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Journal : Balance : Jurnal Akuntansi dan Manajemen

Determinants of Poverty in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Analysis of Economic and Social Factors across 20 Provinces Prawoto, Nano
Balance : Jurnal Akuntansi dan Manajemen Vol. 3 No. 3 (2024): Desember 2024
Publisher : Lembaga Riset Ilmiah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59086/jam.v3i3.609

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of economic growth, population, general allocation funds (DAU), education budget, and foreign direct investment (FDI) on the number of poor people in 20 provinces in Indonesia in the 2012-2022 period. The analysis tool used in this study is the dynamic panel regression approach. This study found that in the short term, the number of people and DAU had a positive effect on the increase in the number of poor people, while the education and FDI budgets had a negative impact, reducing the number of poor people. In the long run, economic growth, population growth, and FDI have been shown to have a significant effect on reducing poverty rates. These findings provide important insights for government economic policy, which needs strengthen effective allocation of funds and focus on improving the quality of education and improving the investment climate to drive inclusive economic growth. In addition, policies that promote foreign investment and more efficient management of DAU can accelerate the poverty alleviation process in Indonesia.
Economic Factors Affecting Imports Per Capita in Indonesia: Empirical Evidence from the Error Correction Model Prawoto, Nano
Balance : Jurnal Akuntansi dan Manajemen Vol. 4 No. 1 (2025): April 2025
Publisher : Lembaga Riset Ilmiah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59086/jam.v4i1.611

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of economic factors on the per capita import of goods and services in Indonesia, focusing on GDP per capita, consumption per capita, population, value added of the manufacturing sector, international trade taxes, and exchange rates. Using annual data from the World Development Indicator for the period 1989 to 2023, the analysis was carried out using the dynamic Error Correction Model (ECM). The results show that in the long run, imports per capita are significantly influenced by GDP per capita, consumption per capita, population, added value of the manufacturing sector, and international trade taxes. However, the exchange rate does not show a significant influence on imports per capita in Indonesia. In contrast, in the short term, changes in GDP per capita, consumption per capita, exchange rate, and the added value of the manufacturing sector have a significant influence on changes in imports, while population size and international trade taxes have no significant effect. These findings have important implications for Indonesia's economic policy, particularly in trade policy planning and management of the manufacturing sector, as well as for designing strategies to increase economic independence by considering factors affecting imports. The main contribution of this research is to provide empirical insights that can be used by policymakers in formulating more effective trade and economic development policies, as well as providing a basis for further research on the relationship between macroeconomic variables and imports