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THE EFFECT OF COMMODITY EXPORTS AND FOREIGN DEBT ON FLUCTUATIONS OF INDONESIA'S FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES Noviami Trisniarti; Mutia Rahmah; Muhammad Hafizh; Andika Al Imran; Anggi Rahayu
Multidiciplinary Output Research For Actual and International Issue (MORFAI) Vol. 4 No. 3 (2024): Multidiciplinary Output Research For Actual and International Issue
Publisher : RADJA PUBLIKA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20848252

Abstract

Foreign exchange reserves are crucial in maintaining macroeconomic stability, particularly in developing countries. This study aims to analyze the impact of commodity exports and external debt on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves from 1990 to 2023. A quantitative approach with a multiple linear regression model was employed, using time-series data sourced from BPS, the World Bank, and Bank Indonesia. The dependent variable is foreign exchange reserves, while the independent variables include CPO exports, metal exports, and external debt. The findings indicate that CPO exports significantly improve foreign exchange reserves, highlighting their strategic importance as a primary export commodity. In contrast, metal exports show a significant negative impact, driven by low value-added processing and high dependency on imported materials. External debt demonstrates positive and significant effects, reflecting its utility in strengthening reserves when effectively managed. This study emphasizes the need to enhance value-added processes for commodity exports and prudently manage external debt to optimize Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. Future research could explore other variables, such as foreign direct investment (FDI), monetary factors, tourism, or labour, to provide deeper insights and refine analytical tools.
THE DYNAMICS OF CREATIVITY: MAPPING OPPURTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN THE CREATIVE ECONOMY OF LHOKSEUMAWE Mutia Rahmah; Noviami Trisniarti; Muhammad Hafizh; Ratih Widyadhana; Rezeki Fitri Tritami
International Journal of Economic, Business, Accounting, Agriculture Management and Sharia Administration (IJEBAS) Vol. 4 No. 5 (2024): October
Publisher : CV. Radja Publika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19494404

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the opportunities and challenges in the development of the creative economy in Lhokseumawe City using a SWOT-based approach. A descriptive qualitative method was applied, with data collected through in-depth interviews, observations, and documentation involving key stakeholders, including creative industry actors, government representatives, academics, and communities. The data were analyzed using the Internal Factor Analysis Summary (IFAS) and External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS) matrices to identify internal and external strategic factors. The results indicate that the IFAS score is 2.40 and the EFAS score is 2.40, reflecting moderate internal and external conditions. The strength score (1.50) and opportunity score (1.50) indicate that the sector is supported by strong internal potential and favorable external conditions. Based on the Cartesian SWOT analysis, the creative economy in Lhokseumawe City is positioned in Quadrant I, suggesting the implementation of an aggressive strategy. Therefore, optimizing strengths and opportunities through innovation, digital transformation, and stakeholder collaboration is essential to support sustainable development.
THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH, POPULATION GROWTH AND UNEMPLOYMENT ON POVERTY LEVELS IN INDONESIA Yuli Annisa; Ratna; Fanny Nailufar; Noviami Trisniarti
Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): JOURNAL OF MALIKUSSALEH PUBLIC ECONOMICS
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jompe.v9i1.27158

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of economic growth, population growth, and unemployment on poverty levels in Indonesia in both the short and long run. The data used are time series data for the period 1991–2024, sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the World Bank. The analytical method employed is the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to examine both short-term and long-term relationships among variables. The results show that in the short run, economic growth has a negative effect on poverty levels in Indonesia, while population growth and unemployment have positive effects on poverty levels. In the long run, economic growth also has a negative effect on poverty levels, whereas population growth and unemployment continue to have positive effects on poverty levels. This implies that an increase in economic growth can reduce poverty levels. Conversely, population growth and unemployment contribute to an increase in poverty levels.
Pelatihan Pembuatan Miy-U: Pemanfaatan Potensi Kelapa Secara Berkelanjutan Noviami Trisniarti; Khairisma; Yoesrizal Muhammad Yoesoef; Figo Yori Dareza
Aksi Kita: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Vol. 1 No. 4 (2025): JULI-AGUSTUS
Publisher : Indo Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63822/7e51ky22

Abstract

Desa Panton Rayeuk II, Kecamatan Kuta Makmur, Kabupaten Aceh Utara memiliki potensi kelapa yang belum dimanfaatkan secara optimal. Banyak buah kelapa yang dibiarkan membusuk karena masyarakat belum memiliki keterampilan teknis untuk mengolahnya menjadi produk bernilai ekonomi. Kegiatan pengabdian ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kemampuan masyarakat dalam mengolah kelapa menjadi minyak kelapa murni (Miy-U) dengan metode sederhana. Pelaksanaan kegiatan dibagi menjadi tiga tahap: pra pelaksanaan (observasi dan koordinasi), pelaksanaan (pelatihan teknik produksi minyak kelapa), dan evaluasi (refleksi dan penilaian pemahaman peserta). Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan bahwa sebanyak 25 warga terlibat aktif dalam pelatihan dan berhasil memproduksi sekitar 30 botol Miy-U ukuran 250 ml. Sebanyak 80% peserta memahami proses pembuatan dengan baik dan enam orang menyatakan minat untuk memproduksi Miy-U secara mandiri. Kegiatan ini menunjukkan keberhasilan dalam mentransfer keterampilan serta mendorong pemanfaatan potensi lokal secara produktif.
Analisis Dampak Sosial-Ekonomi Banjir terhadap Rumah Tangga di Kecamatan Tanah Jambo Aye Kabupaten Aceh Utara Khairisma Khairisma; Fanny Nailufar; Noviami Trisniarti; Yoesrizal Muhammad Yoesoef
Aksi Kita: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Vol. 2 No. 1 (2026): JANUARI-FEBRUARI
Publisher : Indo Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63822/mzwmx289

Abstract

Bencana banjir merupakan ancaman hidrometeorologi yang sering terjadi di Indonesia dan berdampak signifikan terhadap kondisi sosial ekonomi rumah tangga. Pada akhir tahun 2025, banjir besar melanda Kabupaten Aceh Utara, termasuk Kecamatan Tanah Jambo Aye yang memiliki karakteristik wilayah semi-perkotaan dengan aktivitas ekonomi relatif tinggi. Kegiatan pengabdian masyarakat ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak sosial ekonomi banjir terhadap rumah tangga dan infrastruktur desa di Desa Kota Panton Labu, Desa Meunasah Panton, dan Desa Samakurok. Kegiatan dilaksanakan melalui pendekatan deskriptif–partisipatif berbasis survei lapangan pada tanggal 9–12 Januari 2025. Pengumpulan data dilakukan menggunakan kuesioner terstruktur, observasi langsung, dan wawancara dengan rumah tangga terdampak serta aparatur desa. Fokus kajian meliputi tingkat kerusakan rumah, kehilangan aset rumah tangga, dampak terhadap mata pencaharian, serta kerusakan infrastruktur dasar desa. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan bahwa banjir menyebabkan kerusakan rumah dari kategori ringan hingga berat, termasuk rumah yang tidak layak huni, disertai kehilangan aset penting, terhentinya usaha kecil, serta kerugian pada sektor pertanian dan peternakan. Kerusakan infrastruktur, khususnya drainase dan jalan desa, meningkatkan risiko banjir susulan dan memperlambat pemulihan. Dampak sosial yang muncul meliputi trauma psikologis, pengungsian, dan keterbatasan akses air bersih. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa dampak banjir di wilayah semi-perkotaan bersifat kompleks dan multidimensional, sehingga diperlukan kebijakan pemulihan dan mitigasi banjir yang responsif, berbasis kebutuhan masyarakat, dan berkelanjutan.
ANALISIS FIXED EFFECT MODEL LUAS PANEN DAN PRODUKSI PADI TERHADAP PDRB PADA 5 PROVINSI DI INDONESIA Cut Putri Mellita Sari; Noviami Trisniarti
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 6 No. 1 (2023): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v6i1.12294

Abstract

This study aims to examine the effect of Rice Harvest and Production Area on Gross Regional Domestic Product (GDP). The phenomenon that occurs that when the area of harvest and production decreases but GDP shows an increase, further studies are needed regarding the effect of broad harvest and rice production on GDP. The samples in this study are 5 provinces in Indonesia and have the largest rice production, namely West Java, Central Java, East Java, South Sulawesi and South Sumatra in 2018-2022. In this study, the data was processed using Eviews with panel data regression analysis. From the Chow test and Hausman test, the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) model was selected as the best estimation model. The results showed that the area of rice harvest and production together affect the GRDP in 5 provinces in Indonesia. Meanwhile, partially, the harvest area has a negative effect on GDP while rice production has no effect on GDP in 5 provinces in Indonesia during the period 2018-2022. It is recommended that the government further improve the farmer insurance program and farmer group training so as to further increase GDP
FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI KURS RUPIAH Raja Rian Ritonga; Hijri Juliansyah; Murtala; Noviami Trisniarti
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v8i2.26119

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of world CPO prices, money supply, and inflation on the rupiah exchange rate partially or simultaneously in Indonesia from 1993-2023. The research method used in this study is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model. This study found that in the short term, world CPO prices have a negative and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia, while the money supply and inflation have a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia. In the long term, world CPO prices and inflation have a negative and insignificant effect on the rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia, while the money supply has a positive but insignificant effect on the rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia.