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Relationship Between Financial Inclusion and Economic Growth: : Evidence From Ardl Modelling Musa, Ibrahim; Magaji, Sule; Salisu, Ali
International Journal of Indonesian Business Review Vol. 2 No. 2 (2023)
Publisher : Asosiasi Dosen Peneliti Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54099/ijibr.v2i2.377

Abstract

This study examines the impact of financial inclusion on economic growth in Nigeria. The statistical properties of data were tested using Zivot-Andrew unit root test. The Zivot Andrew unit root test indicates that gross domestic product, commercial bank branches (CBB) and mobile phone-based transactions are stationary at first difference while Automated Teller Machines (ATM) and foreign direct investment (FDI) are stationary at level. ATM has negative impact on GDP product in Nigeria. The long run coefficient shows that CBB has positive impact on GDP. ATM has positive impact on GDP. Mobile phone-based transaction has positive impact on GDP. FDI has positive impact on GDP. The error correction term (ECT) meets all the theoretical and statistical requirements both in the sign and size. This indicates that at 52.26% of the disequilibrium due to the shock in the previous years is adjusted back to the long run equilibrium in the current year. The Granger causality test shows that CBB, ATM, domestic depositors’ money in banks and FDI granger causes GDP while mobile phone-based transactions do not granger cause GDP. The study recommends that Central Bank of Nigeria should compel commercial banks to add the number of ATM in each branch.
Analysis of the Impact of Insecurity on Youth Unemployment (1990-2020): Analysis of the Impact of Insecurity on Youth Unemployment Musa, Ibrahim
International Journal of Management and Business Economics Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): February
Publisher : CV Putra Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58540/ijmebe.v2i1.225

Abstract

Using the ordinary least square estimation technique (OLS), this research examines the impact of insecurity on youth unemployment in Nigeria between 1990 and 2020. The study focuses on the relationship between the dependent variable, unemployment (UNE), and two independent variables, the National Terrorism Index (NTI) and Crime Rate (CR). The results reveal that NTI has a positive and statistically significant effect on UNE. Specifically, a unit increase in NTI leads to a 0.000827 rise in unemployment. Additionally, Nigerian CR demonstrates a significant and positive influence on UNE, with an increase in CR resulting in a 0.005653 increase in unemployment. Given that heightened insecurity directly contributes to unemployment, the study proposes several policy recommendations. Firstly, the government should consider reducing interest rates in commercial banks to enhance the availability of loans for small business owners, enabling them to hire more employees. Furthermore, addressing corruption in both public and private sectors, combating kidnappings, and establishing additional skill acquisition centers are crucial measures to tackle the issue of insecurity and promote employment opportunities.
Empirical Analysis of Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria (1990-2022) Musa, Ibrahim; Ahmad, Abdullahi Idris
Integrated Journal of Business and Economics (IJBE) Vol 8, No 1 (2024): Integrated Journal of Business and Economics
Publisher : Universitas Bangka Belitung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33019/ijbe.v8i1.826

Abstract

This study examines the effects of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria throughout 1990-2022. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound cointegration is employed to analyse both the short-term and long-term dynamics. The research incorporates various monetary policy instruments as variables, namely Broad Money Supply (MS), Interest Rate (INTR), Inflation Rate (INFR), and Exchange Rate (EXR). Additionally, Economic Growth is measured by the Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate (RGDP). It utilises published data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). Results indicate the long-term statistical significance of the money supply (MS), inflation rate (INF), and exchange rate concerning their impact on the Growth Rate of RGDP. In the short run, it was seen that the MS exhibited statistical significance and exerted a positive influence on RGDP. Conversely, both INTR and EXR were statistically significant and were associated with a negative and significant association with RGDP. Consequently, the study suggests implementing monetary policy to cultivate a conducive investment climate. This may be achieved by promoting market-driven interest and currency rates, stimulating domestic investment, and enticing foreign direct investment.
The Monetary Policy Shocks and Economic Growth: Evidence From SVAR Modelling Musa, Ibrahim; Magaji, Sule; Salisu, Ali
International Journal of Indonesian Business Review Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Asosiasi Dosen Peneliti Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54099/ijibr.v1i1.170

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study assesses the effect of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria. It used quarterly time series data from 1986Q1 to 2017Q4. SVAR analysis was used to assess the effects of monetary policy following the framework of Inflation Targeting (IT) on economic growth in Nigeria. Findings reveal that monetary policy has a positive shock on economic growth. The monetary policy rate (MPR) positively affects growth. Its effect was however minimal only accounting for a maximum of 3 percent. Also, the broad money supply (M2) had a positive shock but only accounting for a maximum of 7 percent. The study concludes that the inflation targeting (IT) framework is a good monetary policy tool but not sufficient. There is need for other supplementary instruments.
Impact of Market Capitalization on Gross Fixed Capital Formation In Nigeria : 1985-2020 Musa, Ibrahim; Magaji, Sule; Adewale, Adesoji Titus
International Journal of Indonesian Business Review Vol. 2 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Asosiasi Dosen Peneliti Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54099/ijibr.v2i1.338

Abstract

  This study examined impact of market capitalization on capital formation in Nigeria for the period of 1985-2020. Data were collected from secondary sources. The model was estimated with ARDL-ECM technique. The variables analyzed are Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), Market capitalization (MCAP), Number of deals (NOD), change in Value of transaction (CAT), All share index (ASI) and Total listed equities and government stocks (TLE). The unit root resultindicates that CAT, ASI and TLE are stationary at level I(0) while GFCF, MCAP and NOD arestationary at first difference I(1). The ARDL bound test for co integration confirms the existence of co integration among the variables under consideration. The ARDL_ECM parameter is negative(-) and significant which is-0.570142, this shows that 57% percent disequilibrium in the previous period is being corrected to restore equilibrium in the current period. Finally, in the long run all the variables have significant impact on gross fixed capital formation except TLE. It was noted that MCAP, NOD and ASI have negative statistically significant impact on gross fixed capital formation. However, CAT and TLE have positive statistically significant and negative statistically insignificant impact on gross fixed capital formation respectively in Nigeria. The study concluded that market capitalization had negative significant impact on gross fixed capital formation in Nigeria. Hence, recommended that there is need for government to create enabling environment to enhance market participation through transparent and accountability by regulatory authority. This will attract investors to invest in Nigeria capitalmarket and market capitalization will increase as well and capital formation becomes inevitable.  
IMPACT OF MISMANAGEMENT AND EMBEZZLEMENT OF PUBLIC FUNDS ON GOVERNMENT PARASTATALS Yaqub A.B, EL; Musa, Ibrahim; Magaji, Sule
Indonesian Journal of Accounting and Governance Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): JUNE
Publisher : School of Accountancy, University of Agung Podomoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36766/6mwbe003

Abstract

This study examines the impact of mismanagement and embezzlement of public funds in government parastatals using Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), Abuja as a case study. The study employs the survey descriptive research design. A total of 85 respondents were selected as the sample size comprising staff of Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), Abuja. Seventy-one (71) responses were validated from the survey. The findings reveal that the nature of mismanagement and embezzlement of the funds in the public sector is prevalent at (β = 0.912, R2 = 0.948, P = .000) and show that there are factors that enhance mismanagement and embezzlement of the fund in the government parastatals at (β = 0.892, R2 = 0.937, P = .000). It is found that mismanagement and embezzlement have a significant effect on the public fund in government parastatals (β = 0.887, R2 = 0.936, P = .000). It is also found that the extent to which financial irregularities and corrupt practices affect public service delivery (β = 0.896, R2 = 0.952, P = .000). Therefore, the study recommends the establishment of a strong penal code system to enforce laws and rules as sternly as the need for adequate punishment for offenders on corruption and related matters on fund embezzlement is paramount and germane.
Government Policy Effects and Sustainable Entrepreneurship: Implications for Nigeria’s Economic Growth Musa, Ibrahim
International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR) Vol. 7 No. 2 (2026): International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)
Publisher : Yayasan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/ijedr.v7i1.9922

Abstract

This study examines the effects of government policies on sustainable entrepreneurship and their implications for economic growth in Nigeria. Recognising the strategic importance of sustainability-oriented enterprises in promoting long-term economic resilience, the study assesses how regulatory frameworks, fiscal incentives, institutional quality, and public investment shape entrepreneurial behaviour and business sustainability outcomes. Using annual time-series data from 1986 to 2022 and applying econometric techniques such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis, and diagnostic tests, the research empirically evaluates the relationships among government policy variables, sustainable entrepreneurship indicators, and economic performance, measured by GDP growth. Findings reveal that supportive government policies, particularly tax incentives, regulatory reforms, and public investment in sustainable sectors, significantly enhance sustainable entrepreneurial activities and contribute positively to economic growth. Conversely, excessive regulatory burdens hinder entrepreneurship and slow economic expansion. Descriptive statistics further highlight uneven regional development across renewable energy investment, infrastructure, and human capital, which collectively influence entrepreneurial outcomes. The study underscores the critical role of coherent, well-implemented policies in promoting sustainable entrepreneurship as a pathway for economic diversification, innovation, and long-term growth in Nigeria. It concludes with policy recommendations to strengthen institutional capacity, improve regulatory efficiency, and expand sustainability-focused incentives.
STOCK PRICE VOLATILITY DURING COVID-19: EVIDENCE FROM HOSPITALITY FIRMS IN INDONESIA Wahyudi, Setyo Tri; Nabella, Rihana Sofie; Sari, Kartika; Musa, Ibrahim
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 22, No 2 (2022): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : EP FEB UNS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20961/jiep.v22i2.54248

Abstract

This study aims to measure the volatility of stock prices of hospitality firms in Indonesia during the Covid-19 pandemic. Using the stock prices data on hospitality firms and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) methods. The results of the study obtained show that hospitality firms in Indonesia are still filled with uncertainty, as seen by the volatility of stock prices in each company. In addition, forecasting results using ARIMA show that the stock prices of several hospitality firms will be more stable in the future. However, several other firms will still be depressed by the impact of Covid-19.
ANALYSIS OF THE WILLINGNESS TO PAY OF ADI SOEMARMO SURAKARTA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TRAIN USERS Ariendani, Devanda Septian Putri; Musa, Ibrahim
Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries Vol 7, No 2 (2022): Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries
Publisher : MESP–FEB UNS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20961/jaedc.v7i2.79429

Abstract

This study examines the magnitude of the probability value of passenger willingness to pay at the Adi Soemarmo International Airport in Surakarta and determines the factors that affect passenger willingness to pay based on the contingent valuation method approach. The results of this study obtained an average value of Willingness To Pay of IDR 13,765, with variables that affect the Willingness to pay for airport train tickets are age, facilities, services and income. These results are based on users' opinions of the Adi Soemarmo International Airport Train by looking at existing facilities and services and the economic situation of each individual.
IMPACT OF COMMERCIAL BANK’S CREDIT ON MANUFACTURING SECTOR OUTPUT IN NIGERIA Musa, Ibrahim; Ahmad. B., El-Yaqub; Magaji, Sule
Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries Vol 9, No 1 (2024): Journal of Applied Economics in Developing Countries
Publisher : MESP–FEB UNS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20961/jaedc.v9i1.82632

Abstract

This study examines the impact of commercial banks' credit (CBC) on manufacturing sector output (MSO) in Nigeria from 1992 to 2021 using Ex-Post Factor Research Design Approach. The study’s findings indicate that commercial banks credit (CBC) has a beneficial and substantial impact on manufacturing sector output (MSO). The long-term value of CBC has a positive and substantial impact on MSO. A 1% rise in Credit to Small and Medium Businesses (CSM) led to a 0.1866% increase in MSO. Conversely, a unit increase in deposit interest rate (DINR) resulted in a 0.0081% fall in MSO. In the long run, a unit increase in Government Capital Expenditure (GOV) caused a 0.1482% increase in MSO. Therefore, the study recommends that using its monetary policies, federal government can make an efficient policy that allows the manufacturing sector and small and medium enterprises to access bank credit at low interest rates.