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All Journal IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems) CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) REKAYASA Scientific Journal of Informatics Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Industri Journal of Information Systems Engineering and Business Intelligence Jurnal Fourier JOURNAL OF INFORMATICS AND TELECOMMUNICATION ENGINEERING INTENSIF: Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Penerapan Teknologi Sistem Informasi Jurnal Matematika: MANTIK JBMP (Jurnal Bisnis, Manajemen dan Perbankan) BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Matrix : Jurnal Manajemen Teknologi dan Informatika JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) MATRIK : Jurnal Manajemen, Teknik Informatika, dan Rekayasa Komputer Teorema: Teori dan Riset Matematika Mathvision : Jurnal Matematika Systemic: Information System and Informatics Journal Computer Science and Information Technologies Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi Enthusiastic : International Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science International Journal Of Computer, Network Security and Information System (IJCONSIST) Jurnal Matematika Integratif Engagement: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat International Journal of Computing Science and Applied Mathematics-IJCSAM
Yuniar Farida
Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Ampel Surabaya
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation

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PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG PESAWAT DI BANDAR UDARA INTERNASIONAL JUANDA MENGGUNAKAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING EVENT-BASED Farida, Yuniar; Yusi, Suyesti; Yuliati, Dian
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 15 No 4 (2021): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (580.856 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol15iss4pp709-718

Abstract

The increase in the number of airplane passengers occurs at certain times, such as Eid al-Adha, Eid al-Fitr, and Christmas holidays. Of course, an excessive rise in the number of passengers can cause extreme flight traffic density so that which can cause flight delays, decreased airport service level performance, and other impacts. This study predicts the number of aircraft passengers at Juanda International Airport using the Exponential Smoothing Event-Based method. The Exponential Smoothing Event-Based method is a forecasting method that considers special events using the Exponential Smoothing method as the initial calculation. This study uses data on the number of passengers from January 2014 to December 2020. From the forecasting model, MAPE is 11.8905%, and MSE is 4202958561.0706, so that the resulting forecast can be categorized as good.
COMPARING GAUSSIAN AND EPANECHNIKOV KERNEL OF NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION IN FORECASTING ISSI (INDONESIA SHARIA STOCK INDEX) Farida, Yuniar; Purwanti, Ida; Ulinnuha, Nurissaidah
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 1 (2022): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (715.853 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss1pp321-330

Abstract

ISSI reflects the movement of sharia stock prices as a whole. It is necessary to forecast the share price to help investors determine whether the shares should be sold, bought, or retained. This study aims to predict the value of ISSI using nonparametric kernel regression. The kernel regression method is one of the nonparametric regression methods used to estimate conditional expectations using kernel functions. Kernel functions used in this study are gaussian and Epanechnikov kernel functions. The estimator used is the estimator Nadaraya-Watson. This study aims to compare the two kernel functions to predict the value of ISSI in the period from January 2016 to October 2019. The analysis results obtained the best method in predicting ISSI values, namely nonparametric kernel regression using Nadaraya-Watson estimator and Gaussian kernel function with the MAPE value of 15% and the coefficient of determination of 85%. Independent variables that significantly affect ISSI are interest rates, exchange rates, and inflation. Curve smoothing is done using bandwidth value (h) searched by the Silverman rule. The calculation result with the Silverman rule obtained a bandwidth value of 101832.7431.
MODELING CRIME IN EAST JAVA USING SPATIAL DURBIN MODEL REGRESSION Farida, Yuniar; Farmita, Mayandah; Intan, Putroue Keumala; Khaulasari, Hani; Wibowo, Achmad Teguh
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 18 No 3 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol18iss3pp1497-1508

Abstract

The high crime rate will create unrest and losses for the community. One of the provinces with high crime rates is East Java. This study aims to analyze the factors that influence criminality in East Java to ensure appropriate crime prevention and control measures can be taken. The factors that potentially influence crime in East Java studied include population density, the number of poor people, unemployment, Human Development Index (HDI), Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), and per Capita Expenditure, which are associated with geographical conditions in each region (regency/city) collected from BPS East Java in 2022. Meanwhile, the number of crimes is collected from the East Java Regional Police. This research uses a statistical method, namely the Spatial Durbin Model (SDM), which is a particular form of the Spatial Autoregressive Model (SAR) method with Queen Contiguity weighting by analyzing geographically (spatial processes). Based on the results of the analysis, it was found that the influential factors were unemployment, HDI, GRDP, and per Capita Expenditure, and the R-square result was obtained at 85.18%. This shows a relationship between spatial accessibility and crime, where unemployment, HDI, GRDP, and per Capita Expenditure in an area can affect regional vulnerability to crime
Analysis of Factors that Influence Maternal Mortality Rates Using Generalized Poisson Regression pratiwi, Yuniar Ines; Khaulasari, Hani; Farida, Yuniar; Ferdani, Ayu
Enthusiastic : International Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science Volume 5 Issue 2, October 2025
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/enthusiastic.vol5.iss2.art2

Abstract

Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) is the number of deaths of women within 42 days after childbirth or during pregnancy. Objective: This study aims to identify factors affecting MMR in East Java and compare the performance of the Generalized Poisson Regression (GPR) model with Poisson regression. The method used is Generalized Poisson Regression, a regression model for count data, which extends Poisson regression to overcome the problem of overdispersion or underdispersion with data derived from the East Java Health Office, including MMR as the dependent variable, as well as five variables that are thought to affect it in 38 districts/cities. The GPR model proved superior to Poisson regression with an Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) value of 239.515 to identify factors affecting maternal mortality. Factors such as delivery handled by health workers, K6 visits by pregnant women, provision of diphtheria-tetanus immunization, and obstetric complications affect MMR in East Java in 2022.
Classification of Hypertension in Pregnant Women Using Multinomial Logistic Regression Farida, Yuniar; Tiasti, Roro Niken Enggar; Sari, Silvia Kartika
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 7, No 4 (2023): October
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v7i4.16481

Abstract

Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) is still a crucial problem in Indonesia and other developing countries; one of the causes is Hypertension in Pregnancy (HDK). This study aims to classify hypertension in pregnant women based on the factors that influence it, with a case study of patients from the Obstetrics and Gynecology Specialist Clinic at the Regional General Hospital (RSUD) Dr. R. Sosodoro Djatikoesoemo Bojonegoro. The variables used were age, gravidity, gestational age, obesity, history of abortion, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus. The research method used in this study is multinomial logistic regression because it uses four categories of dependent variables, namely pregnant women without hypertension, pregnant women with chronic hypertension, pregnant women with gestational hypertension, and pregnant women with preeclampsia. The results obtained in this study were from 3 categories of hypertension in pregnant women; the influencing factors were obesity, gestational age > 36 weeks, having a history of hypertension, and diabetes mellitus, with the resulting model classification accuracy value of 79.6%, which means the classification is classified as good. This research contributes to applying statistical methods in the health sector and as a mitigation effort to help minimize the number (prevalence) of maternal deaths, especially those caused by hypertension. 
Model Geographically Weighted Regression Menggunakan Adaptive Gaussian Kernel untuk Pemetaan Faktor Penyebab Stunting Vianti, Febi; Khaulasari, Hani; Farida, Yuniar; Swantika, Cicik; Efendi, Havid
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi Volume 12 Issue 2 December 2024
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/euler.v12i2.28072

Abstract

Stunting is a child growth disorder that is evident from a lack of height for age. Jember Regency has a stunting prevalence rate of 34.90% in 2022, making it the region with the highest stunting cases in East Java. The purpose of this research is to map the factors that influence stunting in Jember Regency with a spatial analysis approach. The method applied in this study is Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) to analyze the spatial relationship between predictors and responses. GWR uses an optimal kernel to determine the spatial weights based on distance accurately, as well as the AIC and  goodness criteria to calculate the goodness of the model. The research variables include the number of stunting cases in Jember Regency as the response variable (Y), and the predictor variables (X) are chronic energy deficiency pregnant women (), anemic pregnant women (), exclusive breastfeeding (), proper sanitation (), pregnant women consuming TTD at least 90 days (), complete basic immunization (), and wasting (). The results of the study using the adaptive gaussian kernel with the minimum CV compared to other kernels can improve accuracy, so it can be applied to data analysis.  The GWR model obtained an accuracy of 80.59% and AIC 360.  indicates the ability to explain 80.59% of the variability of the response data, and the AIC value is 360, which reflects the efficiency and suitability of the model to spatial data. From the GWR parameters, 14 groups were formed where there are several different factors in each area in the sub-districts in Jember Regency.
Identifying Significant Factors Affecting the Human Development Index in East Java Using Ordinal Logistic Regression Model Farida, Yuniar; Nurfadila, Monika Refiana; Yuliati, Dian
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 6, No 3 (2022): July
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v6i3.8301

Abstract

The achievement of human development can be reviewed from the Human Development Index (HDI), which is sourced from indicators of health, education, and state income. East Java Province is the second-most populous province in Indonesia which has a high work intensity in economic aspects and abundant natural and human resources. However, judging from the level of the human development index, East Java Province occupies the lowest position compared to other provinces on the island of Java. This study aims to identify significant factors affecting East Java's HDI using ordinal logistic regression. The data from Indonesia Statistics (Indonesian: Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS) of East Java province in 2020 includes seven variables, namely Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), high school participation rate, infant mortality rate, health facilities, population density, labor force participation rate, and open unemployment rate. This study produced two ordinal logistic regression models in medium category HDI and high category HDI with a classification accuracy value of 97.37%. From this model obtained, a significant factor affecting the HDI of East Java is the participation rate of high school and health facilities.
Breast Cancer Survival Analysis Using Cox Proportional Hazard Regression and Kaplan Meier Method Farida, Yuniar; Maulida, Eka Agustina; Desinaini, Latifatun Nadya; Utami, Wika Dianita; Yuliati, Dian
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 5, No 2 (2021): October
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v5i2.4653

Abstract

Breast cancer is one of the malignant tumors that begins in the breast cells that develop and attack the surrounding tissues; according to World Health Organization (WHO), breast cancer is globally declared the top five killer cancers. In Indonesia, breast cancer becomes the number one killer cancer.  One of the successes in breast cancer treatment is if the cure obtained by cancer patients can be proven to have the same life expectancy as those who do not have breast cancer.This study aims to know the probability of survival of breast cancer patients and know the factors that affect breast cancer patients' survival. The data were consist of 394 medical records of breast cancer patients at Dr. Soetomo Hospital Surabaya in the period January 2018 – December 2019, with variables used, i.e., initial age of infection, clinical stage, tumor size, metastatic to other organs, type of treatment, and patient status (life or death). This study using Kaplan Meier and Cox Proportional Hazard regression methods, and the result showed that the probability of survival of breast cancer patients (with data samples) was 0.737 or 73.7%. The variables that significantly affect breast cancer patients' survival are the initial age of infection, the clinic stage, and the tumor's size. This research provides information and motivation to the community related to life expectancy, especially in breast cancer patients, to stay motivated in the healing process. In addition, this research is also used to add insight to academics, especially the department of statistics, regarding the regression of Cox Proportional Hazard in analyzing the survival of breast cancer patients.
Clustering Couples of Childbearing Age to Get Family Planning Counseling Using K-Means Method Yuniar Farida; Adam Fahmi Khariri; Dian Yuliati; Hani Khaulasari
MATRIK : Jurnal Manajemen, Teknik Informatika dan Rekayasa Komputer Vol. 22 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Universitas Bumigora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30812/matrik.v22i1.1888

Abstract

Couples of Childbearing Age (CCA) in the Madiun Regency have increased in the last three years. It caused the population in Madiun to overgrow with the newborn, which implies the economic, social, and environmental aspects. This study aims to cluster villages in Madiun with CCA case studies instead of birth control participants who will give birth and want children to determine the priority of getting Family Planning (in Indonesia, namely Keluarga Berencana/KB) counseling. K-Means clustering is used in this study because it has a linear space of complexity that can be executed quickly and easily. The result of this study is four (4) CCA clusters. CCA cluster 1 is a very high level of giving birth and wanting children, consisting of 7 villages. CCA cluster 2 is a high level of giving birth and wanting children with 119 villages. CCA cluster 3 is a medium level of giving birth and wanting children in 50 villages, and CCA cluster 4 is a low level of giving birth and wanting children, including 34 villages. So, cluster 1, which includes seven villages, is the most prioritized to get Family Planning counseling because it is the CCA cluster with the most birthing rate and wants children. This research obtained a silhouette coefficient of 0.42, which belongs to the medium level.
Modeling the Farmer Exchange Rate in Indonesia Using the Vector Error Correction Model Method Yuniar Farida; Afanin Hamidah; Silvia Kartika Sari; Lutfi Hakim
MATRIK : Jurnal Manajemen, Teknik Informatika dan Rekayasa Komputer Vol. 23 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Bumigora

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30812/matrik.v23i2.3407

Abstract

The agricultural sector plays a crucial role in the Indonesian economy. However, the farm sector still has serious problems, including agricultural product prices, which often fall when the harvest supply is abundant. So often, the income obtained is not proportional to the price spent by farmers, which has an impact on decreasing the welfare of farmers. An indicator to observe changes in the interest of Indonesian farmers is the Farmer Exchange Rate Index (NTP). This study aims to form a model and project the welfare level of farmers in Indonesia, focusing on NTP indicators, which are caused by the influence of variables such as inflation, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), interest rates, and the rupiah exchange rate. The method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), used when there are indications that the research variables do not show stability at the initial level and there is a cointegration relationship. The results of this study show that in the long run, significant factors affecting NTP are inflation, interest rates, and the rupiah exchange rate. Meanwhile, in the short term, the variables that have an impact are GDP and the rupiah exchange rate. The resulting VECM model shows a MAPE error rate of 1.79%, indicating excellent performance, as the MAPE error rate is below 10%. The implication of this research is provides information related to NTP projection that can be used to formulate strategies to strengthen Indonesia's agricultural sector.
Co-Authors Abdul Muhid Abdulloh Hamid Achmad Teguh Wibowo Adam Fahmi Khariri Addien Haniefardy Afanin Hamidah Ahmad Hanif Asyhar Ahmad Teguh Wibowo Ahmad Zaenal Arifin Akbar, Fadilah Ambadar, Panreshma Rizkha Ananda Amelia Pramaisita Aris Fanani Auditiyah, Cellyn Desinaini, Latifatun Nadya Diah Ayu Sulistiani Dian C Rini Dian C. Rini Novitasari Dian Candra Rini Novitasari Dian Yuliati Dwi Puspitasari Efendi, Havid FAJAR SETIAWAN Farmita, Mayandah Ferdani, Ayu Fifi D. Rosalina Fithrotun Nadiyah Galuh Andriani Ghina Salsabila Firdaus Hani Khaulasari Hani Khaulasari Husna Nur Laili Ida Purwanti Izza, Ananda Nur Khasanah, Zhara Shafira Uswatun Lailatul Ainiyah Latifatun Nadya Desinaini Latifatun Nadya Desinaini Lubab, Ahmad Luluk Mahfiroh LULUK WULANDARI Lutfi Hakim M Mahaputra Hidayat Mahfiroh, Luluk Maulida, Eka Agustina Mayandah Farmita Moh Hartono Moh. Hafiyusholeh Monike Febriyani Faris Montolalu, Billy Nafa Nur Adifia Nanda Novitasari, Dian C Rini Nurfadila, Monika Refiana Nurissaidah Ulinnuha Pramesti, Diah Devi pratiwi, Yuniar Ines Purwanti, Ida Putra Prima Arhandi, Putra Prima Putri Krismadewi Putroue Keumala Intan Rofina Muti’atun Khasanah Khasanah Sari, Ghaluh Indah Permata Sari, Silvia Kartika Silvia Kartika Sari Silvia Kartika Sari Silvia Kartika Sari Siti Nur Aisah Swantika, Cicik Tiarra Dellaviyanie Muryanto Tiasti, Roro Niken Enggar Utami, Tri Mar'ati Nur Vianti, Febi Wika Dianita Utami Wika Dianita Utami Yuliati, Dian Yusi, Suyesti Zaen, Nanida Jenahara Zaidatun Ni'mah Zainullah Zuhri