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INDONESIA
Media Statistika
Published by Universitas Diponegoro
ISSN : -     EISSN : 24770647     DOI : -
Core Subject : Science,
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 271 Documents
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ANALYSIS OF MULTI-OBJECTIVE LINEAR ROBUST OPTIMIZATION MODEL WITH LEXICOGRAPHICAL METHOD Azis, Chusnul Chatimah; Chaerani, Diah; Rusyaman, Endang
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.57-68

Abstract

Problems in robust multi-objective linear optimization are a class of optimization problems with uncertain data parameters which aim in the decision-making process to obtain the best results in certain circumstances by choosing various solution methods for the multi-objective. This research aims to formulate a multi-objective Robust Optimization (RO) model using the Lexicographic Method, then analyzing the existence and uniqueness of the solution. Furthermore, gap analysis on the topic was carried out using a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) approach with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta Analysis (PRISMA) method. Results in SLR, the analysis results also shows that the Lexicographic Method is effective in handling data uncertainty with the objective functions sorted by priority. The robust formulation with polyhedral uncertainty sets ensures the flexibility and adaptability of the model. Convexity analysis and application of the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) method prove that the resulting solution is exist and unique.
GENE MARKERS IDENTIFICATION OF ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION DISEASE BASED ON GENOMIC PROFILING THROUGH EXTREME GRADIENT BOOSTING (XGBoost) Fajriyah, Rohmatul; Isnandar, Havidzah Asri; Arifuddin, Adhar
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.69-80

Abstract

One disease that can cause death is Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI). AMI, also known as a heart attack, is a condition that causes permanent damage to heart muscle tissue due to prolonged ischemia or lack of blood flow that occurs due to blockage of the epicardial coronary arteries and results in blood clots and limiting blood supply to the myocardium. During the years the young AMI patients are increasing. One of the ways to diagnose early is providing information of biomarkers related to this disease by implementing the bioinformatics data analysis. The research was conducted to look at the genomic profile of patients suffering from AMI based on without recurrent events and normal control, using the XGBoost method, due to its scalability and efficiency.  Based on the grid search of tuning hyperparameters, the XGBoost method gives a classification accuracy of 88.89%, AUC 90 and kappa 0.7805. These results indicate that the XGBoost method can classify patients suffering from AMI well. This research has identified three genes that contribute the most to classifying AMI patients, namely calponin 2, ribosomal protein S11 and myotropin. Based on the heatmap visualization, information was obtained that the three genes are class markers without recurrent events.
STACKING ENSEMBLE APPROACH IN STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING USING CMIP6-DCPP FOR RAINFALL ESTIMATION IN RIAU Mahkya, Dani Al; Djuraidah, Anik; Wigena, Aji Hamim; Sartono, Bagus
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.1-12

Abstract

Rainfall modeling and prediction is one of the important things to do. Rainfall has an important relationship and role with various aspects of the environment. One phenomenon that can be associated with rainfall is forest and land fires. Riau is one of the provinces in Indonesia that has a high potential for forest and land fires. This is because Riau has a large area of peatland. One approach that can be used to estimate rainfall is statistical downscaling. The concept of this approach is to form a functional relationship between global and local data. This research uses CMIP6-DCPP output data that will be used to estimate rainfall at 10 observation stations in Riau. The proposed model in this research is Stacking Ensemble with PC Regression and LASSO Regression in the base model and Multiple Linear Regression in the meta model. This research aims to determine the best CMIP6-DCPP model for estimating rainfall in Riau and increasing the accuracy of rainfall estimates using the Stacking Ensemble approach.
MULTICLASS CLASSIFICATION OF MARKETPLACE PRODUCTS WITH MACHINE LEARNING Aditama, Farhan Satria; Krismawati, Dewi; Pramana, Setia
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.25-35

Abstract

The use of marketplace data and machine learning in the collection of commodity data can provide an opportunity for Statistics Indonesia to complete the commodity directories for various surveys. This research adopts machine learning to train a product classification model based on existing datasets to predict whether a new dataset falls into which KBKI category. The dataset contains more than 32,000 products from 26 classes consisting of product data from two biggest marketplaces in Indonesia. Algorithms used for classification include Random Forests (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVM), and Multinomial Naive Bayes (MNB). Results indicate that MNB is the most effective algorithm when considering the trade-off between accuracy and processing time. MNB achieved the highest micro-average F1 scores, with 91.8% for Tokopedia and 95.4% for Shopee, and has the fastest execution time approximately 5 seconds.
A COMPARISON OF MULTIPLICATIVE AND ADDITIVE HAZARD MODELS USING THE HAZARD AND SURVIVAL RATIO Danardono, Danardono; Gunardi, Gunardi
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 2 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.2.140-149

Abstract

The Cox multiplicative hazards regression and Aalen additive hazards regression models are widely used for survival data analysis. While the Cox model emphasizes hazard ratios or relative risks, the Aalen model focuses on relative survival or excess risks. This study compares the performance of these models through simulations of biomedical survival data. Results reveal no clear dominance of one model over the other, suggesting that both models should be employed to have a more thorough survival analysis.
ANALYSIS OF MULTILEVEL STRUCTURAL EQUATION MODELING WITH GENERALIZED STRUCTURED COMPONENT ANALYSIS METHOD Amanah, Fitri; Abdurakhman, Abdurakhman
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.81-92

Abstract

Generalized Structured Component Analysis (GSCA) is a component-based SEM. One of the developments of GSCA is the GSCA method for multilevel data known as multilevel GSCA. Multilevel data is data that has a nested, grouped, or nested structure. This study aims to apply multilevel GSCA to the data on factors that affect poverty. The data used is on Indonesia's health, education and poverty in 2023.. The result is that all indicators are significant to the latent variables. The structural model shows that the quality of health has a negative and significant effect on poverty, education has a negative and significant effect on poverty, and the quality of health has a positive and significant effect on education. The results of between group show that health quality has a positive and significant effect on education in all regions, health quality has a negative and significant effect on poverty in Bali & Nusa Tenggara, Sulawesi, as well as Maluku and Papua, education has a negative and significant effect on poverty in Sumatra, Java, and Maluku & Papua. The overall goodness of fit value (FIT) is 0.622, meaning the model can explain 62.2% of data variation.
IMPLEMENTATION OF PROPHET IN AMERICAN ELECTRICITY FORECASTING WITH AND WITHOUT PARAMETER TUNING Sulandari, Winita; Yudhanto, Yudho; Hapsari, Riskhia; Wijayanti, Monica Dini; Pardede, Hilman Ferdinandus
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.93-104

Abstract

Prophet is one of the machine learning approximation methods that accommodate trends, seasonality, and holiday impacts in time series data. Generally, the performance of machine learning models can be improved by implementing hyperparameter tuning. This study investigates whether hyperparameter tuning can improve the model's performance. To show its effectiveness, the Prophet model constructed by parameter tuning is compared to the one with fixed parameter values (namely the default model) for both the original series and the Box-Cox transformed series in terms of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Based on the experimental results of the twenty-four daily electricity load time series in American Electric Power (AEP). This shows that parameter tuning successfully reduces the MAPE of the default model in the range of about 3-8% for training data. However, there is no guarantee for testing data. Although, in some cases, parameter tuning can reduce the MAPE value of the default model by up to 38%, in other cases, it actually increases the MAPE of the default model by almost 15%. The experiments on testing data also show that models built from transformed data do not necessarily produce more accurate forecast values than those built from the original data.
SPATIAL PANEL MODELING OF PROVINCIAL INFLATION IN INDONESIA TO MITIGATE ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF HEALTH CRISES Astuti, Ani Budi; Pramoedyo, Henny; Astutik, Suci; Setiarini, An Nisa Dwi
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.1.105-116

Abstract

Probabilistic statistical modeling simplifies complex issues, including economic and health challenges, by applying inductive statistics. Spatial panel modeling, using Queen Contiguity weighting, has proven to be essential for analyzing inflation expenditure patterns during health crises, such as COVID-19 in Indonesia. This study highlights the impact of inflation on national economic stability and explores the inter-provincial relationships that influence inflation dynamics across expenditure groups. The purpose of this study is to develop a spatial panel model to address this gap, offering insights for policy and recovery strategies. The results reveal significant spatial interdependence in provincial inflation data, underscoring the role of spatial factors in economic analysis. Two models are identified: Spatial Autoregressive Model with Random Effects (SAR-RE) before the crisis and Spatial Error Model with Random Effects (SEM-RE) during the crisis. Transportation facilities consistently affect inflation, demonstrating the effectiveness of spatial panel modeling in guiding policies for economic stability and recovery.
EXPLORE THE DETERMINANTS OF CUSTOMERS TIME TO PAY HOUSE OWNERSHIP LOAN ON DATA WITH HIGH MULTICOLLINEARITY WITH PCA-COX REGRESSION Ramadhan, Rangga; Fimba, Adfi Bio; Fernandes, Adji Achmad Rinaldo; Solimun, Solimun; Junianto, Fachira Haneinanda; Amanda, Devi Veda; Sumara, Rauzan
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 2 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.2.117-127

Abstract

One of the models in survival analysis is the Cox proportional hazards model. This method ignores assumptions regarding the distribution of survival times studied. If there are indications of multicollinearity in data handling, one way that can be done is to use PCA (Principal Component Analysis). PCA-Cox regression is a combination of survival analysis and PCA which can be an alternative in analyzing multicollinearity survival data. The large number of cases of bad credit means that customers must be careful in providing credit to prospective customers. Character, capacity, capital and collateral variables are thought to influence the length of time customers pay house ownership loans at the bank. The data used is secondary data (n=100) regarding the assessment of character variables, capacity, capital and collateral, credit collectibility, and time to pay customer house ownership loans at the bank. The results of the analysis using PCA-Cox regression show that the variables character, capacity, capital and collateral have a significant effect on the length of house ownership loan payment time for Bank X customers. The originality of this research is the use of the PCA-Cox regression integration model in bank credit risk analysis.
APPLICATION OF THE DYNAMIC FACTOR MODEL ON NOWCASTING SECTORAL ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA Supriyatna, Putu Krishnanda; Prastyo, Dedy Dwi; Akbar, Muhammad Sjahid
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 17, No 2 (2024): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.17.2.128-139

Abstract

Economic growth is crucial for planning, yet delayed data releases challenge timely decision-making. Nowcasting offers near-real-time insights using high-frequency indicators (released monthly, weekly, or even daily) to predict low-frequency variables (quarterly or yearly). This study uses high-frequency indicators (monthly), such as stock price changes, air quality, transportation data, financial conditions, and Google Trends, to nowcast quarterly GDP through the Dynamic Factor Model (DFM). The data used span from January 2010 until March 2023, which is split into two: January 2010 until March 2022 for training data and the rest as testing data. Compared to the benchmark Autoregressive Moving Average with Exogenous Variables (ARMAX) model, DFM demonstrates superior accuracy with lower symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (sMAPE). In addition, to evaluate the model performance in nowcasting the GDP across the sector using DFM, the additional metrics, i.e., Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), and Adjusted R-squared, concluded that in the industrial and transportation sectors results in sufficient nowcasting of GDP, Meanwhile, In the financial sector, the results of the nowcasting GDP give poor estimation results that need improvement.

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