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Journal : CCIT (Creative Communication and Innovative Technology) Journal

Comparison Of Simple Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing Methods To Predict Seaweed Prices Harliyus Agustian; Asih Pujiastuti; Muhammad Varian Sayoga
CCIT Journal Vol 13 No 2 (2020): CCIT JOURNAL
Publisher : Universitas Raharja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1068.375 KB) | DOI: 10.33050/ccit.v13i2.1033

Abstract

Seaweed is one of the main superior commodities in the City of Tarakan. The problem often faced in the field is that the increase in production is not proportional to the price of seaweed that fluctuates every month from year to year, making it difficult for collectors to determine the price of seaweed for sale. Price increases caused by various factors such as the drying process, long marketing chains, and increasing demand from domestic companies. In determining the price of seaweed in the future some approach is needed to predict or predict the price of seaweed in the following month. Forecasting (forecast) is an activity or business that knows the events that will occur at that time will use historical data. Prediction methods used in this study are Simple Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing, these two methods will be guided to find out the most appropriate method used in predicting. Based on the minimum error value calculated using the values of MAD, MSE, MFE, MAPE and CFE, it is found that the Simple moving average forecasting method is considered the best method that can be used to forecast seaweed prices.
Co-Authors Adetya Dyas Saputra Afrizal Triantoro Agus Harjoko Agus Harjoko Anggraini Kusumaningrum Anggraini Kusumaningrum Anggraini Kusumaningrum Anggraini Kusumaningrum Anggraini Kusumaningrum Anggraini Kusumaningrum Anggraini Kusumaningrum, Anggraini Anton Setiawan H Anton Setiawan Honggowibowo Anton Setiawan Honggowibowo Ardiansyah, Fachrul Arwin Datumaya Wahyudi Sumari Astika Ayuningtyas Astika Ayuningtyas Astika AyuningTyas, Astika Astuti, Ellyana Mega Dewantri Catur Sudarmadji Dewi Retnowati, Nurcahyani Dhea Yogi Anugerah Diki Zulkifli Dwi Nugraheny, Dwi Emy Setyaningsih Esa Rengganis Fachrul Ardiansyah Gabriel Naka Sorateleng Harliyus Agustian Haruno Sajati Kusumaningrum, Anggaraini Leo, Muhammad Linda Putri Susanti Mardiana Irawaty Mauidzhoh, Uyuunul Muhammad Ali Sofyan Muhammad Imam, Muhammad Muhammad Varian Sayoga Muhammad Zeny Nurcahyani Dewi Retnowati Nurcahyani Dewi Retnowati Nurcahyani Dewi Retnowati Nurcahyani Dewi Retnowati Nurcahyani Dewi Retnowati Nurwahiddatur Rohman Nuryatno, Edi Triono Puja Kurnia Putri Redha Okta Silfina Rohman, Nurwahiddatur Salam Aryanto Salam Aryanto Saputra, Vendy Yuda Satya Wira Wicaksana Setiawan Honggowibowo, Anton Siti Anisah Siti Anisah SUDARYANTO SUDARYANTO Suryanto Suryanto Suryanto Suryanto Susanti, Linda Putri Triantoro, Afrizal Vendy Yuda Saputra Wintolo, Hero Yuliani Indrianingsih Yuliani Indrianingsih Yuliani Indrianingsih Yuliani Indrianingsih Yuliani Indrianingsih Yuliani Indrianingsih Yuliani Indrianingsih Yuliani Indrianingsih Zeny, Muhammad