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All Journal JURNAL BISNIS STRATEGI Jurnal Studi Manajemen Organisasi Diponegoro Journal of Management Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen Journal of Economics, Business, & Accountancy Ventura Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business Jurnal Manajemen Teori dan Terapan Syntax Literate: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia AFRE Accounting Financial Review JOURNAL OF APPLIED ACCOUNTING AND TAXATION DIJB (Diponegoro International Journal of Business) SEIKO : Journal of Management & Business Kumawula: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR) Jurnal Pasar Modal dan Bisnis Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences AL-ARBAH: Journal of Islamic Finance and Banking JURNAL ILMIAH GLOBAL EDUCATION Multidiciplinary Output Research for Actual and International Issue (Morfai Journal) e-Jurnal Apresiasi Ekonomi Research Horizon IIJSE Economic and Business Horizon
Irene Rini Demi Pangestuti
Department Of Management Faculty Of Economics And Business Universitas Diponegoro Jl. Prof. Soedarto SH, Semarang, 50275
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Social Sciences Other

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Journal : International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)

 1 
Credit Default Prediction Model Using Machine Learning for Credit Monitoring: Empirical Study on Banking in Indonesia Andri Ismatullah Gani; Irene Rini Demi Pangestuti
International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR) Vol. 5 No. 3 (2024): International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)
Publisher : Yayasan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/ijedr.v5i3.4214

Abstract

Credit default is the failure of a borrower to make required principal or interest repayments on a debt. In credit risk management, it is important for banks to anticipate credit defaults, whether in the credit underwriting process or in the area of credit monitoring. In this study we focus on the use of machine learning in the area of credit monitoring to predict default of working capital credit and investment credit based on non-demographic debtors’ data, where we then test model’s accuracy and level of precision that can be achieved, and identify variables that have high importance on the predictive model. Finally we evaluate the model in terms of their explainability using eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tools to identify the relationship of the variables with credit default. We use monthly snapshot of sampled credit accounts data from 105 banks in Indonesia for the period of August 2018 to December 2019 to build a classification machine learning model, and finally evaluate the model in terms of their explainability using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) as one of the algorithms for eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tool. The machine learning model we built can achieve 98.85% accuracy overall and 75% precision in predicting true positive or correctly predicting credit is defaulted. And by using SHAP, we can understand how each variables contribute to the model’s prediction result and thus its relationship with credit default, where most are consistent with previous researches.
Co-Authors Adielyani, Dea Aditya Tri Hardiyawan, Aditya Tri Advento Johanes Pangomo Ajeng Nurmalasari Al Hazmi, Muhammad Zaky Afkar Amie Kusumawardhani, Amie Andri Ismatullah Gani Ardian, Rico Arfinda Piradipta Suharno, Arfinda Piradipta Ariyani, Hilma Faza Augusty Tae Ferdinand Basthiani, Ikrimah Anggita Budi Rahman Clara Dewi Novitasari, Clara Crissy Norris Sianturi, Crissy Norris Cynthia Rahma Fatiha, Cynthia Rahma Cyrena, Maudhita Desi Natalia Pardede, Desi Natalia Dinar Nur Septiyanto Ega Arminta Ega Arminta Fachry Abda El Rahman Fauziah Putri Gantika, Fauziah Febrina Wahyu Widiasari, Febrina Gloria Anindya Perwitaningtyas, Gloria Anindya Hariyanti, Nunik Harjum Muharam Hersugondo Hersugondo Idris Idris Imam Indra Permana Indana, Dina Intan Puspitasari Intan Puspitasari Isdiputra, Feisal Johanis Darwin Borolla Kinasih, Raras Sekar Lhadualiese Sidauruk, Lhadualiese Luthfiati, Fitria Makusara, Kumaralalita Marpaung, Clier Romi Melati Lindasari, Melati Meryta Wityasari, Meryta Meygawan Nurseto Aji Michael Sandra Pramana, Michael Sandra Michael Sitorus, Michael Mochammad Chabachib Mudzakir, Fahmi Utomo Muhammad, Yusuf Muninggar, Aliya Inggita Prameswari Mussadun Mussadun, Mussadun Nashirah, Azizah Fatin Nida ‘Ul Chasanah, Fatihah Nugrahandini, Yuliastanti Nurul Hakim, Nurul Oktaviani oktaviani Otto Fitriandy Pradhipta, Rama Dwika Prianka Ratri Nastiti, Prianka Ratri Priono, Andri Puji Irawan, Puji Putra, Aditya Mahendra Putri, Aisya Sylvana Rahmadani, Salsabila Gading Ramadhan, Iqbal Ryan Retno Susanti Risky Diba Avrita, Risky Diba Robinson robinson Robiyanto Safitri, Maria Sarah Dewi Fathinna, Sarah Dewi Septi Rianasari, Septi Simanjuntak, Tagora Bangkit Pahala Sirait, Eugenia Chacita Siwa Adnyana, Ida Bagus Putu Soares, Ersilda Dos Santos Mota Soegiono Soegiono Sugeng Wahyudi, Sugeng Suryanegara, Arya Susilo Toto Raharjo Swaskarina, Neisya Hafizha Triana, Tika Tsabit, Ilhaam Anggra Za’im Wafdayanti, Haasya Wakhidah Kurniawati Widiastuti, Cahyaning Ajeng Wisesa, Baskara Bayu Wisnu Mawardi Yesica Yulian Adicondro, Yesica Yulian Yesy Hartina Alusia, Yesy Hartina Yudha, Aji Yudistira, Eka Maisa Yuwana Sari, Rida