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Journal : Jurnal Computer Science and Information Technology (CoSciTech)

Model Prediksi Jumlah Penjualan Pelumas Mesin Di PT. X Dengan Algoritma Naïve Bayes Purnama, Nilam; Fitri Insani; Elin Haerani; Iis Afrianty
Computer Science and Information Technology Vol 5 No 3 (2024): Jurnal Computer Science and Information Technology (CoSciTech)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37859/coscitech.v5i3.8250

Abstract

Machine lubricants are essential materials used to reduce friction between two moving surfaces, improve machine efficiency, and extend the lifespan of components. This study aims to predict the sales volume of machine lubricants at PT. X using the Naïve Bayes algorithm. The data used includes attributes such as year, month, material description, total allocation, realization, and remaining allocation, with a total of 3,006 data points obtained from PT. X's Warehouse Management System (WMS). The model was tested using the 10-Fold Cross Validation method and testsing without such validation. The test results show an accuracy of 71% with 10-Fold Cross Validation, compared to 14% without validation. Additional testing showed an accuracy of 5%, with RMSE of 124.71 and MAPE of 0.95. Based on these results, it is recommended to optimize data preprocessing, such as handling data imbalance and feature normalization, to improve prediction accuracy. Furthermore, using more diverse validation techniques, such as stratified cross-validation, can provide more stable evaluations. Given that predictions are influenced solely by historical data, it is recommended to periodically update the data to keep the model relevant and accurate. This research is expected to assist PT. X in planning sales strategies and managing lubricant stock more effectively.
Implementasi Algoritma Improve Apriori Terhadap Keluarga Beresiko Stunting Muhammad Habib Nazlis; Fitri Insani; Alwis Nazir; Iis Afrianty
Computer Science and Information Technology Vol 5 No 3 (2024): Jurnal Computer Science and Information Technology (CoSciTech)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Stunting is a serious health issue in Indonesia, particularly among families with low socio-economic conditions. However, the lack of precise criteria or measurements of social conditions contributing to at-risk families makes prediction challenging. This study aims to identify patterns of relationships among 17 criteria influencing stunting risk, such as maternal age, number of children, type of flooring in the house, and access to clean water, by enhancing the efficiency of the Apriori algorithm through hash-based techniques. Data were obtained from families in Tuah Madani District, Pekanbaru, and analyzed using data preprocessing and transformation methods. The implementation of this algorithm within a web-based information system enables rapid and efficient analysis to identify stunting risks based on relevant combinations of criteria. The analysis results indicate that certain criteria, such as maternal age above 35 years, status as a couple of childbearing age (PUS), and having more than three children, are significantly associated with stunting risk, with a support value of 37.54% and a confidence level of 83.16%. This study contributes to the development of efficient methods for stunting risk analysis and provides a foundation for more targeted health interventions. Future researchers are advised to expand the data scope by including additional regions and different time periods to improve result generalization. Furthermore, incorporating other variables, such as maternal nutritional status or the education level of household heads, may offer deeper insights into understanding stunting risk patterns.