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Analisis Dampak COVID-19 dan Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Indeks Saham Bank Jatim Menggunakan Pendekatan Regresi Time Series Muktar Redy Susila; Mochamad Jamil; Bambang Hadi Santoso
Jambura Journal of Mathematics Vol 4, No 2: July 2022
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1277.936 KB) | DOI: 10.34312/jjom.v4i2.13401

Abstract

Stock is one of the instruments that can be used to invest. The factors suspected of influencing the fluctuations in the stock price index are the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI), the rupiah exchange rate, and the Covid-19. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of the JCI, the rupiah exchange rate, and the Covid-19 on the Jatim Bank stock price index. To analyze the effect of the JCI, the rupiah exchange rate, and the Covid-19 on the Jatim Bank stock price index, time series regression analysis was used. The results of the analysis show that the JCI, the rupiah exchange rate, and the Covid-19 have a significant effect on the Jatim Bank stock price index. The p-value of the three variables is less than 0.05. The value of the determination coefficient is 65.56%, so that the diversity of the dependent variable that can be explained by the model is 65.56%.
Pelatihan Strategi E-Commerce Bagi Pelaku Usaha Mikro, Kecil dan Menengah di Kecamatan Bubutan Kota Surabaya Prawita Yani; Muktar Redy Susila; Wawan Cahyo Nugroho; Rizfanni Cahya Putri
Society : Jurnal Pengabdian dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Vol. 1 No. 2 (2021): Vol.1 No.2, April 2021
Publisher : Universitas Dinamika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37802/society.v1i2.125

Abstract

Untuk memperkuat daya saing Usaha Mikro Kecil dan Menengah (UMKM) diperlukan suatu strategi guna memperluas marketing dari penjualan produk. Salah satu jalur distribusi dari penjualan produk saat ini  adalah e-commerce. Di era modern ini, penjualan produk bisa dijual melalui platform digital atau atau yang biasa dikenal dengan sebutan e-commerce. Kecamatan Bubutan merupakan salah satu kecamatan yang ada di Kota Surabaya yang terdiri dari banyak para pelaku usaha yang usianya terbilang sudah tidak muda lagi. Oleh karena itu pelatihan e-commerce dan strateginya mutlak diperlukan bagi pengembangan dan kelangsungan usaha. Para pelaku usaha di Kecamatan Bubutan telah dilatih dengan materi strategi e-commerce untuk menjalankan usahanya. Setelah dilakukan monitoring dan evaluasi, para pelaku UMKM memiliki bekal yang cukup baik dalam memperluas jalur distribusi pemasarannya melalui media digital sehingga bisa menjual secara global. Namun, untuk bisa mendapatkan manfaat yang lebih berkesinambungan, pelatihan sejenis dan dengan materi yang lebih mendalam serta durasi yang lebih lama perlu dilakukan.
ANALISIS PENGARUH PDRB PER KAPITA DAN JUMLAH TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP JUMLAH PENDAPATAN PAJAK DAERAH PROVINSI DI INDONESIA Muktar Redy Susila; Fastha Aulia Pradhani
Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi dan Keuangan (JIAKu) Vol 1 No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Indonesia (STIESIA) Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1012.345 KB) | DOI: 10.24034/jiaku.v1i1.4996

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of GRDP per capita and the labor number on the province tax revenue. Regional tax revenues for each province have different figures. It is suspected that GRDP per capita and number of labor affect local tax revenues. To answer the research hypothesis, multiple linear regression analysis was used. The data used in the study were sourced from the Badan Pusat Statistik in 2020. The dependent variable in this study is local tax revenue, while the independent variables are GRDP per capita and the number of labor. Based on the results of the t-test, it was found that the GRDP per capita and the number of workers had a significant effect on province regional tax revenues. The coefficient value of GRDP per capita and the number of labor is positive. Based on the multiple linear regression model formed, the R2 value is 91.05%. So it can be said that GRDP per capita and the number of labor can explain the province tax revenue of 91.5%, the remaining 8.5% is explained by other independent variables not included in this study.
PELATIHAN DAN PENGEMBANGAN BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE DAN MANAJEMEN PENGELOLAAN USAHA BAGI WOMENPRENEUR FATAYAT JATIM Prawita Yani; Muktar Redy Susila; Wawan Cahyo Nugroho; Hermono Widiarto
Jurnal Kreativitas dan Inovasi (Jurnal Kreanova) Vol 2 No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Indonesia (STIESIA) Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (507.206 KB) | DOI: 10.24034/kreanova.v2i1.5117

Abstract

This community service activity has been held in East Java Fatayat Business Group within segmented target of Small Medium Enterprise (SME) business-woman which become one of economic support in Indonesia. These business-woman mostly consist of culinary business, followed by clothing re-seller and others. Community service activity aimed to give understanding to SME business-woman about the importance of business intelligence, funding management, packing and product label and human resources management as well to support the groeth of business in the future by considering and implementing business activity support factors. Implementation method consist of four stages, which are problem identification, daring training through zoom meeting, daring mentoring and monitoring evaluation process through whatsapp group. The expected outcomes after held this training is SME business-woman have ability and capacity to transform data into business opportunity, how SME can manage their finance efficiently, packing interesting product, and SME can empowering human resources effectively thus with this activity, business-woman from East Java Fatayat Business Group can upgrade their business activity becomes sustainable activity to support Indonesia economy.
Causal Influence between the JSX Composite Index and the FTSE Straits Times Index in Time Series Muktar Redy Susila
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 20 No. 02 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i02.22451

Abstract

This research analyzes the causal influence between the JSX Composite Index and the FTSE Straits Times Index. The data used in this study is a monthly period time series data. The period for the JCI to be observed is January 2015 to June 2022. The VAR method was used to analyze the causal influence of the two indices. The analysis results show that the appropriate VAR model is VAR ( 1,4,5), RMSE value of 212.15 for the JSX Composite Index and 123.76 for the FTSE Straits Times Index. Based on the analysis results using the VAR model, information is obtained that the two indices influence each other. The value of the JSX Composite Index formed in the current period is controlled by the value of the JSX Composite Index and the FTSE Straits Times Index in the previous period. Likewise, for the FTSE Straits Times Index, the results show that the value of the FTSE Straits Times Index formed in the current period is influenced by the value of the JSX Composite Index and the FTSE Straits Times Index in the previous period.
Akurasi Model Hybrid ARIMA-Artificial Neural Network dengan Model Non Hybrid pada Peramalan Peredaran Uang Elektronik di Indonesia Muktar Redy Susila; Mochamad Jamil; Bambang Hadi Santoso
Jambura Journal of Mathematics Vol 5, No 1: February 2023
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1973.518 KB) | DOI: 10.34312/jjom.v5i1.14889

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to model electronic money in Indonesia using a hybrid model and compare its accuracy with the non-hybrid model. The hybrid model used is Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)-Artificial Neural Network. The data used is the amount of electronic money circulation for the monthly period January 2009 to October 2021. The ARIMA model formed from research data is ARIMA (1,1,0) with additive outliers and level shift outliers. For Artificial Neural Network modeling is limited by using one hidden layer with three neurons. In the modeling process, 20 repetitions were carried out. The smallest repetition value was obtained, namely the 13th repetition with an error value of 2.569. In this study, it was found that the ARIMA- Artificial Neural Network hybrid model had a smaller Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) in sample and out sample than the non-hybrid model. Based on the results of the study, it can be concluded that by combining the ARIMA model with Artificial Neural Network, it can increase the accuracy of the data fit results and forecast results.
PELATIHAN PELAPORAN KEUANGAN SESUAI DENGAN SAK EMKM BAGI UMKM IWAPI JAWA TIMUR Prawita Yani; Muktar Redy Susila; Wawan Cahyo Nugroho; Fastha Aulia Pradhania; Hermono Widiarto
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Publisher : Jurnal KeDayMas: Kemitraan dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/kedaymas.v3i1.3596

Abstract

Teknologi indsutri sekarang ini sudah merambah di semua divisi perusahaan. Usaha Mikro, Kecil dan Menengah (UMKM) juga dituntut untuk bisa mengaplikasikan dalam operasional usahanya. Salah satu peran teknologi terlihat dalam pembuatan laporan keuangan rutin. Namun, banyak UMKM belum mampu untuk menyajikan laporan keuangan yang berbasis teknologi. Melalui pelatihan ini, tim memberikan pendampingan bagi wanita pelaku usaha dari beberapa UMKM untuk menyajikan laporan keuangan rutin menggunakan MS Excel. Format sederhana telah disiapkan oleh tim dosen. Wanita pelaku usaha hanya diwajibkan untuk mengisi arus kas usaha sehari-hari ke dalam format yang telah disediakan. Respon positif ditunjukkan oleh peserta selama workshop sehari yang dilakukan secara offline dengan jumlah pertanyaan yang diajukan dan sesuai dengan usahanya masing-masing. Sementara kondisi berbeda ditunjukkan pada saat proses pendampingan online selama satu minggu. Dengan data bulan Juni 2022, banyak partisipan yang kesulitan mengalokasikan waktu untuk memasukkan data yang dibutuhkan pada format yang disediakan. Ke depannya, komitmen dari organisasi sangat diperlukan untuk bisa membuat partisipan berkomitmen dan mendedikasikan waktunya secara penuh untuk mengikuti proses pendampingan.
Pendampingan Digitalisasi Pelaku UMKM Kelurahan Kedurus Susila, Muktar Redy; Jamil, Mochamad; Ilahiyah, Elthaf; Yahya, Dian Ratnasari; Damayanti, Krisna
Jurnal KeDayMas: Kemitraan dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Vol. 4 No. 2 (2024): Juli 2024
Publisher : Research Center and Community Services (PPPM) Universitas Hayam Wuruk "Perbanas" Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/kedaymas.v4i2.4544

Abstract

Para pelaku Usaha Mikro, Kecil, dan Menengah (UMKM) di Indonesia semakin meningkat jumlahnya. Perkembangan UMKM di Indonesia terus meningkat dari segi kualitasnya, hal ini dikarenakan dukungan kuat dari pemerintah dalam pengembangan yang dilakukan kepada para pelaku UMKM, yang mana hal tersebut sangat penting dalam mengantisipasi kondisi perekonomian ke depan serta menjaga dan memperkuat struktur perekonomian nasional. Terdapat 25 pelaku UMKM RW 08 Kelurahan Kedurus, Kecamatan Karang Pilang, Kota Surabaya. Pada saat ini, para pelaku UMKM tersebut menjalankan bisnisnya masih ada yang belum terjamah digitalisasi. Terdapat beberapa pelaku UMKM yang belum menggunakan platform digital untuk menjual produknya. Kondisi lainnya juga menunjukan bahwa pecatatan keuangan pada pelaku UMKM belum tercatat dengan rutin dan belum rapi. Kondisi tersebut menunjukan belum optimalnya penggunaan teknologi oleh para pelaku UMKM. Program pengabdian kepada masyarakat ini bertujuan yaitu mengoptimalkan penggunaan digitalisasi marketing dan pencatatan keuangan kepada pelaku UMKM. Metode yang digunakan yaitu pemetaan, pendampingan, monitoring dan evalusi, serta pembuatan laporan. Hasil akhir dalam kegiatan ini adalah mitra mampu menggunakan aplikasi Shopee dan Akuntansiku untuk menjalankan bisnisnya.
PENDAMPINGAN SERTIFIKASI HALAL DAN PEMASARAN DIGITAL BAGI PENGUSAHA WANITA FATAYAT JAWA TIMUR Yani, Prawita; Susila, Muktar Redy; Nugroho, Wawan Cahyo; Pradhani, Fastha Aulia; Khuzaini, Khuzaini
Jurnal Kreativitas dan Inovasi (Jurnal Kreanova) Vol 4 No 1 (2024)
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Indonesia (STIESIA) Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24034/kreanova.v4i1.6249

Abstract

Halal dan pemasaran tidak bisa dipisahkan dan merupakan hal yang menunjang satu dengan yang lain. Namun dalam prakteknya, pengusaha wanita Fatayat di Surabaya masih banyak yang belum memahami dan mengerti secara detail bagaimana prosedur untuk mendapatkan sertifikasi halal. Selain itu belum optimalnya pemasaran penjualan produk via online, terkait hal itu, maka perlu adanya kegiatan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat (PKM) dari tim pengabdian Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Indonesia (STIESIA) Surabaya yang dilaksanakan bersama dengan Pengurus Wilayah (PW) Fatayat Jawa Timur menargetkan pengusaha wanita UMKM dari Surabaya dan Sidoarjo yang belum pernah mengajukan sertifikat halal maupun akun pemasaran digital. Kegiatan PKM dilaksanakan dengan tujuan memberikan pendampingan kepada wirausaha wanita untuk mengajukan sertifikasi halal dan memaksimalkan potensi pemasaran digital melalui akun media sosial berupa instagram bisnis dan akun penjual di marketplace shopee agar meningkatkan profitabilitas usaha di masa mendatang. Metode pelaksanaan kegiatan terdiri dari empat tahap, yaitu tahap identifikasi masalah (mapping), tahap koordinasi persiapan yang dilakukan secara online dengan masing-masing UMKM melalui whatsapp, tahap pendampingan di Surabaya dan Sidoarjo serta tahap monitoring dan evaluasi di akun masing-masing pelaku usaha di website halal Kemenag. Luaran dari kegiatan ini berupa UMKM.
Assistance in Preparing Simple Bookkeeping and MSME Taxation for the East Java Fatayat Business Group Nugroho, Wawan Cahyo; Yani, Prawita; Susila, Muktar Redy; Widiarto, Hermono
Entrepreneurship and Community Development Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): MAY 2024
Publisher : Santoso Academy Network

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58777/ecd.v2i1.40

Abstract

The Pawon Urip Program in Lumajang Regency is community empowerment in terms of food security and community nutrition with the aim of empowering the socio-economic sector of the Pejarakan Village community. Physical observations, social observations, and interviews, as well as exploratory descriptive analysis, were used to answer the research objectives. The economy of the people of Pejarakan Village is classified as lower middle class; this, of course, cannot be separated from the influence of less than optimal levels of education and land use; the social phenomenon of apathy is also reflected when people are too busy. Pawon Urip planting actually provides benefits to the community; although insignificant, all the processes that go through until the results can be enjoyed have an impact on the knowledge, psychological, and economic aspects of the community. The managerial implication in this research is that with assistance, MSME owners will better understand the basics of accounting and taxation, which will help them prepare their books correctly. Good bookkeeping will also help increase financial transparency and may impact investor or lender confidence. With accurate financial data, MSME management can make better business decisions. Whether in terms of investment, expenses, or other business strategies.