2023): Jurnal Primanomics : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Publisher : Fakultas Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31253/pe.v21i2.1883

Abstract

Pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan proses perubahan kondisi perekonomian suatu negara secara berkesinambungan menuju waktu yang lebih baik dalam periode waktu tertentu. Pertumbuhan ekonomi dapat diartikan sebagai proses kenaikan kapasitas produksi suatu perekonomian yang tercermin dari kenaikan pendapatan nasional. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui bagaimana ekspor, impor, inflasi, nilai tukar, dan suku bunga SBI baik secara parsial maupun simultan mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia dari tahun 2001 hingga 2022. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series Indonesia dari tahun 2001 hingga 2022 sebagai data sekunder. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) adalah teknik analisis yang digunakan untuk menganalisis penelitian. Secara parsial Pertumbuhan ekonomi dipengaruhi oleh suku bunga, inflasi, dan nilai tukar, menurut penelitian ini. Sementara itu, pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia antara tahun 2001 dan 2022 tidak dipengaruhi oleh ekspor maupun impor. Sementara secara simultan, pertumbuhan ekonomi tahun 2001-2022 dipengaruhi oleh ekspor, impor, nilai tukar, inflasi dan suku bunga. Karena variabel independen yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini tidak dapat sepenuhnya menjelaskan faktor-faktor pertumbuhan ekonomi, maka peneliti berharap penelitian selanjutnya dapat menggunakan variabel yang lebih sulit diukur dan lebih kompleks
Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Utang Luar Negeri di Indonesia Tahun 2005-2022 Farhan Nur Febrianto; Daryono Soebagiyo
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 3 No. 4 (2023): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v3i4.4693

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor apa saja yang mempengaruhi utang luar negeri di Indonesia tahun 2005-2022. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini diambil dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dan Bank Indonesia (BI), penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis regresi Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) dengan pendekatan Uji Normalitas Residual, Otoko­relasi, Heteroskedastisitas, dan uji Lini­eritas. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa Ekspor dan PDB berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Utang Luar Negeri. Dari hasil regresi didapat nilai R Square sebesar 0,987 yang artinya secara keselu­ruhan variabel independen, Ekspor (EKS), Product Domestic Bruto (PDB), Nilai Tukar Rupiah (KURS), bisa menje­laskan 98,7 persen variasi atau naik turunnya variabel Utang Luar Negeri (ULN).
Analisis Pengaruh Kebijakan Moneter Terhadap Defisit Anggaran Indonesia Tahun 2000-2022 Husna Kirana Dewi; Daryono Soebagiyo
Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal (MSEJ) Vol. 4 No. 5 (2023): Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal (MSEJ)
Publisher : Yayasan Pendidikan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual (YRPI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/msej.v4i5.3029

Abstract

Penelitian ini membahas tentang pengaruh kebijakan moneter terhadap defisit anggaran Indonesia, tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengukur arah dan besarnya pengaruh variabel indipenden, yaitu inflasi, jumlah uang beredar, tingkat bunga sertifikat bank Indonesia dan nilai tukar terhadap variabel dependen defisit anggaran Indonesia periode tahun 2000-2022. Data penelitian menggunakan data sekunder deret waktu (time series) dari tahun 2000 sampai dengan 2022 bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik, Bank Indonesia, Kementrian Keuangan Indonesia. Alat analisis penelitian menggunakan regresi Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil penelitian mengemukakan bahwa inflasi, jumlah uang beredar dan tingkat bunga sertifikat bank Indonesia berpengaruh terhadap defisit anggaran Indonesia selama periode 2000-2022.
The Effects of Various Internal and External Factors on the Movement of the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange Eni Setyowati; Maulidah IH; Daryono Soebagiyo; Rafiq Azzam Al Afif; Annisa Nur Hidayah; Siti Masitoh; Ibrahim Sorie Kamara
EKUILIBRIUM : JURNAL ILMIAH BIDANG ILMU EKONOMI Vol 19, No 2 (2024): September
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Ponorogo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24269/ekuilibrium.v19i2.2024.pp202-212

Abstract

This study analyzed several factors that affect the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index. The use of the inflation-currency rate, the availability of money, and the BI rate were all internal factors considered in this study. Meanwhile, the external factors used in this study were international gold and oil prices. The Engle-Granger Error Correction Model was used to analyze time series data in this study. The research used the monthly period started from May 2013 until January 2022. The long-term results of the research variables that could influence the exchange rate, total money supply, world oil prices, and world gold prices were all dependent on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index. Meanwhile, the factors that influence the short-term movement of the ISSI exchange rates were inflation, and the BI rate variables.
Dampak Kebijakan Fiskal terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Tahun 2008-2022 Nurhayana, Eri; Soebagiyo, Daryono
JCA (Jurnal Cendekia Akuntansi) Vol 4 No 2 (2023): Desember
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi Prodi Akuntansi

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Abstract

Kebijakan fiskal menjadi elemen penting dalam upaya mencapai pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan di Indonesia. Analisis fokus pada dampak kebijakan fiskal, termasuk Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara (APBN), konsumsi pemerintah, dan investasi, terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi selama beberapa tahun terakhir. Tujuan penelitian adalah mengungkap dampak serta pengaruh kebijakan fiskal menggunakan model Ordinary Least Square (OLS), dengan data berjenis sekunder. Dengan menggunakan data tahun 2008 hingga 2022 yang di peroleh dari BPS. Pentingnya kebijakan fiskal juga tercermin dalam peningkatan konsumsi dan investasi yang signifikan. Hasil analisis menunjukkan peningkatan yang signifikan pada konsumsi dan investasi, sementara variabel APBN tidak memiliki dampak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Implikasi dari temuan ini dapat memberikan panduan bagi perumusan kebijakan fiskal yang lebih efektif untuk mendukung pertumbuhan ekonomi di masa depan.