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INDONESIA
Signifikan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Published by Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta
ISSN : 20872046     EISSN : 24769223     DOI : 10.1016
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 407 Documents
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Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model Zuhdi, Fadhlan; Maulana, Achmad Subchiandi; Rambe, Khoiru Rizqy
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.25456

Abstract

Colombian coffee exports influence Indonesian coffee exports in the short term, so this study aims to forecast the export volume of Indonesian and Colombian coffee in the future. The study used time-series data from 2001 to 2021, further analyzed using the ARIMA model. Based on the projection, Indonesian coffee export is projected to increase with an average value of 1.14 percent and a potential increase of 1.79 percent. However, this result still needed to reach the desired value since the projected coffee export of Indonesia in 2025 only reached 429 172 tons, or lower than the export quantity of Colombian coffee in 2011. This finding indicated that Indonesian coffee export tended to increase stagnantly and was considered low compared to the increasing export of Colombian coffee.JEL Classification: C22, C53, E37, F17, Q13How to Cite:Zuhdi, F., Maulana A. S., & Rambe, K. R. (2023). Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 57-68. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.25456.
Do Interest Rate Policy and Liquidity Effect on Banking Credit Risk in Indonesia? Amalia, Sopira Qori; Suriani, Suriani
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.27119

Abstract

Lending plays a vital role for banks as a source of income from deposits or interest paid by debtors. This study aims to analyze the effect of policy interest rates and liquidity from the money supply on bank credit risk in Indonesia in the short and long term. This study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag method and the Granger Causality test as analytical tools. The data used are policy interest rates, total money supply, and total non-performing loans. The data period under study is 2017-2022. The study results show that in the short term, policy interest rates and the money supply negatively affect bank credit risk in Indonesia. However, in the long term, policy interest rates have a negative effect, and the money supply does not affect bank credit risk in Indonesia. Policy interest rates have a one-way causality relationship with bank credit risk. Meanwhile, bank credit risk has a one-way causality relationship to the money supply. This condition represents that policy interest rates can reduce bank credit risk in Indonesia. The Bank of Indonesia, as the monetary authority, needs to pay attention to fluctuations in policy interest rates and mitigate excess money supply so that credit risk does not increase.JEL Classification: F43, O11, P34How to Cite:Amalia, S. Q., & Suriani, S. (2023). Do Interest Rate Policy and Liquidity Affect Banking Credit Risk in Indonesia?. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 145-160. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.27119.
Preferences for Donating to Religious and Non-Religious Philanthropic Institutions: Evidence in Indonesia Hidayah, Nur; Ade, Nur Syam
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.27887

Abstract

This research aims to determine the factors influencing online donation decisions in religious and non-religious philanthropic institutions. 105 questionnaires were disseminated to the respondents in Jabodetabek (Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Tangerang, and Bekasi), Indonesia, and analyzed using logistic regression. The findings reveal that in religious philanthropic institutions, the impact has a significant effect, while ease of use, convenience, and innovation have no effect on online donation decisions. In non-religious philanthropic institutions, convenience, innovation, and impact have a significant effect, while ease of use has no effect on online donation decisions. There is a slight difference in factors influencing online donation decisions in religious and non-religious philanthropic institutions. Religious philanthropic institutions should expand their impact to raise their donors. Meanwhile, non-religious philanthropic institutions should improve the quality of their digital platform and expand the innovation and impact of the programs to increase their donors.JEL Classification: D64, L31, Z12How to Cite:Hidayah, N., & Ade, N. S. (2023). Preferences for Donating to Religious and Non-Religious Philanthropic Institution: Evidence in Indonesia. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 191-206. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.12ii1.27887.
Urban Size and Labor Market Premium: Evidence from Indonesia Sari, Msy Nourma Yunita; Yudhistira, Muhammad Halley
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.27999

Abstract

The study of economic agglomeration is again a concern in the urban economic literature, especially in describing urban areas and better econometric approaches. This study improves the size of cities to become urban and suburban, reflecting the flow of commuting, using the 2010 and 2015 Landscan data to measure economic density better and reduce bias due to measurement errors. Empirically, using this density and using the 2SLS estimation technique with instrument variables in the form of earthquake risk and ruggedness measures, the result of a city twice as large can increase wages 61 percent. This result is higher than most other literature because the sample only covers urban areas. This study also shows that workers with characteristics such as higher education, the formal sector, the service sector, and white collar jobs get more enormous benefits in urban areas.JEL Classification: J24, J31, O18How to Cite:Sari, M. N. Y., & Yudhistira, M. H. (2023). Urban Size and Labor Market Premium: Evidence from Indonesia. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 27-44. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.27999. 
Determinants of Indonesian Sugar Import Inayaturrohmah, Winni Putri; Istiqomah, Istiqomah; Gunawan, Ratna Setyawati
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 2 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i2.28044

Abstract

Indonesian sugar imports have increased due to a steady increase in sugar consumption, while domestic sugar output has increased but has not kept pace with consumption. This study aims to examine the impact of sugar consumption, income per capita, sugarcane harvested area, and sugarcane productivity on sugar imports in Indonesia. The data in this study include time series data from 1995 to 2021 that were analyzed using multiple regression. Sugar consumption and income per capita have a statistically significant positive effect on sugar import, whereas sugarcane harvested area and sugarcane productivity significantly negatively affect sugar import. Several policy options for reducing sugar imports are recommended, including reducing sugar consumption through education and healthy lifestyle programs, extending sugarcane-harvested areas, and rejuvenating and building new sugar mill.JEL Classification: F14, C22How to Cite:Inayaturrohmah, W. P., Istiqomah & Gunawan, R.S. (2023). Determinant of Sugar Import. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(2), 275-286. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i2.28044. 
Unemployment in Indonesia: An Analysis of Economic Determinants from 2012-2021 Agustina, Mei; Astuti, Hartiningsih; Susilo, Joko Hadi
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29247

Abstract

The economic problem is one of the things that the Indonesian government must consider. One of them is unemployment because it impacts the socioeconomic conditions of society. This condition is necessary to suppress or reduce the unemployment rate. This research was conducted to determine the conditions and variables affecting Indonesia's unemployment rate. The data analysis used is an econometric model on dynamic panel data using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) developed by Arellano Bond. The study results show that the Human Development Index, inflation, minimum wages, and worker numbers significantly influence Indonesia's unemployment. In addition, the unemployment lag also has a significantly positive effect on unemployment. The findings of this study provide information on strategies for increasing the demand and supply of labor, wage regulation, search, match effectiveness in the labor market, and realistic short- and long-term policies. JEL Classification: C33, E24, J64 How to Cite:Agustina, M., Astuti, H., & Susilo, J. H. (2023). Unemployment in Indonesia: An Analysis of Economic Determinants from 2012-2021. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 69-82. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29247.
The Determinant of Human Development in Eastern Part of Indonesia during 2012-2020 Khairina, Najwa; Wijaya, Arbi
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29496

Abstract

Improving human resource quality in Eastern Indonesia has become a primary concern in many development programs enacted in Indonesia. The KTI regions needed to catch up and often experienced development problems. Several challenges, such as the significant disparity in education and health facilities compared to the western part of Indonesia, have hindered the development process of KTI. This research aims to find the determinants of human development in KTI. We analyze the regional fiscal dependency ratio, employment level, allocation of DAU (general allocation fund) by the central government, and poverty gap level as determinants of the Human Development Index in KTI. Using the Fixed Effect panel data analysis, we found that the general allocation fund, employment, and fiscal dependency ratio are positively associated with HDI in KTI regions. In contrast, the poverty gap is negatively associated with HDI in KTI regions. Our empirical finding implies that central government transfers play an essential role in the human development process, while the poverty problem is one of the main obstacles to improving the human resources quality in KTI regions.JEL Classification: H80, L38, O15How to Cite:Khairina, N., & Wijaya, A. (2023). The Determinant of Human Development in the Eastern Part of Indonesia. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 83-96. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29496.
Indonesian Tourism Demand by ASEAN Tourist: A Panel Data Analysis Nugraha, Yulvira Rizka Putri; Naylah, Maal
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29894

Abstract

Indonesia recorded the lowest average foreign tourist arrivals compared to ASEAN central countries, thus proving that Indonesia has yet to be thoroughly used as the primary destination for foreign tourists. Market forces influence the low number of foreign tourist arrivals in Indonesia. This study analyzes the impact of determining factors of ASEAN tourism demand in Indonesia. Panel data analysis with the Fixed Effect Model selection model was used to explore Indonesia’s tourism demand from five ASEAN countries from 2001 to 2020. The results showed that tourist expenditure, CPI, terrorism, and COVID-19 significantly negatively affect the number of Indonesian tourist visits. In contrast, the exchange rate and GDP per capita significantly positively impact the number of Indonesian tourist visits. Indonesia needs to improve the quality of tourism products and services to increase foreign tourist arrivals and implement international cooperation to create promotions for domestic tourism.JEL Classification: C33, L83, Z3How to Cite:Nugraha, Y. R. P., & Naylah, M. (2022). Indonesian Tourism Demand by ASEAN Tourist: A Panel Data Analysis. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 45-56. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.27999.
Determinant of Capital Efficiency and Its Impact on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in East Java Santoso, Dwi Budi; Suman, Agus
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29965

Abstract

East Java is the engine of Indonesia’s economic growth. Nevertheless, this region is still faced with the performance of industrial development, which has yet to increase consistently, thereby worsening efficiency and economic growth. As a result, this paper aims to investigate the causes and consequences of capital efficiency in the context of East Java. This paper produces three results by employing the 3SLS simultaneous equation estimation method. First, this paper demonstrates that industrial development in East Java improves efficiency. Second, improving the education level has a positive effect on capital efficiency. Lastly, an increase in capital inefficiency leads to a negative effect on economic growth in East Java. This study suggests three key policies for accelerating economic growth in East Java: providing incentives to industries that can increase capital efficiency, developing innovations to increase capital efficiency, and improving education quality to encourage increased human resource productivity.JEL Classification: D24, O14, O4How to Cite:Santoso, D. B., & Suman, A. (2023). Determinant of Capital Efficiency and Its Impact on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in East Java. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29965.
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Abundance of Natural Resources, and Economic Growth Fajrian, Muhammad Aja; Achsani, Noer Azam; Widyastutik, Widyastutik
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29975

Abstract

The impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the host country’s economic growth is often discussed without considering the abundance of natural resources in the host country. The present study examines the relationship between FDI and economic growth while considering the presence of natural resources. Using panel data regression with data from 124 countries, the study finds that FDI inflows are increasing significantly, with pronounced differences between countries based on their per capita income levels. The results of the panel data regression analysis show that both FDI and natural resources positively affect economic growth. However, an increase in natural resources reduces the overall impact of FDI on economic growth. This result suggests that countries should attract FDI in sectors outside of natural resources to maximize the positive effects of FDI on economic growth.JEL Classification: F43, O4, P28, P45, Q0How to Cite:Fajrian, M. A., Achsani, N. A., & Widyastutik. (2023). Foreign Direct Investment, Abundance of Natural Resources, and Economic Growth. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 11-26. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29975.

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