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Sedana Nugraha, I Gusti Ngurah Yogi
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Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Analisis Dampak Kebijakan Pemerintah dan Determinan Impor Kedelai Indonesia 1983‒2019 Ardhana, Fadhil Mukti; Sa'adah, Miftahus; Putri, Nabila Yahya; Sedana Nugraha, I Gusti Ngurah Yogi; Pambudi, Thessa Fauziah; Budiasih, Budiasih
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2023 No 1 (2023): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2023
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2023i1.1689

Abstract

Soybean is a primary commodity in Indonesia with a large dependence on imports, this shows the magnitude of the challenge in realizing soybean self-sufficiency which might cause problems later. This study aims to determine the development of soybean production, consumption, and import patterns along with factors that influenced soybean imports in Indonesia in the period 1983 to 2019. Simulations were also carried out with changes in values of several variables to determine resulting impact on soybean imports. Analysis was performed using simultaneous equations with the Two Stage Least Square (2SLS) method. The results showed that the pattern of development of soybean consumption and imports from 1983 to 2019 tended to increase, but the decline occurred in soybean production. Based on the results of the 2SLS method, it is known that consumption has a positive effect on soybean imports while production has a negative effect. Conversely, production has a positive effect on soybean consumption, but is negatively affected by per capita GDP. It is also known that soybean production is positively influenced by harvested area and domestic soybean prices. The simulation results show an increase in soybean production and consumption will occur when domestic soybean prices are increased or restrictions on the volume of soybean imports in Indonesia are imposed.
Pendugaan Area Kecil Persentase Anak Usia 0-17 Tahun yang Hidup di Bawah Garis Kemiskinan Tingkat Kabupaten/Kota di Pulau Jawa Tahun 2023 Puspitasari, Dwi Ajeng; Herlan, Mumtahanah Ceisa; Fatah, Saifullah; Sedana Nugraha, I Gusti Ngurah Yogi; Manik, Rizky Wahyuda; Istiana, Nofita; Yuniasih, Aisyah Fitri
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2024 No 1 (2024): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2024
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2024i1.1967

Abstract

Poverty is a problem that continues to confront various countries in the world, with no exception in Indonesia. Poverty reduction is the main focus of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the 2020-2024 National Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMN), with the main focus not only on the poverty of the national population but also the children who live in it. It is known that 47.39 percent, or almost half, of poor children in Indonesia are dominated by Java Island. Therefore, to be able to realize this target, it is necessary to have data availability in small areas, especially areas with a high percentage of poor children on Java Island. This study aims to estimate the percentage of children aged 0-17 years living below the poverty line at the city district level using the Small Area Estimation Hierarchical Bayes (SAE HB) method. Based on the results, estimation using the SAE HB method is able to produce a better Relative Standard Error (RSE) than direct estimation results.
Co-Authors Aisyah Fitri Yuniasih Ardhana, Fadhil Mukti Baehaqi Fatah, Saifullah Herlan, Mumtahanah Ceisa Istiana, Nofita Manik, Rizky Wahyuda Pambudi, Thessa Fauziah Puspitasari, Dwi Ajeng Putri, Nabila Yahya Sa'adah, Miftahus