Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan
First published in 2007, Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan (BILP) is a scientific journal published by the Trade Analysis dan Development Agency (Badan Pengkajian dan Pengembangan Perdagangan - BPPP), Ministry of Trade, Republic of Indonesia. This bulletin is expected to be a media of dissemination and analysis of research results to be used as references for academics, practitioners, policy-makers, and the general public. In collaboration with professional associations, The Indonesian Society of Agricultural Economics (Perhimpunan Ekonomi Pertanian Indonesia - PERHEPI), BILP publishes research reports and analysis of trade sector and/or sector-related trade which have not been published in any other journals/scholarly publications, either in Bahasa Indonesia or English. Publishing twice a year in July and December, this Bulletin is directly disseminated to stakeholders both in print and online.
Articles
209 Documents
KINERJA PERDAGANGAN LINTAS BATAS NTT-TIMOR LESTEE
Sukarna Wiranta
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 2 No 2 (2008)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v2i2.167
The border trade between Belu Regency, West Nusa Tenggara Province, Indonesia and Republic Democratic of Timor Lestee (RDTL) become the crucial issue. It is due to the border become the illegal trading of all comodities, particularly staple foods due of its high different price of those commodities. While on the other hand, they were a big families of those people in Indonesia and Timor Lestee. The trade using the many jalan tikus (rat streets) to reach Belu which familiar to illegal trader from RDTL in order to get income. This happened after Timor Timur has separated from Indonesia. This paper aims to describe the situation of ilegal trade border between East Timor and Timor Lestee.
MAIZE SUPPLY RESPONSE IN INDONESIA
Illia Seldon Magfiroh;
Ahmad Zainuddin;
Intan Kartika Setyawati
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 12 No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v12i1.309
Permintaan terhadap komoditas jagung di Indonesia terus meningkat karena produksi jagung tidak memadai untuk mencukupi konsumsi jagung yang terus meningkat. Dampak dari kondisi ini adalah terjadinya kelangkaan komoditas jagung dan meningkatnya harga jagung. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis respon penawaran petani jagung terhadap perubahan harga input dan output. Dalam penelitian ini, juga dilakukan upaya untuk menguji respon penawaran petani jagung di Indonesia dengan menggunakan metode Error Correction Model (ECM). Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa penawaran petani terhadap jagung dipengaruhi oleh harga kedelai, upah tenaga kerja, harga benih, harga pupuk urea, harga pakan, dan harga jagung impor. Petani jagung juga responsif terhadap harga jagung, oleh karena itu, kebijakan stabilitas harga dan kebijakan harga dasar dapat diberlakukan kembali untuk mendukung swasembada jagung. Penelitian ini juga merekomendasikan bahwa masih perlu kebijakan subsidi input dan perluasan lahan untuk meningkatkan penawaran jagung. Demand for maize in Indonesia keeps growing due to low maize production, while consumption keep increasing (excess demand). The situation creates scarcity in maize and leads to the commodity’s high price. This study aims to analyze the supply response of maize farmers on the changes of input and output prices. This study also examines the supply response of maize farmers in Indonesia by using Error Correction Model (ECM). The study uses secondary data. Results of the study shows that supply of maize farmers is influenced by price of soybeans, wages of labor, prices of seed, of urea fertilizer, of feed, and of imported maize. Maize farmers are also responsive to changes in maize prices and therefore the policy of maize floor price can be re-applied to support the national food self-sufficiency. In addition the input subsidy and land expansion policies are still necessary to increase maize supply.
DAMPAK LIBERALISASI PERDAGANGAN TERHADAP PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA INDUSTRI MAKANAN MINUMAN DI INDONESIA
Ardi Adji;
Waris Marsisno;
Ulin Nafngiyana
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 6 No 2 (2012)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v6i2.134
Industri makanan dan minuman merupakan salah satu sektor utama dalam perekonomian Indonesia. Pada periode tahun 2002 - 2008, industri ini merupakan penyumbang terbesar terhadap pembentukan nilai tambah bruto dan penyerapan tenaga kerja diantara industri berskala menengah dan besar. Namun, tingkat produktivitas dan daya saing industri ini relatif rendah. Dengan menggunakan model regresi data panel ditemukan bahwa pertumbuhan ekspor produk makanan dan minuman memiliki dampak positif pada penyerapan tenaga kerja industri, dan berlaku sebaliknya untuk impor. Variabel lain yang juga memiliki dampak positif pada penyerapan tenaga kerja adalah impor bahan baku dan investasi asing langsung. Food and beverage industry have become one of leading sectors in Indonesian economy. Its gross value added as well as its labour absorbtion had been the largest among other medium and large scale industries during 2002 - 2008. However, the level of productivity and competitiveness of this industry were relatively low. Using a regression model of panel data it was found that export of food and beverage products have a positive impact on labour of the industry. Conversely, import has a negative impact on labour. Other variables that also have positve impacts on labour absorbtion are import of raw materials and foreign direct investment.
PENGEMBANGAN INDUSTRI CPO DAN PROSPEKNYA DIPASAR UNI EROPA
Asnur Elly Samah;
Yati Nuryati
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 3 No 2 (2009)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v3i2.183
Europe Union (UE) is a large market that has opportunities for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (CPO) export. Share export of Indonesia CPO in UE Market is 41,2 percent. This number more consider than other development countries and other big countries, for example United States, Japan and Canada. Demand of CPO in UE market shows increasing analogous with utilization biodiesel as energy alternative. The objective of this paper to: (1) Describe production and potency of Indonesia CPO performance and (2) analisys of prospective of CPO Product performance in UE marked related with uses oils and biodisel . The analisys uses descriptive and hold winters approach method to forecast, the time series data from 1990 to 2008. Main Result of this research are (1) developing of CPO product in the future still prospective with increasing oils consumption, oils world and utilization biodisel energy. (2) share export Indonesia CPO in International market at 42 percent and tends to increase in five years latest, and (3) the projection Indonesia CPO Export in 2011 achive about 12 to 18 percent. The study suggests that government policy focused to developt of CPO and their derivative product to support export market diversiification and strengthened domestic market with development industry from off farm to absorp excess suplay CPO domestic.
KAJIAN RANTAI PASOKAN DAN PENGANEKARAGAMAN KONSUMSI PANGAN BERBASIS PRODUK UMBI-UMBIAN : STUDI KASUS JAWA BARAT
Heny Sukesi
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 4 No 1 (2010)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v4i1.145
Supply chain of tubers research in West Java purpose to study accelerating consumption diversification based local content food, especially tubers product. According to industrial cluster and one village one product (OVOP) approach chose 5 regency in West Java as research region. West java has potentially tubers are cassava and sweet potato. The cassava production in West Java annually achieves 2 million tones, whereas its potential production approximaly 4 million tones. The production of sweet potato in West Java achieves 390 thousand tones, whereas its potential production about 700 thousand tones. The cassava production at 5 regency overall more than 1 million tones, whereas its potential production can reach almost 2 million tons a year. The sweet potato production at 5 regency overall is 220 thousand tones, whereas its potential production is 350 thousand tons a year. According to potency of production as mention above, the tuber supply chain in West Java has already builded on traditional chain, either that begin from small farmer (the holder of limited farm) or large farmer/trader which those managed through developing distribution line. It in line with product diversification including tuber flavor and other tuber product. In the future,the tuber product development will give big the market opportunity either for trader/farmer or other related stakeholder.
DAMPAK PERJANJIAN PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA - JEPANG (IJEPA) TERHADAP KINERJA PERDAGANGAN BILATERAL
Septika Tri Ardiyanti
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 9 No 2 (2015)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v9i2.5
Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji dampak perjanjian Indonesia – Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (IJEPA) terhadap perdagangan bilateral Indonesia-Jepang dari sisi ekspor maupun impor, dengan menggunakan data bulanan Januari 1990 sampai dengan Juni 2014. Studi ini menggunakan pendekatan counterfactual dengan melakukan ekstrapolasi terhadap data perdagangan tanpa FTA (basis ekstrapolasi Jan 1990-Juni 2008) dan kemudian membandingkannya dengan data perdagangan aktual pada saat IJEPA telah diimplementasikan (Juli 2008-Juni 2014). Ekstrapolasi dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), sementara untuk menguji perbedaan antara kedua pengamatan data aktual dengan data ekstrapolasi digunakan uji t -berpasangan. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa IJEPA secara signifikan mampu meningkatkan nilai ekspor non migas Indonesia ke Jepang, namun tidak memiliki dampak signifikan terhadap peningkatan nilai impor non migas Indonesia dari Jepang. Dengan demikian, Indonesia terbukti mendapatkan keuntungan dari sisi perdagangan karena mampu meningkatkan nilai ekspornya ke Jepang. Oleh karena itu, kerjasama yang intensif antara kedua negara harus terus ditingkatkan untuk mengoptimalkan perjanjian tersebut. Pemerintah dapat mengusulkan adanya bilateral monitoring scheme kepada pemerintah Jepang dalam rangka meningkatkan pemanfaatan IJEPA. This study aims at examining the impact of Indonesia-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (IJEPA) towards bilateral trade between Indonesia and Japan, using monthly data from January 1990 to June 2014. This research used a counterfactual approach by constructing extrapolated trade values with pre-FTA data (extrapolation based on January 1990-June 2008), then comparing those extrapolated data with the actual trade data in the period after the implementation of IJEPA (July 2008-June 2014). The extrapolation was done using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, while paired t-test was used to examine the difference between the actual data and the extrapolated data. The results show that IJEPA can significantly increase the value of Indonesia’s non-oil exports to Japan, but it has no significant impact on the value of Indonesia’s non-oil imports from Japan. It is proven that Indonesia gets benefits from IJEPA in terms of foreign trade since it can increase its export value to Japan. Therefore, intensive cooperation between Indonesia and Japan should be improved by proposing a bilateral monitoring scheme to the Japanese government in order to improve the functions of IJEPA.
PERANAN NEGARA PERANTARA EKSPOR BAGI INDONESIA
Azis Muslim
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 11 No 2 (2017)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v11i2.224
Beberapa penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ekspor tidak langsung berperan dalam meningkatkan perdagangan. Terlepas dari fakta tersebut, beberapa pemangku kebijakan berpendapat bahwa proses ekspor tidak langsung perlu didorong menjadi ekspor langsung untuk meningkatkan ekspor Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi peranan negara perantara ekspor bagi Indonesia dengan cara mengidentifikasi negara yang menjadi perantara dan produknya; serta mengetahui alasan pelaku bisnis melakukan ekspor tidak langsung. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode estimasi untuk mengidentifikasi ekspor tidak langsung Indonesia dengan mitra dagang dari tahun 2009 hingga 2013 dengan menggunakan data UN-Comtrade. Hasil kajian menunjukkan bahwa Malaysia, Thailand, dan Vietnam merupakan negara perantara ekspor Indonesia disamping negara perantara perdagangan internasional konvensional (Singapura, Hong Kong, Belanda, dan Jerman). Ekspor tidak langsung adalah optional bagi pelaku ekspor.Negara perantara ekspor memiliki peran positif untuk memfasilitasi ekspor bagi eksportir yang memiliki keterbatasan. Pemerintah perlu mendorong eskpor tidak langsung jika menguntungkan pelaku bisnis, dan perlu meningkatkan efektifitas peranan Atase dan ITPC dalam memberikan informasi pasar ekspor jika ekspor tidak langsung menjadi penghambat. Some researchers found that indirect export could contribute to increase trade. Likewise, Indonesian policy maker believes that changes of indirect export to direct export will contribute to increase Indonesian export. The purpose of this study is to identify the importance of indirect export for Indonesia especially to identify Indonesian indirect export countries and products, and also to find out the reason of exporters in doing indirect export.This study used indirect export identified process method of Indonesian trade data with trading partners from 2009 to 2013 from UN-Comtrade.The result shows that Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam as intermediary country for Indonesia besides the conventional intermediary countries (Singapore, Hong Kong, Netherlands, and Germany) .Indirect export process is optional for exporters. Indirect export countries have a positive role to facilitate exports for exporters with some limitations. The Government need to push the indirect export if it is profitable for business. On the other hand, If indirect export is an obstacle, it can be reduced by increasing the effectiveness of the role of the Attache and ITPC to give import market information.
THE IMPACTS OF FINAL DEMAND OF INDONESIA’S EXPORTED PRODUCTS ON DOMESTIC INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT
Aditya P Alhayat
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 7 No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v7i2.111
Statistik perdagangan internasional dapat menyebabkan interpretasi yang kurang lengkap tentang pentingnya perdagangan internasional, terkait dengan sistem pencatatannya dan semakin meningkatnya globalisasi proses produksi barang. Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengestimasi sejauh mana perekonomian Indonesia bergantung pada permintaan akhir di suatu pasar ekspor tertentu dan dampaknya terhadap penciptaan pendapatan dan lapangan kerja ketika terjadi fragmentasi produksi global. Analisis ini menggunakan pendekatan global value chain dan Tabel Input-Output Dunia. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa nilai tambah dan lapangan kerja sebagai akibat dari pemenuhan permintaan akhir di negara maju lebih tinggi daripada yang dihasilkan dari pemenuhan permintaan akhir di negara berkembang. Peningkatan integrasi produksi di wilayah yang sama (Asia Timur atau ASEAN) dapat menjadi strategi yang efektif untuk mempengaruhi peningkatan pendapatan dan kesempatan kerja di Indonesia secara langsung dan tidak langsung.The conventional trade statistics may lead to an incomplete interpretation on the importance of international trade, due to its recording system and the increasing globalization of production process. The global value chain approach and the World Input Output Table were employed. This paper aims to estimate the extent to which Indonesia’s economy relies on the final demand of the particular export market in term of generating incomes and employment when the fragmentation of global production exists. The results show that value added and employments induced by final demand in advanced economies are higher than those generated by final demand in developing economies. Enhancing production integration within the same region (East Asia or ASEAN) can be an effective strategy to induce higher Indonesia’s income and employment directly and indirectly.
MARKET RESEARCH: HITAMNYA KOPI INDONESIA DI PASAR KOREA
Arief Fadillah
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 2 No 1 (2008)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v2i1.162
The world production of coffee annually continued to stable at the level of 117 million bags with an average volume of 60 kg in the period 2004-2007 and Indonesia is one of the world coffee producer. Korea is one of the countries that experienced an increase in the consumption of coffee, which is showed from the increasing import value of coffee. The needs of coffee is met by some importing countries such as Vietnam, Colombia, Brazil, Honduras, USA, and Indonesia as the 13th importing country. The export of Indonesia’s coffee to Korea is using other countries as third parties and tends to decrease. In addition, Indonesia has not been able to take the advantage market opportunities in Korea because of the technology and standard problems in the Indonesia’s coffee industry.
TRADE FACILITATION AND THE PERFORMANCE OF INDONESIAN MANUFACTURING EXPORT
Aulia Luthfianto;
D S Priyarsono;
Raul Barreto
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 10 No 1 (2016)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia
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DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v10i1.29
Penelitian ini menganalisa dampak dari fasilitasi perdagangan pada kinerja ekspor manufaktur Indonesia. Data spesifik dari masing-masing negara baik Indonesia dan tigapuluh mitra dagang utama dari komoditi manufaktur selama periode 2010 hingga 2014 digunakan dalam membangun indikator fasilitasi perdagangan, termasuk langkah-langkah dalam lingkungan kepabeanan dan regulasi, efisiensi pelabuhan, dan infrastruktur di sektor jasa. Hubungan antara kinerja ekspor Indonesia dan indikator tersebut kemudian di estimasi menggunakan gravity model dengan data panel. Hasil analisa menunjukan bahwa fasilitasi perdagangan dalam lingkungan kepabeanan dari Indonesia dan mitra dagang utama nya berpengaruh besar dan positif terhadap kinerja ekspor manufaktur Indonesia, sementara lingkungan regulasi di Indonesia mengurangi arus perdagangan. Kerjasama perdagangan dengan negara-negara ASEAN berdampak positif dan signifikan terhadap kinerja ekspor manufaktur Indonesia. Implikasi kebijakan yang dapat disarankan adalah dengan memprioritaskan upaya dalam lingkungan kepabeanan Indonesia dan mitra dagang, melalui peningkatan efisiensi waktu dan biaya yang diperlukan dalam melakukan perdagangan. Selain itu, meningkatkan kerjasama perdagangan dalam kawasan ASEAN akan dapat meningkatkan kinerja ekspor Indonesia.This paper analyzes the impact of trade facilitation on Indonesian manufacturing export performance. Some specific data of Indonesia and thirty countries as Indonesian main trading partners of manufacture commodities over the period 2010 to 2014 were used to construct trade facilitation indicators, including measures in the customs and regulatory environment, port efficiency, and service sector infrastructure. The relationship between Indonesian export performance and these indicators were estimated using a gravity model with panel data. The findings provide some evidence that trade facilitation on customs environment of Indonesia and its trading partners largely and positively affects Indonesian manufacturing export performance, while the Indonesian regulatory environment deters the trade flows. Trade partnerships with ASEAN countries positively and significantly affect Indonesian manufacturing export performance. It is suggested for policy implication to prioritise efforts and development on Indonesian customs environment and its trading partners, through time and cost efficiency to trade. Moreover, Indonesia should generate more trade within ASEAN region which could stimulate a higher export performance.