Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 5 Documents
Search

Solar Radiation Intensity Imputation in Pyranometer of Automatic Weather Station Based on Long Short Term Memory Pahlepi, Richat; Soekirno, Santoso; Wicaksana, Haryas Subyantara
Ultima Computing : Jurnal Sistem Komputer Vol 15 No 2 (2023): Ultima Computing : Jurnal Sistem Komputer
Publisher : Faculty of Engineering and Informatics, Universitas Multimedia Nusantara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31937/sk.v15i2.3348

Abstract

Automatic Weather Station (AWS) experienced problems in the form of component damage and communication system failure, resulting in incomplete parameter data. Component damage also occurs in pyranometers. Decreased pyranometer performance results in deviations, uncertainty in measuring solar radiation intensity, and data gaps. Data imputation is one solution to minimize measurement deviations and the occurrence of missing AWS pyranometer data. This research aims to design and analyze the accuracy performance of the multisite AWS pyranometer solar radiation intensity data imputation model when a data gap occurs. This research attempts to utilize the spatio-temporal relationship of multisite AWS solar radiation intensity in the imputation model. Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm is used as an estimator in the multisite AWS pyranometer network. Data imputation modeling stage includes data collection, data pre-processing, creating missing data scenarios, LSTM design and model testing. Overall, LSTM-based imputation model has ability of filling gap data on AWS Cikancung pyranometer with maximum missing sequence of 12 hours. Imputation model has MAPE 1.76% - 5.26% for missing duration 30 minutes-12 hours. It still it meet WMO requirement for solar radiation intensity measurement with MAPE<8%.
Design of drought early warning system based on standardized precipitation index prediction using hybrid ARIMA-MLP in Banten province Soekirno, Santoso; Ananda, Naufal; Wicaksana, Haryas Subyantara; Yulizar, David; Prabowo, Muhammad Agung; Adi, Suko Prayitno; Santoso, Bayu
IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) Vol 13, No 2: June 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijai.v13.i2.pp1878-1887

Abstract

Drought Early Warning System (DEWS) is an effort to disseminate early warning information based on climate and hydrology aspects. The DEWS design uses ARIMA, MLP, and hybrid ARIMA-MLP models to predict drought based on SPI for 1, 3, and 6 months. Predictions were made using ERA5 monthly rainfall data from 1981-2022 corrected based on observation data on 9 grids of observation rain gauges in Banten Province. The design of the ARIMA model is determined by selecting the combination of p and q parameters with the lowest AIC value, while the MLP architecture is determined by referring to the study literature and by trial and error testing. ARIMA models and hybrid models are not able to follow actual data fluctuations and have high error values in both SPI1, SPI3, and SPI6, so they are not recommended in this study. The MLP model has the best prediction ability, namely in SPI6 prediction with NSE value reaching >0.5 and RMSE value.
Performance Comparison of 1D-CNN and LSTM Deep Learning Models for Time Series-Based Electric Power Prediction SUKATMO, SUKATMO; NUGROHO, HAPSORO AGUNG; RUSANTO, BENYAMIN HERYANTO; SOEKIRNO, SANTOSO
ELKOMIKA: Jurnal Teknik Energi Elektrik, Teknik Telekomunikasi, & Teknik Elektronika Vol 13, No 1: Published January 2025
Publisher : Institut Teknologi Nasional, Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26760/elkomika.v13i1.44

Abstract

Accurate electrical power prediction is essential for efficient energy management, especially in institutions with dynamic energy needs. This study compares the performance of 1D-CNN and LSTM for time series based electrical power prediction, using a dataset from the Building Automation System (BAS) of STMKG building. The evaluation metrics Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) are used to measure accuracy. The results show that the LSTM had an average MSE value of 3.35E-04±0.00013 and an MAE of 0.01312±0.0079 across 10 trials. This is slightly better than the 1D-CNN, which had an average MSE value of 4.68E-04±0.0003 and an MAE of 0.01855±0.00586. Despite the marginal difference, 1D-CNN provides a computational time efficiency advantage of 63.08s, 1D-CNN is about 84.19% faster.
Solar Radiation Intensity Imputation in Pyranometer of Automatic Weather Station Based on Long Short Term Memory Pahlepi, Richat; Soekirno, Santoso; Wicaksana, Haryas Subyantara
ULTIMA Computing Vol 15 No 2 (2023): Ultima Computing : Jurnal Sistem Komputer
Publisher : Faculty of Engineering and Informatics, Universitas Multimedia Nusantara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31937/sk.v15i2.3348

Abstract

Automatic Weather Station (AWS) experienced problems in the form of component damage and communication system failure, resulting in incomplete parameter data. Component damage also occurs in pyranometers. Decreased pyranometer performance results in deviations, uncertainty in measuring solar radiation intensity, and data gaps. Data imputation is one solution to minimize measurement deviations and the occurrence of missing AWS pyranometer data. This research aims to design and analyze the accuracy performance of the multisite AWS pyranometer solar radiation intensity data imputation model when a data gap occurs. This research attempts to utilize the spatio-temporal relationship of multisite AWS solar radiation intensity in the imputation model. Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm is used as an estimator in the multisite AWS pyranometer network. Data imputation modeling stage includes data collection, data pre-processing, creating missing data scenarios, LSTM design and model testing. Overall, LSTM-based imputation model has ability of filling gap data on AWS Cikancung pyranometer with maximum missing sequence of 12 hours. Imputation model has MAPE 1.76% - 5.26% for missing duration 30 minutes-12 hours. It still it meet WMO requirement for solar radiation intensity measurement with MAPE<8%.
Communication Satellite-Based Rainfall Estimation for Flood Mitigation in Papua Mardyansyah, Raden Yudha; Kurniawan, Budhy; Soekirno, Santoso; Nuryanto, Danang Eko
Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA Vol 10 No 12 (2024): December
Publisher : Postgraduate, University of Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jppipa.v10i12.8409

Abstract

Papua, an equatorial region in Indonesia, faces unique geographical and natural challenges, including heavy annual rainfall. This heavy rainfall increases flooding risks and impacts infrastructure, the economy, and daily life. Despite the importance of rain gauges for monitoring floods and climate change, Papua's difficult geography and limited transportation infrastructure hinder their installation and maintenance. In this work, we investigate a deep learning one-dimensional convolution neural network (1DCNN) model to estimate rainfall intensity using energy per symbol to noise power density ratio (Es/No) of the signals received from a communication satellite signal coupled with additional data representing satellite daily movement. The findings of this study demonstrate that the performance of the proposed model has a higher accuracy for moderate to heavy rainfall than for light rainfall. The NRMSE values for light rain, moderate rain, and heavy rain are 47.09, 31.78, and 33.58%, respectively. These results show that this method is promising for monitoring heavy rainfall as a flood mitigation effort. However, there is still room to improve the accuracy of the estimation such as using other secondary data that is highly correlated with rain at the satellite transceiver location.