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All Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Rekayasa dan Manajemen Sistem Informasi Jurnal Informatika Jurnal CoreIT Indonesian Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining Seminar Nasional Teknologi Informasi Komunikasi dan Industri Jurnal Sains dan Informatika Jurnal Informatika Universitas Pamulang Jurnal Teknologi Sistem Informasi dan Aplikasi Jurnal Nasional Komputasi dan Teknologi Informasi Krea-TIF: Jurnal Teknik Informatika JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer) Informatika : Jurnal Informatika, Manajemen dan Komputer JIPI (Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Pembelajaran Informatika) Jutisi: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi Progresif: Jurnal Ilmiah Komputer Jurnal Tekinkom (Teknik Informasi dan Komputer) JOURNAL OF INFORMATION SYSTEM RESEARCH (JOSH) Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Jurnal Sistem Komputer dan Informatika (JSON) TIN: TERAPAN INFORMATIKA NUSANTARA Bulletin of Computer Science Research KLIK: Kajian Ilmiah Informatika dan Komputer Bulletin of Information Technology (BIT) Jurnal Informatika Teknologi dan Sains (Jinteks) Malcom: Indonesian Journal of Machine Learning and Computer Science Bulletin of Informatics and Data Science
Gusti, Siska Kurnia
Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau
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Journal : Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC)

 1 
Perbandingan Triple Exponential Smoothing dan Fuzzy Time Series untuk Memprediksi Netto TBS Kelapa Sawit Raja Indra Ramoza; Siska Kurnia Gusti; Lestari Handayani; Siti Ramadhani
Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Vol 4 No 3 (2023): May 2023
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/josyc.v4i3.3433

Abstract

Oil palm plays a crucial role in agriculture and plantations in Indonesia as a commodity with high economic potential. Net Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB) production is an essential desired outcome in an oil palm plantation. Net FFB is utilized as the primary raw material for the production of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) and Palm Kernel Oil (PKO). The existing challenge is that companies seek to achieve precise quantities and timing for net FFB production in oil palm. One proactive measure to address this is by predicting the net FFB production. Therefore, the objective of this research is to forecast net FFB production by comparing triple exponential smoothing and fuzzy time series methods. Data processing results demonstrate that both forecasting methods yield excellent quality predictions for net FFB production. In the conducted testing, both methods achieved low forecast error values, with MAPE of 11.14670196% and 10.44596891% respectively. However, fuzzy time series exhibited a lower error value compared to the triple exponential smoothing method. Based on these findings, it can be concluded that fuzzy time series is the most reliable model for accurately predicting net FFB production. The advantage of fuzzy time series in forecasting net FFB production can provide significant benefits for companies in determining appropriate strategies for future planning.
Co-Authors Abdul Wahid Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah, Said Noor Abdussalam Al Masykur Adi Mustofa Al Rasyid, Nabila Alfaiza, Raihan Zia Alfin Hernandes Alwaliyanto Alwis Nazir Alwis Nazir Alwis Nazir Amelia, Felina Anggi Vasella Azhima, Mohd Baehaqi Beni Basuki Cut Lira Kabaatun Nisa Destri Putri Yani Devi Julisca Sari Dina Septiawati efni humairah Eka Pandu Cynthia Eka Pandu Cynthia Elin Haerani Elin Haerani Elin Haerani Elin Haerani Elvia Budianita Erni Rouza, Erni Fadhilah Syafria Faska, Ridho Mahardika Febi Yanto Fitri Insani Fitri Insani Fitri Wulandari Fitri, Anisa Gusti, Gogor Putra Hafi Puja Hamwar, Syahbudin Iis Afrianty Iis Afrianty Iqbal Salim Thalib Irsyad (Scopus ID: 57204261647), Muhammad Iwan Iskandar Jasril Jasril Jasril Jasril Khair, Nada Tsawaabul Kurniansyah, Juliandi Lestari Handayani M Wandi Dwi Wirawan Maemonah, Maemonah Morina Lisa Pura Muhammad Affandes Muhammad Fauzan Muhammad Irsyad Muhammad Khairy Dzaky Muhammad Rifaldo Al Magribi Nazir, Alwis Norhiza, Fitra Lestari Novriyanto Novriyanto Nurul Ikhsan Okfalisa Okfalisa Pizaini Pizaini Prima Yohana Rahmah Miya Juwita Raja Indra Ramoza Ramadhani, Astrid Risfi Ayu Sandika Robbi Nanda Robby Azhar Sardi, Hajra Satria Bumartaduri Sayyid Muhammad Habib Siti Ramadhani Siti Ramadhani Siti Ramadhani Surya Agustian Suwanto Sanjaya Syafira, Fadhilah Syafria, Fadhillah Syaputra, Muhammad Dwiky Umam, Isnaini Hadiyul Vusuvangat, Imam Wulandari, Fitri Yayuk Wulandari Yelfi Yelfi Yola, Melfa Yusra Yusra, - Yusra, Yusra