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Migration Pattern As Threshold Parameter In The Propagation of The Covid-19 Epidemic Using An Actor-Based Model for SI-Social Graph Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Yoro, Rume Elizabeth
JINAV: Journal of Information and Visualization Vol. 2 No. 2 (2021)
Publisher : Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/454RI.jinav379

Abstract

Despite the benefits inherent with social interactions, the case of epidemics cum pandemic outbreaks especially the case of the novel corona virus (covid-19) alongside its set protocols employed to contain the spread therein - has continually left the world puzzled as the disease itself has come to stay. The nature of its rapid propagation on exposure alongside its migration spread pattern of this contagion (with retrospect of other epidemics) on daily basis, has also left experts rethinking the set protocols. Our study involved modelling the covid-19 contagion on a social graph, so as to ascertain if its propagation using migration pattern as a threshold parameter can be minimized via the employment of set protocols. We also employed a design that sought to block or minimize targeted spread of the contagion with the introduction of seedset node(s) using the susceptible-infect framework on a time-varying social graph. Study results showed that migration or mobility pattern has become an imperative factors that must be added when modelling the propagation of contagion or epidemics.
Empirical Evaluation for Intelligent Predictive Models in Prediction of Potential Cancer Problematic Cases In Nigeria Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Obruche, Chris Obaro; Eboka, Andrew Okonji
ARRUS Journal of Mathematics and Applied Science Vol. 1 No. 2 (2021)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengembangan Teknologi dan Rekayasa, Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/mathscience614

Abstract

The rapid rate as well as the volume in amount of data churned out on daily basis has necessitated the need for data mining process. Advanced by the field of data science with machine learning approaches as new paradigm and platform, it has become imperative to provide beneficial support in constructing models that can effectively assist domain experts/practitioners – to make comprehensive decisions regarding potential cases. The study uses deep learning prognosis to effectively respond to problematic cases of cancer in Nigeria. We use the fuzzy rule-based memetic model to predict potential problematic cases of cancer – predicting results from data samples collected from the Epidemiology laboratory at Federal Medical Center Asaba, Nigeria. Dataset is split into training (85%) and testing (15%) to aid model validation. Results indicate that age, obesity, environmental conditions and family relations (to the first and second degree) are critical factors to be watched for benign and malignant cancer types. Constructed model result shows high predictive capability strength compared to other models presented on similar studies.
Quest For Convergence Solution Using Hybrid Genetic Algorithm Trained Neural Network Model For Metamorphic Malware Detection Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Obruche, Chris Obaro; Eboka, Andrew Okonji
ARRUS Journal of Engineering and Technology Vol. 2 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengembangan Teknologi dan Rekayasa, Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/jetech613

Abstract

An unstable economy is rife with fraud. Perpetrated on customers, it ranges from employees’ internal abuse to large fraud via high-value contracts cum control breaches that impose serious consequences to biz. Loyal employees may not perpetrate fraud if not for societal pressures and economic recession with its rationalization that they have bills to pay and children to feed. Thus, the need for financial institutions to embark on effective measures via schemes that will aids both fraud prevention and detection. Study proposes genetic algorithm trained neural net model to accurately classify credit card transactions. Compared, model used a rule-based system to provide it with start-up solution and it has a fraud catching rate of 91% with a consequent, false alarm rate of 9%. Its convergence time is found to depend on how close the initial solution space is to the fitness function, and for recombination and mutation rates applied.
BloFoPASS: A blockchain food palliatives tracer support system for resolving welfare distribution crisis in Nigeria Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Adigwe, Wilfred; Okpor, Margareth Dumebi; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Eboka, Andrew Okonji; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholorunwalomi; Taylor, Onate Egerton; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Geteloma, Victor Ochuko
International Journal of Informatics and Communication Technology (IJ-ICT) Vol 13, No 2: August 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijict.v13i2.pp178-187

Abstract

With population rising to approximately 200 million Nigerians – fast-paced, urbanization has continued to advent food insecurity with maladministration, corruption, internal rife, and starvation. These, threatened the nation's unity with the lockdown of 2020; and consequently, have now become the trend. Nigeria must as a nation, re-examine her methods in the administration of palliatives (in lieu of food and relief) distribution – as the above-listed issues have become of critical need in the equitable distribution of reliefs, both from the humanitarian agency view, and the Government (State and Federal). They have noticed non-transparency, corruption, and data inadequacies, as major drawbacks in its management. Our study presents a blockchain ensemble for the administration of food palliatives distribution in Nigeria that first ensures, that all beneficiaries be registered, and the food palliatives are sensor-tagged and recorded on the blockchain. Results show the number of transactions per second and page retrieval abilities for the proposed chain were quite low with 30-TPS and 0.38seconds respectively – as compared to public blockchain. Proposed ensemble eliminates fraud that is herein rippled across the existing system, minimizes corrupt practices via sensor-based model, provides insight for stakeholders, and minimize the error in reported data on the supply chain.
Predicting rainfall runoff in Southern Nigeria using a fused hybrid deep learning ensemble Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Eboka, Andrew Okonji; Emordi, Frances Uchechukwu
International Journal of Informatics and Communication Technology (IJ-ICT) Vol 13, No 1: April 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijict.v13i1.pp108-115

Abstract

Rainfall as an environmental feat can change fast and yield significant influence in downstream hydrology known as runoff with a variety of implications such as erosion, water quality, and infrastructures. These, in turn impact the quality of life, sewage systems, agriculture, and tourism of a nation to mention a few. It chaotic, complex, and dynamic nature has necessitated studies in the quest for future direction of such runoff via prediction models. With little successes in use of knowledge driven models, many studies have now turned to data-driven models. Dataset is retrieved from Metrological Center in Lagos, Nigeria for the period 1999-2019 for the Benin-Owena River Basin. Data is split: 70% for train and 30% for test. Our study adapts a spatial-temporal profile hidden Markov trained deep neural network. Result yields a sensitivity of 0.9, specificity 0.19, accuracy of 0.74, and improvement rate of classification of 0.12. Other ensembles underperformed when compared to proposed model. The study reveals annual rainfall is an effect of variation cycle. Models will help simulate future floods and provide lead time warnings in flood management.
FiMoDeAL: pilot study on shortest path heuristics in wireless sensor network for fire detection and alert ensemble Ifeanyi Akazue, Maureen; Efetobore Edje, Abel; Okpor, Margaret Dumebi; Adigwe, Wilfred; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Edim, Edim Bassey; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Geteloma, Victor Ochuko
Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics Vol 13, No 5: October 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/eei.v13i5.8084

Abstract

With the incessant outbreak of fire, the heavy loss to both lives and properties in the society fire has since become a critical issue and challenge that needs our daily attention to be resolved. Loss of lives and properties to fire outbreak in 2021 alone as occurring in major Nigerian markets and residential homes was estimated at over 3 trillion Naira. Our study proposes a wireless sensor network internet of things (IoT) based ensemble to aid the effective monitoring, detection and alerting of residents and fire service departments. With cost as a major issue and the requisite installation of fire and smoke detectors in many houses our ensemble can efficiently integrate into the existing system using the ESP8285-controller to create a comprehensive access control system. The system provides real time monitor and control capabilities that will allow administrators to track and manage fire monitor and detection within a facility. Thus, enhances system's efficiency and performance.
AQuamoAS: unmasking a wireless sensor-based ensemble for air quality monitor and alert system Geteloma, Victor Ochuko; Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Adigwe, Wilfred; Odiakaose, Chukwufunaya Chris; Ashioba, Nwanze Chukwudi; Okpor, Margareth Dumebi; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Ojei, Emmanuel Obiajulu
Applied Engineering and Technology Vol 3, No 2 (2024): August 2024
Publisher : ASCEE

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31763/aet.v3i2.1409

Abstract

The increased awareness by residents of their environment to maintain safe health states has consequently, birthed the integration of info tech to help resolve societal issues. These, and its adopted approaches have become critical and imperative in virtualization to help bridge the lapses in human mundane tasks and endeavors. Its positive impacts on society cannot be underestimated. Study advances a low-cost wireless sensor-based ensemble to effectively manage air quality tasks. Thus, we integrate an IoT framework to effectively monitors environment changes via microcontrollers, sensors, and blynk to assist users to monitor temperature, humidity, detect the presence of harmful gases in/out door environs. The blynk provides vital knowledge to the user. Our AQuaMoAS algorithm makes for an accurate and user-friendly mode using cloud services to ease monitor and data visualization. The system was tested at 3 different stages of rainy, sunny and heat with pollutant via alpha est method. For all functions at varying conditions, result revealed 70.7% humidity, 29.5OC, and 206 ppm on a sunny day. 51.5% humidity, 20.4OC and 198ppm on a rainy, and 43.1 humidity, 45.6OC, 199ppm air quality on heat and 66.5% humidity, 30.2 OC and 363 ppm air quality on application of air pollutant were observed
Enhanced data augmentation for predicting consumer churn rate with monetization and retention strategies: a pilot study Geteloma, Victor Ochuko; Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Adigwe, Wilfred; Odiakaose, Chukwufunaya Chris; Ashioba, Nwanze Chukwudi; Okpor, Margareth Dumebi; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Ojei, Emmanuel Obiajulu
Applied Engineering and Technology Vol 3, No 1 (2024): April 2024
Publisher : ASCEE

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31763/aet.v3i1.1408

Abstract

Customer retention and monetization have since been the pillar of many successful firms and businesses as keeping an old customer is far more economical than gaining a new one – which, in turn, reduce customer churn rate. Previous studies have focused on the use of single heuristics as well as provisioned no retention strategy. To curb this, our study posits the use of the recen-cy-frequency-monetization framework as strategy for customer retention and monetization impacts. With dataset retrieved from Kaggle, and partitioned into train and test dataset/folds to ease model construction and training. Study adopt a tree-based Random Forest ensemble with synthetic minority oversampling technique edited nearest neighbor (SMOTEEN). Various benchmark models were trained to asssess how well each performs against our proposed ensemble. The application was tested using an application programming interface Flask and integrated using streamlit into a device. Our RF-ensemble resulted in a 0.9902 accuracy prior to applying SMOTEENN; while, LR, KNN, Naïve Bayes and SVM yielded an accuracy of 0.9219, 0.9435, 0.9508 and 0.9008 respectively. With SMOTEENN applied, our ensemble had an accuracy of 0.9919; while LR, KNN, Naïve Bayes, and SVM yielded an accuracy of 0.9805, 0.921, 0.9125, and 0.8145 respectively. RF has shown it can be implemented with SMOTEENN to yield enhanced prediction for customer churn prediction using Python
Exploring Machine Learning and Deep Learning Techniques for Occluded Face Recognition: A Comprehensive Survey and Comparative Analysis Muhamada, Keny; Setiadi, De Rosal Ignatius Moses; Sudibyo, Usman; Widjajanto, Budi; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua
Journal of Future Artificial Intelligence and Technologies Vol. 1 No. 2 (2024): September 2024
Publisher : Future Techno Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62411/faith.2024-30

Abstract

Face recognition occluded by occlusions, such as glasses or shadows, remains a challenge in many security and surveillance applications. This study aims to analyze the performance of various machine learning and deep learning techniques in face recognition scenarios with occlusions. We evaluate KNN (standard and FisherFace), CNN, DenseNet, Inception, and FaceNet methods combined with a pre-trained DeepFace model using three public datasets: YALE, Essex Grimace, and Georgia Tech. The results show that KNN maintains the highest accuracy, reaching 100% on two datasets (Essex Grimace and YALE), even in the presence of occlusions. Meanwhile, CNN shows strong performance, with accuracy remaining 100% on YALE, both with and without occlusions, although its performance drops slightly on Essex Grimace (94% with occlusion). DenseNet and Inception show a more significant drop in accuracy when faced with occlusion, with DenseNet dropping from 81% to 72% on Essex Grimace and Inception dropping from 100% to 92% on the same dataset. FaceNet + DeepFace excels on more large dataset (Georgia Tech) with 98% accuracy, but its performance drops dramatically to 53% and 70% on Essex Grimace and YALE with occlusion. These findings indicate that while deep learning methods show high accuracy under ideal conditions, machine learning methods such as KNN are more flexible and robust to occlusion in face recognition.
Comparative Data Resample to Predict Subscription Services Attrition Using Tree-based Ensembles Okpor, Margaret Dumebi; Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Akazue, Maureen Ifeanyi; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Emordi, Frances Uche; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Geteloma, Victor Ochuko; Binitie, Amaka Patience; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami
Journal of Fuzzy Systems and Control Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): Vol. 2, No. 2, 2024
Publisher : Peneliti Teknologi Teknik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59247/jfsc.v2i2.213

Abstract

The digital market today, is rippled with a variety of goods/services that promote monetization and asset exchange with clients constantly seeking improved alternatives at lowered cost to meet their value demands. From item upgrades to their replacement, businesses are poised with retention strategies to help curb the challenge of customer attrition. Such strategies include the upgrade of goods and services at lesser cost and targeted improved value chains to meet client needs. These are found to improve client retention and better monetization. The study predicts customer churn via tree-based ensembles with data resampling such as the random-under-sample, synthetic minority oversample (SMOTE), and SMOTE-edited nearest neighbor (SMOTEEN). We chose three (3) tree-based ensembles namely: (a) decision tree, (b) random forest, and (c) extreme gradient boosting – to ensure we have single and ensemble classifier(s) to assess how well bagging and boosting modes perform on consumer churn prediction. With chi-square feature selection mode, the Decision tree model yields an accuracy of 0.9973, F1 of 0.9898, a precision of 0.9457, and a recall of 0.9698 respectively; while Random Forest yields an accuracy of 0.9973, F1 of 0.9898, precision 0.9457, and recall 0.9698 respectively. The XGBoost outperformed both Decision tree and Random Forest classifiers with an accuracy of 0.9984, F1 of 0.9945, Precision of 0.9616, and recall of 0.9890 respectively – which is attributed to its use of hyper-parameter tuning on its trees. We also note that SMOTEEN data balancing outperforms other data augment schemes with retention of a 30-day moratorium period for our adoption of the recency-frequency-monetization to improve monetization and keep business managers ahead of the consumer attrition curve.
Co-Authors Abdullahi, Mustapha Barau Achmad Nuruddin Safriandono Adigwe, Wilfred Afotanwo, Anderson Agboi, Joy Aghaunor, Tabitha Chukwudi Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo Ajib Susanto Akazue, Maureen Ifeanyi Akhmad Dahlan Ako, Rita Erhovwo Ashioba, Nwanze Chukwudi Binitie, Amaka Patience Budi Widjajanto De Rosal Ignatius Moses Setiadi Dian Kristiawan Nugroho Eboka, Andrew Okonji Edim, Edim Bassey Efetobore Edje, Abel Ejeh, Patrick Ogholorunwalomi Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami Emordi, Frances Uche Emordi, Frances Uchechukwu Ezzeh, Peace Oguguo Farah Zakiyah Rahmanti Gan, Hong-Seng Geteloma, Victor Ochuko Ibor, Ayei Egu Idama, Rebecca Okeoghene Ifeanyi Akazue, Maureen Iwan Setiawan Wibisono Jumbo, Evans Fubara Max-Egba, Asuobite ThankGod Muhamada, Keny Muslikh, Ahmad Rofiqul Niemogha, Star Umiyemeromesu Nwankwo, Obinna Nwozor, Blessing Uche Obruche, Chris Obaro Odiakaoase, Christopher Chukwufunaya Odiakaose , Christopher Chukwufunaya Odiakaose, Christopher Chukufunaya Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya Odiakaose, Chukwufunaya Chris Odoh, Anne Ojei, Emmanuel Obiajulu Okpako, Ejaita Abugor Okpor, Margaret Dumebi Okpor, Margareth Dumebi Onochie, Christopher Chukwudi Onoma, Paul Avweresuo Onoma, Paul Avweresuoghene Onoma, Paul Avwerosuoghene Onyemenem, Innocent Sunny Orobor, Anderson Ise Otakore, Oghenevwede Debby Oweimieotu, Amanda Enaodona Stefanus Santosa Sudibyo, Usman Syahroni Wahyu Iriananda, Syahroni Wahyu Taylor, Onate Egerton Ugbotu, Eferhire Valentine Yoro, Rume Elizabeth Zuama, Leygian Reyhan