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Arman Harahap
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INDONESIA
International Journal of Educational Research and Social Sciences (IJERSC)
Published by CV. Inara
ISSN : -     EISSN : 27745406     DOI : https://doi.org/10.51601/ijersc
Core Subject : Education, Social,
Education Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences Other
International Journal of Educational Research and Social Sciences (IJSERSC) is to provide a research medium and an important reference for the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level research in the fields of Educational Research and Social Sciences. Original theoretical work and application-based studies, which contributes to a better understanding all fields of Education Research and Social Sciences.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Sosial - Ilmu Sosial (Lain-Lain)
Articles 912 Documents
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The Impact of Imports of Consumer Goods and Raw Materials On The Growth Rate of The Manufacturing Sector In Indonesia Lina Gussinta Dewi; Imamudin Yuliadi; Dyah Titis Kusuma Wardani
International Journal of Educational Research & Social Sciences Vol. 7 No. 5 (2026): October 2026
Publisher : CV. Inara in Colaboration with www.stie-sampit.ac.id

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51601/ijersc.v7i5.1097

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of consumer goods imports, raw material imports, and inflation on the growth rate of the manufacturing sector in Indonesia during the period 2013–2024. The study uses quarterly secondary data obtained from Statistics Indonesia (Badan Pusat Statistik/BPS) and employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. The Bounds Test indicates the existence of a cointegrating relationship among the variables. The long-run estimation results show that consumer goods imports have a negative and significant effect on the growth rate of the manufacturing sector, while raw material imports have a positive and significant effect. Meanwhile, inflation does not have a significant effect in the long run. In the short run, consumer goods imports have no significant effect in the current period but have a positive and significant effect with a one-quarter lag, while the effect at a two-quarter lag is not significant. The Error Correction Model (ECM) results indicate that approximately 45.54 percent of the deviation from the long-run equilibrium is corrected within one quarter. The findings indicate that the effects of imports on manufacturing performance vary by type of goods and time horizon. Raw material imports contribute to the growth of the manufacturing sector, whereas an increase in consumer goods imports in the long run is associated with pressure on domestic industrial growth. These findings highlight the importance of trade policies that consider the characteristics of import use, along with efforts to strengthen domestic industrial capacity.
Organizational Readiness In Artificial Intelligence Implementation: The Role of Digital Transformation In Bank Indonesia Arisanto; Agus Tri Basuki; Dimas Bagus Wiranatakusuma
International Journal of Educational Research & Social Sciences Vol. 7 No. 5 (2026): October 2026
Publisher : CV. Inara in Colaboration with www.stie-sampit.ac.id

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51601/ijersc.v7i5.1099

Abstract

This study analyzes the relationship between digitalization, structural transformation, and carbon emission intensity in six ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, Vietnam, and Cambodia. The study uses annual panel data for the period 2004–2024, with the main estimation period covering 2010–2024. Carbon emission intensity is used as the dependent variable, while the number of internet users, industry value added, urban population, GDP per capita, international trade, and services sector value added are used as independent variables. All variables are transformed into natural logarithms so that the coefficients can be interpreted as elasticities. Estimation is conducted using the Fixed Effects Model with period fixed effects and Panel EGLS with period weights following model selection tests. The results show that digitalization, proxied by the number of internet users, has a positive but statistically insignificant relationship with carbon emission intensity. In contrast, industry value added, urban population, GDP per capita, and international trade have positive and significant relationships. Services sector value added has a negative and significant relationship with carbon emission intensity. These findings indicate that structural transformation toward the services sector is associated with lower emission intensity, while industrial expansion, urbanization, economic growth, and trade are associated with increased carbon emission intensity in the countries examined.

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