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All Journal Konfrontasi: Jurnal Kultural, Ekonomi dan Perubahan Sosial Budapest International Research and Critics in Linguistics and Education Journal (Birle Journal) Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Budapest International Research in Exact Sciences (BirEx Journal) Britain International of Humanities and Social Sciences (BIoHS) Journal Britain International of Exact Sciences Journal (BIoEx Journal) Britain International for Linguistics, Arts and Education Journal (BIoLAE Journal) Polit Journal LingLit Journal Lakhomi Journal
Belay Sitotaw Goshu
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Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Anthropogenic Polar Melt and the Lengthening Day: Rotational Slowdown, Sea Level Redistribution, and Navigation Impacts Belay Sitotaw Goshu
Budapest International Research in Exact Sciences (BirEx) Journal Vol 8, No 3 (2026): Budapest International Research in Exact Sciences, July
Publisher : Budapest International Research and Critics University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33258/birex.v8i3.8271

Abstract

Projecting Extreme Climate Impacts on Vegetation Dynamics in the Northwestern Ethiopian Highlands (Blue Nile Basin): A 2027 NDVI Assessment Belay Sitotaw Goshu
Budapest International Research in Exact Sciences (BirEx) Journal Vol 8, No 3 (2026): Budapest International Research in Exact Sciences, July
Publisher : Budapest International Research and Critics University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33258/birex.v8i3.8272

Abstract

Climate extremes are intensifying across the Horn of Africa, yet their near-term impacts on vegetation dynamics in the Northwestern Ethiopian Highlands remain inadequately quantified. This study projects the spatial-temporal impacts of extreme climate events on vegetation greenness by 2027 using a 25-year NDVI time series (2000–2024) from MODIS, coupled with CHIRPS precipitation and ERA5-Land temperature data. Extreme climate indices; Consecutive Dry Days (CDD), Very Wet Days (R95p), and Warm Spell Duration (WSDI) were computed following ETCCDI standards. Future scenarios (2027) were generated using CMIP6 GCMs (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) and applied to a Random Forest regression model (R² = 0.82) to project NDVI anomalies. Results indicate a dominant browning trend affecting 52% of the study area under SSP5-8.5, driven by concurrent increases in CDD (+15–25 days) and WSDI (+10–25 days). The Lake Tana cultivation zone faces the most severe declines (NDVI -0.05 to -0.08), while only 28% of the region shows greening, confined to western highlands benefiting from increased R95p. Croplands exhibit a 13.3% reduction in vegetation productivity, with severe implications for rain-fed agriculture and food security. The projected vegetation dieback threatens Blue Nile baseflows, agro-pastoral livelihoods, and Afroalpine biodiversity. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted restoration, drought-resistant crop varieties, and sustainable water-harvesting structures in vulnerable woredas. Dynamic land-use models and soil moisture integration are recommended to improve future projections.
From Climate Diplomacy to Strategic Rivalry: The Reshaping of Arctic Governance amidst Great-Power Competition (2023–2026) Belay Sitotaw Goshu; Muhammad Ridwan
Polit Journal Scientific Journal of Politics Vol 6 No 4 (2026): Polit Journal: Scientific Journal of Politics, November
Publisher : Britain International for Academic Research (BIAR-Publisher)

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Abstract

The period 2023–2026 represents a critical juncture in Arctic governance, marking the transformation from a regime characterized by "exceptionalism", the insulation of regional cooperation from broader geopolitical tensions, to one shaped by strategic competition, yet retaining sufficient institutional resilience to address functional challenges through adaptive mechanisms. This study examines how the Russian invasion of Ukraine, NATO's northern expansion with the accession of Finland and Sweden, and the recalibration of great-power strategies by the United States, Russia, and China have fundamentally altered the Arctic's institutional architecture and security dynamics. Drawing on regime theory, geopolitical realism, and the concept of Arctic exceptionalism, the analysis reveals three interlocking transformations: the Arctic Council's survival in a diminished capacity, the emergence of a governance gap created by Russia's exclusion, and the fragmentation of governance through sub-regional, bilateral, and middle-power initiatives. While functional cooperation on climate change, scientific research, and Indigenous issues persists, the space for such cooperation has narrowed considerably as re-securitization reshapes the region's strategic landscape. The study advances a reconceptualization of Arctic exceptionalism, arguing that the region remains empirically distinct but no longer insulated from geopolitical volatility. Policy implications for Arctic states, non-Arctic actors, and international institutions are examined, alongside three future scenarios: continued fragmentation, institutional adaptation, or escalation and crisis. The Arctic's capacity to avoid a new Cold War depends on whether strategic rivalry can be managed without destroying the cooperative frameworks painstakingly built over three decades.
The Plasma and the Portent: Integrating Alfvénic Acceleration, Geomagnetic Forcing, and Transcultural Religious Cosmologies of the Aurora Borealis Belay Sitotaw Goshu; Muhammad Ridwan
Lakhomi Journal Scientific Journal of Culture Vol 7 No 3 (2026): Lakhomi Journal : Scientific Journal of Culture, September
Publisher : Britain International for Academic Research (BIAR-Publisher)

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Abstract

The aurora borealis occupies a singular position at the intersection of physical and cultural experience, a luminous phenomenon that has simultaneously invited scientific scrutiny and demanded spiritual interpretation. Yet contemporary scholarship has largely treated these dimensions as separate domains, creating "the great uncoupling" of auroral physics from auroral meaning-making. This paper presents an integrative framework, the "plasma-portent" model that bridges the magnetosphere and the mythosphere. We synthesize Alfvénic acceleration physics, geomagnetic forcing, and transcultural religious cosmologies to demonstrate that geomagnetic intensity systematically influences cultural output. The Trigger Threshold Hypothesis (Kp ≥ 7) identifies the physical condition under which auroral displays transition from familiar high-latitude phenomena to rare, portentous events that consistently evoke religious anxiety and textual recording. Chromatic Theology reveals that red aurorae, produced by energetic storms, uniformly trigger "blood/war" omens across unrelated cultures, suggesting a universal psychological response to a specific physical stimulus. The mythosphere functions as a cultural magnetometer, providing "soft" proxies for reconstructing historical space weather before instrumental records. The 774–775 CE Miyake events, cross-referencing radiocarbon spikes with Anglo-Saxon and Chinese auroral records, validate this integrative model. We address retrospective determinism, advocate epistemological reconciliation between scientific and Indigenous cosmologies, and propose astromythology as a new interdisciplinary field combining solar physics, historical climatology, and comparative religion. The aurora emerges as humanity's oldest continuous laboratory, a physical phenomenon that forces us to reconcile cosmic brutality with transcendent meaning-making.
Co-Authors Abel Berhanu Sitotaw Arifulhak Aceh Ashenafi Taye Negewo Bikila Merga Deresa Kirubel Molla Melaku Masresha Woldeamanueal Melaku Masresha Woldeamaueal Melaku Masresha Woldemariam Muhammad Ridwan Muhammad Ridwan Muhammad Ridwan Syarifuddin Yonas Tadesse Alemu