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Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Pendidikan (JEBP)
Published by Universitas Negeri Malang
ISSN : -     EISSN : 27981193     DOI : https://doi.org/10.17977/um066
Core Subject : Economy, Education,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Other
Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Pendidikan (JEBP) is a scientific journal in the business, economy, and education fields. This journal focuses on theoretical and empirical studies in the field of economy, business, and education. It welcomes research in the areas of economic development, economic behavior, digital economy, economy education, economy system, finance and banking, small and medium enterprises, financial management, development of a company, finance of a company, business and economic learning, learning instruments, learning achievement, teaching and learning strategies, learning assessment, as well as learning media.
Arjuna Subject : Bisnis, Menejemen, dan Akutansi (semua kategori) - Bisnis, Menejemen, dan Akutansi (Lain-Lain)
Articles 2 Documents
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Search results for , issue "vol. 6 no. 3 (2026)" : 2 Documents clear
THE DUAL IMPACT OF OIL PRICE VOLATILITY ON IRAQ'S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS FOR THE PERIOD 2010-2023 Sabah Ahmed Asmaeel
Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Pendidikan Vol. 6 No. 3 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Malang

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Abstract

The Iraqi economy is heavily dependent on crude oil revenues, which constitute the primary source of funding for government expenditures and development projects. This study examines the impact of oil price fluctuations on Iraq's Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which serves as a key indicator of sustainable economic development. A quantitative research approach was employed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to analyze the relationship between oil prices and GDP over the period 2010–2023. The empirical findings indicate that, in the short run, a one-unit increase in oil prices leads to an approximately ten-unit increase in GDP, demonstrating a significant positive relationship. However, the long-run analysis reveals an inverse relationship between oil prices and GDP, suggesting that excessive dependence on oil revenues may undermine long-term economic sustainability. The findings highlight the importance of utilizing oil revenues more efficiently by strengthening investment in productive sectors, improving governance, reducing the effects of corruption, and promoting economic diversification. Furthermore, infrastructure reconstruction and effective fiscal management are essential for transforming oil wealth into sustainable economic growth.
SUPPLY-SIDE DETERMINANTS OF INFLATION IN IRAN: THRESHOLD REGRESSION APPROACH Mustafa Ibrahim Abdullah; Obaida Amer Khudhair; Nazar Azeez Abase
Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Pendidikan Vol. 6 No. 3 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Malang

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Abstract

Inflation is one of the challenging and vital issues of economics, which has an undeniable effect on economic stability in countries all over the world. For this reason, many researchers and policymakers have always sought to identify the factors affecting inflation. In this regard, oil price, as one of the global and strategic variables, can have a significant effect on inflation, especially in countries dependent on oil revenues, such as Iran. Accordingly, given the importance of inflation and the need to identify its causes and determinants on the one hand, and the prominent role of supply-side factors on the other hand, the aim of the present study is to examine the effect of oil price fluctuations on the inflation rate, taking into account the threshold effect of economic growth, and also to identify other supply-side determinants of the inflation rate, including technology and labor market dynamics, over the period 1996–2022 (1375–1401), using the time-series threshold regression econometric approach. According to the results, when economic growth is lower than 4.303%, the oil price has a positive and significant effect on the inflation rate. This effect is also positive and significant when economic growth is above the said threshold, but its magnitude is smaller. In addition, the unemployment and technology indices have negative and significant effects on the inflation rate, which respectively confirm the Phillips theory and the Solow (1956) growth theory. In contrast, the population size variable has a positive and significant effect on the inflation rate.

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