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Implementing Markov Switching Regression Using Best Subset Approach For BSI Stock Price Prediction Analysis Nurdiansyah, Denny; Ma'ady, Mochamad Nizar Palefi; Wijayanti, Lulud; Novitasari, Diah Ayu; Rohmawati, Siti
Inferensi Vol 8, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Department of Statistics ITS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.12962/j27213862.v8i2.21030

Abstract

Stocks are evidence of ownership of the capital or funds of a company or institution and are represented by a document that includes the par value, the company name, and the rights and obligations described for each owner. Since so many factors affect the rise and fall of stock prices, investors should pay attention to the factors that influence the rise and fall of stock prices to avoid incurring losses or profits when buying and selling stocks. The rise and fall of stock prices can be analyzed with Markov switching regression by trying all possible placements of factors to get the best subset. Public holdings will continue to increase due to nation-building and Sharia Bank Indonesia (BRIS) stock price appreciation. This study aims to determine the impact of increases and decreases in the closing price of BSI stock. The modeling used in this study is Markov switching regression using the best subset approach. The data used in this study are secondary in the form of daily data for the closing price of Bank Syariah Indonesia shares, Inflation, BI Rate, Selling Exchange Rate, Money Supply, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Data are obtained from the official BPS website. The results of this study show that Markov switching regression modeling can identify the feasibility of regimes as "bull" and "bear" periods. State 2 indicates an uptrend or "bullish," and state 1 indicates a downtrend or "bearish." The best subset approach obtains the best model with the lowest SSE value. The study concluded that the statistical modeling results of  BSI stock's closing prices during "bull" and "bear" periods provide significant predictors: BI Rate, Selling Exchange Rate, and Money Supply.
PEMANFAATAN LIMBAH KOTORAN SAPI SEBAGAI PUPUK ORGANIK DIDESA PUTER KABUPATEN LAMONGAN Ike Susanti; Akhlis Priya Pambudy; Henny Mahmudah; Luluk Nur Azizah; Diah Ayu Novitasari; Hery Suprapto
Community Development Journal : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 5 No. 6 (2024): Vol. 5 No. 6 Tahun 2024
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/cdj.v5i6.37288

Abstract

Desa Puter memiliki potensi pertanian dan peternakan cukup tinggi. Dalam sektor peternakan mampu menghasilkan kotoran sapi yang dapat dimanfaatkan untuk pupuk organik. Dalam survey dibidang pertanian menunjukkan bahwa masyarakat Desa Puter masih kekurangan dalam memperoleh pupuk bersubsidi yang diberikan oleh pemerintah setempat, sehingga tujuan dari kegiatan PKM ini adalah pemanfaatan limbah kotoran sapi dijadikan pupuk organik. Kegiatan ini dijadikan menjadi beberapa tahap yaitu tahap survey, tahap sosialisasi, pelatihan pembuatan pupuk dan pendampingan. Kegiatan ini akan memberikan dampak yang positif untuk masyarakat di Desa Puter , masyarakat sudah mampu memproduksi pupuk sendiri sehingga mengurangi biaya untuk pembelian pupuk.
PENGARUH INFLUENCER, BRAND IMAGE DAN DIGITAL MARKETING TERHADAP MINAT BELI PRODUK FASHION PADA PENGGUNA SHOPEE DI KOTA LAMONGAN Levia Inggrit Sayekti; Subandi; Diah Ayu Novitasari
JURNAL ILMIAH M-PROGRESS Vol. 16 No. 1 (2026): JURNAL ILMIAH M-PROGRESS
Publisher : Feb Universitas Dirgantara Marsekal Suryadarma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35968/mpu.v16i1.1820

Abstract

Seiring dengan kemajuan teknologi digital dan internet. Banyak pelanggan di beberapa negara, termasuk Indonesia, sekarang lebih suka berbelanja secara online. Dengan semua fitur dan keuntungan yang ditawarkannya, Shopee memengaruhi keputusan pembeli tentang barang yang mereka beli, termasuk frekuensi pembelian, jenis produk yang ditawarkan, dan pengaruh promosi. Penelitian dilakukan dengan tujuan menganalisis pengaruh influencer, brand image dan digital marketing pada minat pelanggan Shopee di Kota Lamongan untuk membeli barang fashion. Menggunakan Metode kuantitatif, teknik data dikumpulkan dengan kuesioner terhadap 160 responden dan menggunakan regresi linear berganda untuk menganalisis data. Hasil menunjukkan variabel influencer, brand image dan digital marketing berkontribusi secara positif signifikan pada minat beli. Di antara tiga variabel brand image merupakan variabel yang dominan mempengaruhi minat beli. Hal ini mengindikasikan pentingnya perusahaan untuk secara konsisten menjaga citra brand yang positif dan mutu produk yang unggul,penyampaian merek yang efektif serta pengalaman konsumen yang merasa puas. Perusahaan pun perlu memanfaatkan influencer yang kredibel serta mengoptimalkan strategi digital marketing secara tepat sasaran guna memperkuat persepsi konsumen dan meningkatkan minat beli secara berkelanjutan.
The Influence of Compensation, Work Environment, and Motivation on Teacher Performance in the Nurul Ulum Ngampon Foundation Andini Mirnayanti; Moh. Muklis Sulaeman; Diah Ayu Novitasari; Nurus Safa'atillah
Research Trend in Technology and Management Vol. 2 No. 4 (2024): Research Trend in Technology and Management
Publisher : RTTM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56442/rttm.v2i4.80

Abstract

This study aims to analyze and understand the influence of compensation, work environment, and motivation on teacher performance at the Nurul Ulum Ngampon Foundation. The quality of education is highly dependent on teacher performance as the spearhead in the learning process. Teacher performance is influenced by various complex factors, including the welfare received, work environment conditions, and the level of internal and external motivation possessed. This study uses a quantitative approach with a survey method, which involves the active participation of teachers at the Nurul Ulum Ngampon Foundation. The collected data were then analyzed using multiple linear regression techniques with the help of SPSS statistical software. This analysis aims to identify the relationship between the independent variables (compensation, work environment, and motivation) with the dependent variable (teacher performance). The results of this study are expected to provide valuable recommendations for the foundation in an effort to improve teacher welfare, create a more conducive work environment, and increase work motivation. Thus, it is hoped that teacher performance can be significantly improved, which will ultimately contribute to the achievement of better educational goals at the Nurul Ulum Ngampon Foundation. This study is also expected to be a reference for further research in the field of human resource management, especially related to the factors that influence teacher performance.
The effect of product quality, store atmosphere, and brand image on the purchase decision of mie gacoan restaurant products in lamongan city Irma Lafenia Putri; Moh. Muklis Sulaeman; Diah Ayu Novitasari; Heru Budi Santoso
Journal of Business Innovation and Accounting Research Vol. 2 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal of Business Innovation and Accounting Research
Publisher : PT. BATARI EDU CALYA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56442/hham0h53

Abstract

The latest culinary business opened in Lamongan City is a restaurant company called Mie Gacoan. Mie Gacoan is a subsidiary of PT Pesta Pora Abadi which has a trademark of the number one spicy noodle restaurant chain in Indonesia. This study aims to determine the effect of product quality, store atmosphere , and brand image on purchasing decisions for Mie Gacoan restaurant products in Lamongan City. The population in this study were consumers of Mie Gacoan restaurants in Lamongan City. This study uses a quantitative research method. Sampling using a non-probability sampling technique using a purposive sampling method and referring to the maholtra theory obtained results of 120 respondents. The results of this study indicate that partially and simultaneously the variables of product quality, store atmosphere, and brand image have a positive and significant effect on purchasing decisions. Based on the results of the R square value, the variables of product quality, store atmosphere , and brand image affect the purchasing decision variable by 64.5% so that the remaining 35.5% is influenced by other variables not examined in this study. This study contributes to adding to the literature that can be used as a reference for students to conduct further research and used as input for the management of the Mie Gacoan Lamongan restaurant to continue to develop. Further research is suggested to add other variables besides the variables that have been studied to provide a more comprehensive picture of purchasing decisions at the Mie Gacoan restaurant.
The effect of price, discount, and customer rating on purchase decisions on the shopee marketplace Mohamad Bagus Nuruddin; Moh. Muklis Sulaeman; Diah Ayu Novitasari; Nurus Safa'atillah
Journal of Business Innovation and Accounting Research Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Business Innovation and Accounting Research
Publisher : PT. BATARI EDU CALYA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56442/ejs1k774

Abstract

Shopee as the largest marketplace in Indonesia utilizes three elements, namely price, discount, and customer rating to increase sales transactions on the Shopee platform . This study aims to determine and analyze the influence of price, discount, and customer rating variables on purchasing decisions on the Shopee marketplace. The population in this study were students of the Faculty of Economics and Business, Lamongan Islamic University with a population of 859 students. This study uses a quantitative research method. Sampling using probability sampling techniques using random sampling methods and referring to the Slovin formula obtained results of 274 respondents. The results of this study indicate that partially and simultaneously the variables of price, discount , and customer rating have a positive and significant effect on purchasing decisions on the Shopee marketplace . Based on the results of the R square value, the three variables influence the purchasing decision variable by 71% so that the remaining 29% is influenced by other variables not examined in this study. This study contributes to adding to the literature that can be used as a reference for students to conduct further research, as well as being the main consideration for purchasing decisions online on the shopee marketplace . Further research is suggested to expand further research to other marketplaces and try to measure the long-term influence on purchasing decisions on the shopee marketplace.
Optimalisasi Rumah Produksi Pupuk dan Beras Organik Berbasis Limbah Lokal Menuju Mandiri Pangan Sidodowo Levia Inggrit Sayekti; Diah Ayu Novitasari; Wahyuni
BERNAS: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 7 No. 3 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Majalengka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31949/jb.v7i3.19218

Abstract

Ketergantungan petani terhadap pupuk kimia dan belum optimalnya pemanfaatan limbah lokal menjadi salah satu kendala dalam mewujudkan pertanian berkelanjutan dan ketahanan pangan desa. Desa Sidodowo, Kecamatan Modo, Kabupaten Lamongan memiliki potensi limbah lokal berupa serbuk batu alam, urin ternak, daun kirinyuh, daun imbo, temulawak, dan temu ireng yang dapat dimanfaatkan sebagai bahan baku pupuk organik. Kegiatan pengabdian ini bertujuan mengoptimalkan Rumah Produksi Pupuk Organik dan mengembangkan beras organik berbasis limbah lokal untuk mendukung terwujudnya desa mandiri pangan. Metode pelaksanaan menggunakan pendekatan partisipatif melalui kegiatan sosialisasi, pelatihan, pendampingan produksi pupuk organik, pengembangan budidaya padi organik, serta monitoring dan evaluasi. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan peningkatan pengetahuan dan keterampilan peserta dalam mengolah limbah lokal menjadi pupuk organik, terbentuknya Rumah Produksi Pupuk Organik sebagai pusat produksi dan pembelajaran masyarakat, serta berkembangnya budidaya padi dan produk beras organik. Program ini meningkatkan pemanfaatan sumber daya lokal, mendukung efisiensi usaha tani, dan memperkuat kapasitas masyarakat dalam menerapkan pertanian ramah lingkungan. Kegiatan ini mendukung penguatan ketahanan pangan dan pengembangan Desa Sidodowo sebagai desa mandiri pangan berbasis potensi lokal.