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A-OPTIMAL DESIGN IN NON-LINEAR MODELS TO INCREASE SILICON DIOXIDE PURITY LEVELS Weisha, Ghea; Erfiani, Erfiani; Irzaman, Irzaman; Syafitri, Utami Dyah
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.36-44

Abstract

Silica is the most mineral found on earth and is widely used in industry. Silica used in industry is usually silicon dioxide with a purity ≥ 95% and its often sold at a higher cost. To obtain the silica at a lower cost, silica extraction from biomass such as rice husk can be conducted. The purity of silica extracted from biomass tends to be lower than that of mineral silica. Silica with low purity can be increased by adjusting the temperature and the rate of temperature rise. This research aims to obtain the best design to determine the purity of silicon dioxide. The design of this study was generated based on the A-optimality criterion using the DETMAX algorithm. The A-optimality criterion is minimizing the trace of the variance-covariance of the parameter estimation. The best design points obtained using A-optimal design consist of three temperature groups: the minimum temperature of 800°C, the middle temperature of 850°C, and the maximum temperature of 900°C, with varying rates of temperature rise. Points were repeated at the temperature of 850°C, with rates of temperature rise of 1.67°C/min and 3.34°C/min. 
Exploring School Enrollment Trends in Indonesia Through Time Series Analysis to Inform Counselling and Communication Strategies Yollanda, Mutia; Weisha, Ghea; Pratiwi, Lidya; Putra, Ade Herdian; Putra, Robi Jaya; Yaser, Mishbah El
Counseling and Humanities Review Vol 5, No 1 (2025): Counseling and Humanities Review
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/0001299chr2025

Abstract

A time series analysis of School Enrollment Rates across different age groups in Indonesia from 2003 to 2024 was conducted using ARIMA modelling. Data were segmented into four age groups: 7 to 12, 13 to 15, 16 to 18, and 19 to 24 years. Stationarity testing required first-order differencing, and ARIMA models were selected based on autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation structures. The ARIMA(1,1,0) model showed the best fit for the younger groups, capturing the gradual and predictable participation trends influenced by long-term education policies and stable school enrollment patterns. Forecast accuracy was evaluated using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Mean Squared Error (MSE), revealing excellent accuracy for ages 7 to 12 with MAPE 0.036 percent and MSE 0.001, and for ages 13 to 15 with MAPE 0.089 percent and MSE 0.008. Forecasts for ages 16 to 18 showed moderate accuracy, while results for 19 to 24 indicated greater variability. These findings inform the development of age-specific guidance counselling and public communication strategies to address distinct educational challenges. The study underscores the utility of interpretable forecasting models in supporting evidence-based education policy and planning.
Psychosocial Factors Associated with Depressive Symptom Severity among Indonesian Adults: An Ordinal Logistic Regression Analysis of IFLS-5 Data Ghea Weisha; Mutia Yollanda; Yudiantri Asdi
Counseling and Humanities Review Vol 6, No 1 (2026): Counseling and Humanities Review
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/0001412chr2026

Abstract

Depression is a major public health concern and one of the most prevalent mental health disorders in Indonesia. However, evidence regarding psychosocial factors associated with depressive symptom severity among Indonesian adults remains limited. This study examined the associations of educational attainment, marital status, and emotional problems with depressive symptom severity using data from the fifth wave of the Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS-5). A cross-sectional analysis was conducted among 21,416 adults using descriptive statistics, Chi-square tests, and ordinal logistic regression. The results showed that educational attainment, marital status, and emotional problems were significantly associated with depressive symptom severity. Higher educational attainment and being married were associated with lower odds of more severe depressive symptoms, whereas emotional problems were associated with higher odds. These findings underscore the importance of psychosocial factors in developing targeted mental health interventions for Indonesian adults.