I Wayan Ordiyasa
Universitas Respati Yogyakarta

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Harnessing the Power of Stacked GRU for Accurate Weather Predictions Mohammad Diqi; Ahmad Wakhid; I Wayan Ordiyasa; Nurhadi Wijaya; Marselina Endah Hiswati
Indonesian Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining Vol 6, No 2 (2023): September 2023
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24014/ijaidm.v6i2.24769

Abstract

This research proposed a novel approach using Stacked GRU (Gated Recurrent Unit) models to address the problem of weather prediction and aimed to improve forecasting accuracy in sectors like agriculture, transportation, and disaster management. The key idea involved leveraging the temporal dependencies and memory management capabilities of Stacked GRU to model complex weather patterns effectively. Comprehensive data preprocessing ensured data quality and fine-tuning of the model architecture and hyperparameters optimized performance. The research demonstrated the Stacked GRU model's effectiveness in accurately forecasting temperature, pressure, humidity, and wind speed, validated by low RMSE and MAE scores and high R2 coefficients. However, challenges in forecasting humidity and a percentage discrepancy in wind speed predictions were observed. Overfitting and computational complexity were identified as potential limitations. Despite these constraints, the study concluded that the Stacked GRU model showed promise in weather forecasting and warranted further refinement for broader applications in time-series prediction tasks.
Model of MSME Digital Marketing through for Biopharmaceutical Products Marselina Endah Hiswati; Putra Wanda; I Wayan Ordiyasa; Lila Retnani Utami; Supardi RS; Rainbow Tambunan
Proceeding of International Conference on Information Science and Technology Innovation (ICoSTEC) Vol. 2 No. 1 (2023): Proceeding of International Conference on Information Science and Technology In
Publisher : Universitas Respati Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35842/icostec.v2i1.57

Abstract

Sleman Regency has more than 50 traditional markets and also a variety of MSME business and there are more than 18,293 accommodation, food and beverage business sectors that are developing. Mobile-based information technology is urgently needed as a medium that supports efforts to promote and market MSME products, especially traditional culinary products, in this case processed products of Biopharmaca plants. The existence of a social restriction policy due to the COVID-19 pandemic requires the public to recognize technology as a medium of socialization towards digitalization. Thus, a mobile-based application is needed as a meeting place for sellers and buyers specifically for local Sleman products. Digital innovation has an impact on increasing the income and economy of MSME actors in Sleman Regency, Special Region of Yogyakarta
Geometric Structured Trend Tunneling: A Hybrid VARIMA-SVR Model for Synthetic Stock Time Series Generation I Wayan Ordiyasa; Ahmad Sahal; Gladies Serren Kutani
International Journal of Informatics Engineering and Computing Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): International Journal of Informatics Engineering and Computing
Publisher : ASTEEC

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70687/g9r7y321

Abstract

This study presents a novel hybrid framework, Geometric Structured Trend Tunneling (GSTT), for generating synthetic multivariate time series data, specifically applied to stock price data of Medco Energi Internasional (MEDC), a major player in Indonesia’s energy sector. The proposed model integrates the statistical power of Vector Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (VARIMA) with the nonlinear pattern-capturing capability of Support Vector Regression (SVR), enabling high-fidelity reconstruction of temporal structures and feature dependencies in financial datasets. The dataset used spans over two decades (2003–2024) and includes core trading indicators such as Open, High, Low, and Close prices. Experimental results demonstrate that GSTT achieves excellent performance across multiple evaluation metrics, including MAE, RMSE, R², and KS tests, while preserving inter-feature correlations and distributional fidelity. Visual comparisons and descriptive statistics further confirm the model’s ability to replicate realistic market behavior. Unlike deep generative models such as GANs or VAEs, GSTT offers a more interpretable, stable, and computationally efficient alternative for financial data augmentation, simulation, and robust AI training. This work contributes a scalable solution for addressing data scarcity in financial modeling, with potential applications in backtesting, risk analysis, and algorithmic trading simulations.
Optimizing Sunspot Forecasts: An In-Depth Analysis of the ConcaveLSTM Model I Wayan Ordiyasa; Mohammad Diqi; Marselina Endah Hiswati; Aulia Fadillah Wani Wandani
International Journal of Informatics Engineering and Computing Vol. 2 No. 1 (2025): International Journal of Informatics Engineering and Computing
Publisher : ASTEEC

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70687/ijimatic.v2i1.103

Abstract

This work examines how effectively the ConcaveLSTM model can forecast sunspot numbers, recognizing their importance in space weather. The model addresses the complex and changing sunspot characteristics to improve forecasting accuracy. By comparing different model variations, this research identifies optimal combinations of input steps and LSTM units that enhance forecast performance while avoiding overfitting. The study showcases the capability of specific architectures concerning detail versus computational cost, using evaluation metrics such as RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and R2. Considering factors like limited data availability and the complexity of solar phenomena, the ConcaveLSTM model could be a valuable tool for predicting solar activity. This research advances understanding of space weather forecasting through machine learning and offers guidance for further model development and future investigations.
Log-Scale Correlation Classifier for Mushroom Identification in Agricultural Internet of Things Systems I Wayan Ordiyasa; Mohammad Diqi; Marselina Endah Hiswati; Dian Rhesa Rahmayanti; Umar Basuki; Ida Hafizah
Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) Vol 10 No 2 (2026): April 2026
Publisher : Ikatan Ahli Informatika Indonesia (IAII)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29207/resti.v10i2.6841

Abstract

Classifying edible and poisonous mushrooms is crucial to food safety, as misidentification can pose severe toxicological risks. Conventional probabilistic classifiers, such as Naïve Bayes and Logistic Regression, often underperform on categorical datasets with correlated attributes and skewed distributions. This study introduces the Log-Scale Feature Correlation Classifier, a novel probabilistic framework that integrates logarithmic transformation and correlation-weighted probability estimation to address these challenges. Using the UCI Mushroom dataset and a 10-fold cross-validation scheme, LSFCC was benchmarked against standard models. The results demonstrate that LSFCC achieved consistently superior accuracy (0.99), precision, and recall, significantly outperforming both Logistic Regression and Naïve Bayes, as confirmed by statistical tests (p<0.01). Its lightweight design and interpretability make it highly suitable for real-time deployment on resource-constrained IoT devices, particularly within Agricultural IoT systems for autonomous mushroom identification. Future research will explore LSFCC’s adaptability to noisy, multimodal data and hybrid architectures, ensuring broader applicability in real-world bioinformatics and food safety domains.