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Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan
Published by Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta
ISSN : 14119900     EISSN : 25415506     DOI : https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan (JESP) focuses on research papers relating to development economics and multidisciplinary concern to systemic problems in developing countries particularly using quantitative or theoretical work in which novelty is essential. JESP does not publish manuscripts in critical review and book review. Nevertheless, we accept in-depth studies of specific cases, events, or regions that are likely to bring more benefits on developing economics.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 12 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Vol 24, No 2: October 2023" : 12 Documents clear
Impact of provincial competitiveness index (PCI) on economic development in the Red River Delta, Vietnam Ngoc, Nguyen Thi Bao; Duy, Nguyen Vu
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.18163

Abstract

The development of an economy is significant since it has far-reaching implications for several industries. Particularly, the income levels of inhabitants in crucial locations must reach a specific threshold for an economy to flourish effectively. To achieve this goal, it is vital to determine the factors that affect economic development. A significant aspect that can improve people's living standards is enhanced competitiveness. Therefore, this study employs the generalized ordinary least squares (GLS) method to examine the provincial competitiveness index (PCI) on economic development as measured by per capita income in the Red River Delta of Vietnam. The panel data of eleven Red River Delta provinces from 2010 to 2021 was studied. The results indicate that the provincial competitiveness index has a beneficial impact on economic growth and contributes to an increase in the income levels of the populace. The study also shows that labor literacy rate and trade openness also contribute to economic development while labor growth rate inhibits long-term economic development. Governments need to analyze indicators to find solutions to improve national competitiveness. In particular, it is necessary to pay attention to the business environment, apply technology in handling administrative procedures and have policies to support business capital creation for domestic enterprises.
Inflation forecasting using autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models Ponziani, Regi Muzio
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.17620

Abstract

This study attempts to evaluate and compare the inflation-predicting performance of several ARDL models. Since there was no cointegration, the ARDL model does not employ an error correction term. Subsequently, model development showed that ARDL(2,2) should be used. Besides the formally developed model, some other more arbitrarily chosen ARDL models were also included, i.e., ARDL(1,1), ARDL(2,0), ARDL(1,0), ARDL(0,1), and ARDL(0,2). This research measures forecasting performance with inflation as the forecasting object. The duration of the monthly inflation statistics ranged from January 2011 to July 2022. The data were separated into two categories. The training data ranged between January 2011 and December 2021. After getting the appropriate parameters from the training data, the models generated projections from January 2022 to July 2022. The research determined that ARDL (1,0) was the most accurate inflation forecasting model, followed by ARDL (0,2) and formally constructed ARDL(2,2) finished in fourth place. This study suggests that the formal development of ARDL for forecasting purposes is unnecessary. Formal ARDL development is more appropriate for root cause analysis. In addition, the single autoregressive component indicates that most of the inflation value's information originated from the prior period. This suggests that the previous period's value is Indonesia's most significant predictor of inflation. The impact of greater period lags on inflation forecasting diminishes immediately.
Macroeconomics, human development and political stability: evidence from OIC countries Dzihny, Izzatu; Wibowo, Muhammad Ghafur; Ihsan, Akmal
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.19509

Abstract

This study aims to examine and analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables on the Human Development Index (HDI) in the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) countries with political stability as the moderating variable. The GMM (Generalized Method Moment) dynamic panel and the MRA (Moderated Regression Analysis) will be used for determining the type of moderation needed as analysis techniques. In the first section, the findings state that inflation and unemployment have no effect on HDI, This is due to the fact that inflation and unemployment are very dependent on global economic fluctuation. Meanwhile, trade openness has a significant positive effect on HDI and foreign direct investment has a significant negative effect on HDI. This can add to the evidence that a high level of trade openness can support HDI values in OIC countries. Trade Openness can strengthen the economy, education, and health simultaneously by increasing prosperity through increased demand, supply, and services in numerous sectors. Secondly, the value of the moderator variable (political stability) on the relationship between unemployment and HDI demonstrates that political stability acts as a "Quasi Moderator" which means that political instability can exacerbate the negative influence of unemployment on HDI in OIC countries. This research has implications for the importance of cooperation between OIC countries in various fields, especially in increasing trade, investment, job creation and good governance to support the expansion of human development in OIC nations and to build sustainable prosperity.
Reducing the provincial poverty rate in Indonesia: The impact of local government expenditure Nurias, Nurias; Johari, Sobar M; Muljarijadi, Bagja; Wardhana, Adhitya
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.18618

Abstract

This study seeks to examine the effect of local government expenditure on the improvement of provincial welfare in Indonesia. It is necessary to increase public capital such as basic infrastructure and public facilities, as well as to improve public services such as health, education, and social protection. Based on previous studies, research on government spending on poverty has a significant effect on poverty reduction, but some other studies are not the case, namely government spending has not been significant in reducing poverty and improving welfare. The data used in government expenditure is expenditure based on functions, particularly health, education, and social protection functions in the province, both district/city and provincial government expenditures obtained from the Directorate General of Financial Balance (DJPK), while the provincial poverty rate serves as a proxy for regional welfare. Over the period 2015-2021, the Fixed Effect model using the Generalized Least Square Estimation (GLSE) approach is used to estimate outcomes for 34 provinces in Indonesia. The results indicated that government expenditure on the health sector and education sector had a negative significant influence on reducing the poverty rate, whereas government expenditure on social protection did not. The control factors, such as economic growth, had a negative effect on poverty reduction in Indonesia, whereas the unemployment rate and informal labor in the agricultural sector had positive and significant effects. Government policies, especially government spending, have contributed well to reducing poverty, but the government should pay attention to the integration of spending programs with other programs.
Shariah board governance and sustainability performance: analysis of sharia banking in Indonesia Puspitasari, Novia Dwi; Kasri, Rahmatina Awaliah
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.20133

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the relationship between sharia governance and sustainability performance in the Indonesian Islamic banking industry. Sharia governance is measured by the sharia supervisory board (SSB) score and the individual attributes of its members (size, number of meetings, educational background, and diversity). Sustainability performance (SP) is proxied by its economic, environmental, and social dimensions, as defined by the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) framework. Secondary data from 2010—2020 company reports are used and analyzed using manual content analysis. Panel data regression is also employed to test the hypotheses and identify which individual attributes of the SSB influence sustainability performance. The results show that the SSB has a positive and significant effect on Indonesia’s overall SP of Islamic banking. Among the individual attributes, the frequency of SSB meetings has a positive and significant effect on overall SP, while the diversity of SSB members negatively affects economic and social SP. Meanwhile, SSB member’s size and educational background do not affect overall SP. The findings are expected to enhance understanding of Islamic bank’s development and approaches to addressing sustainability-related issues of Islamic bank. This study also contributes as consideration in the improvement of standard practices or the current implementation of sharia governance in Indonesia and to promote sustainable operations through Islamic corporate governance.
Digital transformation and its impact on inclusive growth: a four-decade experience in Indonesia Kristyanto, Visi Saujaningati; Jamil, Hidsal
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.19919

Abstract

The debate over whether digital transformation benefits or harms inclusive growth continues. Existing evidence in the literature, on the other hand, is frequently based on short study periods, subjective measurement issues, and endogeneity issues, resulting in less credible findings in previous studies. To address this gap, this study draws on four decades of Indonesian experience spanning 1980 to 2021, with a focus on two primary objectives. First, this study utilises Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to assess the key factors forming the progress of digital transformation and inclusive growth. Second, the Two-Stage Least Square (2SLS) estimation method is applied in this study to investigate the endogenous impact of digital transformation on inclusive growth. The PCA results show that medium and high-tech manufacturing play a dominant role in representing digital transformation, while GDP per capita growth and poverty alleviation are the primary contributors to measuring inclusive growth. The 2SLS estimation shows that digital transformation significantly promotes inclusive growth in Indonesia, with its impact closely related to the previous year's digital transformation status. When these findings are considered jointly, it is clear that the beneficial effects of digital transformation are mainly explained by how medium and high-tech manufacturing sectors can stimulate inclusive growth in the context of increasing GDP per capita and reducing poverty in Indonesia.
Forecasting the potential output and growth of the manufacturing industry: a case study of Indonesia's manufacturing sector Permana, Tirta Wisnu; Yudoko, Gatot; Prasetio, Eko Agus
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.18716

Abstract

Indonesia is currently experiencing deindustrialization, characterized by a manufacturing industrial sector growth rate lower than the overall economic growth rate. Therefore, it is necessary to encourage the development of the industrial sector to achieve sustainable development. The scenario for industrial development policy is determined based on an evaluation of the country's economic position in relation to current business cycle conditions. The evaluation is carried out through output gap analysis, which refers to the gap between actual and potential output. The research aim is to analyze output potential estimates and gaps in the Indonesian non-oil and gas processing industry sector. The methodology used in this research includes the HP Filter (Hodrick-Prescott), BP Filter (Band-Pass), and the Production Function Approach. The findings show that Indonesia's non-oil and gas processing industry experienced a slight decline below its potential between 2020 and 2021. Therefore, policymakers must consider this; in the short term, inflationary pressures are caused by a positive output gap, so the government needs to prioritize efforts to control inflation. Meanwhile, medium-term structural reforms must continue to increase potential output, including increasing labor force participation, sustainable investment for capital factors, and improving the quality of human resources and technological expertise for productivity factors. In particular, it is necessary to pay attention to the adoption of new emerging technologies.
The determinants of poverty in the West Papua province Pentury, Marthen Anthon
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.18428

Abstract

Poverty has become a serious development problem, including in West Papua Province. This research has become a fundamental issue because West Papua tends to be difficult to get out of poverty problems, which has the second-highest percentage of poverty in Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the determinants of poverty in West Papua. The dependent variable is poverty, and the independent variables are population density, unemployment, human development index, and the average length of schooling. This research uses multiple regression analysis time series, 11 years period. The finding of this study is that unemployment has a positive and significant effect on poverty. Meanwhile, the human development index and the average length of schooling have a negative and significant effect. The implication is that the human development index and the average length of schooling must be expanded in scope to open access to people living in remote areas. The region's characteristics and the population tend to live in the interior, so accessibility is an important factor in alleviating poverty in West Papua.
Indonesia social progress: the role of access to basic education in escaping from poverty trap Haidir, Andi Ahmad; Setyari, Ni Putu Wiwin
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.19810

Abstract

As Indonesia enters the post-pandemic world, it faces high uncertainty, especially in terms of access to basic education. According to the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), the education sector grew by 0.42%, the second-lowest of all sectors. However, its contribution to economic growth was the highest at 3.02%, surpassing six other sectors with higher growth. Despite this potential, access to education remains low. This research aimed to examine the role of access to basic education in alleviating poverty in Indonesia with the social progress perspective. The analytical framework for this research was based on the approach of Amartya Sen, who view poverty as capability deprivation. This research used educational data from BPS in 2022 from 34 provinces in Indonesia. The data were used to construct a social progress index, which measures access to basic education. The index was developed using nine indicators, namely primary school enrolment, secondary school attainment, population with no schooling, gender parity in secondary attainment, teacher-student ratio, teacher qualification, school proportion, classroom condition, and availability of water and sanitation. The index of access to basic education was then regressed along with other variables that are relevant to capability deprivation, as proposed by Hick. These variables include the Happiness Index, Democracy Index, Level of Health Inequality, and Crime Rate. The results indicated that all these variables had a significant impact on the poverty level. Among all the variables, access to basic education demonstrated the greatest influence compared to the other four variables. This suggests that access to basic education plays a critical role in poverty reduction. The research findings highlight the potential of using the Social Progress Index as a comprehensive metric for development, which offers a more inclusive understanding of progress. This index encompasses a broad framework comprising 60 indicators, and does not rely solely on GDP measurements.
The impacts of worker and total sales of SMEs on economic growth in Central Java Province: Evidence from ARDL Bound Test Irianto, Heru; Cahyadin, Malik; Widyamurti, Nidyah; Harini, Harini; Sarmidi, Tamat; Wei, Yong Sze
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 24, No 2: October 2023
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v24i2.19162

Abstract

This study attempts to examine the impact of workers and total sales of SMEs on economic growth in Central Java Province throughout 2009:1 – 2020:4. The ARDL Bound Test is employed. The findings reveal that worker and total sales have a positive, significant, and linear impact on economic growth in the short-run. Total sales also have a positive, significant, and linear impact on economic growth in the long-run. Conversely, there is no evidence of workers' impact on economic growth. In addition, workers and total sales have a long-run cointegration on economic growth. Therefore, the local government of Central Java Province should emphasize the contribution of SME workers and total sales to stimulate economic growth in the long-run.

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