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PENGALIHAN ANGGARAN BELANJA DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP OUTPUT SEKTOR PRODUKSI DAN PENDAPATAN RUMAH TANGGA INDONESIA Muhammad Anas
Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 4, No 1 (2019): April 2019
Publisher : Universitas Tidar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31002/rep.v4i1.1339

Abstract

Kebijakan belanja subsidi BBM sejak sebelum tahun 2014 dianggap kurang tepat karena sebagian besar BBM bersubsidi dinikmati oleh kalangan mampu dan belanja subsidi BBM membebani anggaran belanja produktif seperti infrastruktur. Menjelang berakhirnya tahun 2014, pemerintah mengalihkan anggaran subsidi BBM untuk membangun infrastruktur. Penelitian ini bertujuan mensimulasikan kebijakan tersebut dengan alat analisis Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi (SNSE) dan mengkuantifikasi dampaknya terhadap pertumbuhan output dan pendapatan rumah tangga Indonesia. Berdasarkan simulasi kebijakan, diperoleh bahwa pembangunan infrastruktur modal manusia memberikan dampak positif yang lebih besar terhadap perekonomian Indonesia dibandingkan infrastruktur ekonomi. Pembangunan infrastruktur diperlukan guna mempercepat peningkatan kegiatan ekonomi dalam jangka panjang
Reforming Spending Policy and Its Impact on Indonesia’s Economy: The Case of Fuel Subsidy and Infrastructure Muhammad Anas
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 20, No 1 (2019): JEP 2019
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v20i1.7733

Abstract

The quality of Indonesia’s infrastructure up until 2014 was considered uncompetitive, and one of the reasons was that there was not enough money spent on infrastructure, and too much on fuel subsidy. In November 2014, the government of Indonesia decided to cut the expenditure for fuel subsidy and reallocate the money to invest on public services. This study was conducted with the intention to quantify the impact of the program on economic growth and income distribution in Indonesia using Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) model. Simulation results indicated that the impact from social and human capital infrastructure was bigger than that of economic infrastructure, although the simulation for both categories resulted in an increase of sectoral output and domestic income. Therefore, improving infrastructure, especially social, is vital to stimulate economic activity in the long run.
Penyuluhan Advokasi Hak Asasi Etnis Uyghur di Xinjiang dan Negara Suaka Raisa Aribatul Hamidah; Azhar Alam; Muhamad Taufik Hidayat; Muhammad Anas; Suranto Suranto; Rizka Rizka
Adi Widya : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol 5 No 2 (2021): ADI WIDYA Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33061/awpm.v5i2.5774

Abstract

Sebagai negara maju, China masih tidak terlepas dari masalah konflik internal. Salah satunya yaitu konfllik di Uyghur. Uyghur merupakan kelompok etnis minoritas yang sebagian besar beragama Islam, dan terutama berbasis diwilayah Xinjiang, di barat laut China. Berdasarkan sejarahnya, konflik ini dipicu ketimpangan ekonomi, ketidakpuasan, ketidakadilan, dan kekerasan yang secara simultan bergulir di Xinjiang. Dimana Etnis Uyghur muslim mengalami perseteruan dengan pemerintah otoritas China. Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta melihat perlunya advokasi hak-hak etnis Uyghur di Xinjiang dan negara-negara suaka. Advokasi dan edukasi ini bertujuan untuk menambah kesadaran masyarakat khususnya masyarakat Indonesia untuk melakukan aksi nyata dalam membela etnis Uyghur. Kegiatan ini diikuti oleh 117 peserta dari berbagai kalangan usia dari Indonesia dan India. Peserta memiliki antusiasme yang tinggi ditunjukkan dengan adanya dialog atau interaksi berupa pertanyaan yang disampaikan oleh peserta. Kegiatan ini menyimpulkan pentingnya peran semua pihak yang peduli terhadap hak asasi manusia untuk berperan aktif dan mendukung terwujudnya keadilan bagi etnis Uyghur.
The Influence of Determining Factors on Islamic Stock Index in Indonesia Azhar Alam; Galuh Thifal Anggraeni; Muhammad Anas
International Journal of Management, Entrepreneurship, Social Science and Humanities Vol. 3 No. 1 (2020): June 2020
Publisher : Research Synergy Foundation

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (254.113 KB) | DOI: 10.31098/ijmesh.v3i1.120

Abstract

This paper investigated some determining factors that influence Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI). Some macroeconomic variables are used as an independent variable such as central bank interest rates, inflation, currency exchange rate, and return rates of Bank Indonesia Sharia Certificates (SBIS). This study conducted the Error Correction Model (ECM)  to analyze times series data during October 2013 and September 2017. The findings showed that Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) is influenced significantly and negatively by central bank interest rates in long term analysis. Similarly, in short term analysis, the central bank interest rates affect significantly and negatively on ISSI as well as the currency exchange rates. On the other hand, SBIS return rates and inflation are indicated to have a non-significant negative effect on ISSI. This study suggested that investors of ISSI consider Central Bank interest rates, inflation, rupiah exchange rates, and SBIS rates of return to predict the stock price so investors can make the right decisions in their investment policies. This paper also recommended the Indonesian Central Bank to effectively manage their monetary policy and promote ISSI as an alternative investment which is resistant by the negative effect of inflation in short term analysis.
Empirical Study of Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis in Indonesia: The Effect of Budget Deficit on Public Consumption in 1990-2018 Anisa Kurniarahman; Muhammad Anas
Journal of Business and Political Economy : Biannual Review of The Indonesian Economy Vol. 2 No. 2 (2020): Journal of Business and Political Economy
Publisher : INDEF - Institute for Development of Economics and Finance

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (335.698 KB) | DOI: 10.46851/41

Abstract

Fiscal policy remains a central tool to boost the economy. Indonesia has implemented a deficit fiscal policy for the budget deficit, but Indonesia has not achieved the economic growth target. This reality shows that there is a gap between policy and policy outcomes. This research aims to prove the existence of the Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis (REH), namely whether the fiscal policy, in this case, the budget deficit, affects public consumption. In addition to analyzing gross domestic product (PDB) as a measure of revenue, government debt, and budget deficits, researchers added variable deposit rates as one of the monetary policy instruments. The research employs Adaptive Expectation Model analysis that shows that in the short and long term, only variable deposit rates had a significant effect on public consumption, meaning that  other variables such as GDP, government debt, and budget deficits had no impact on public consumption in Indonesia for 1990-2018 period. Thus, this study validates the existence of Short Ricaermc both in the short and long term. With this result, the government must change the deficit policy strategy so that the results of productive spending can be enjoyed directly by the people. Some policies that should to maintain interest rates, not do too much debt, develop the country's industry, and country's  deficit budgets to things that directly support the economy Keywords: fiscal policy, budget deficit, Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis, public consumption, Adaptive Expectation ModelJEL Clasification : E2, E62, H62
Pengaruh Ekspor Batu Bara terhadap Kurs Rupiah Fannes Monica Sari; Muhammad Anas
El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Vol. 5 No. 12 (2024): El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/elmal.v5i12.5915

Abstract

The major of exchange grade was an crucial macroeconomic indicator for a country, and its fluctuations can greatly influence the course of trade activities in a country and the price of a commodity. The reseach purposelly to quantitatively estimating toward impact of coal exports, inflation, also coal production towards rupiah exchange grades from 1996-2022 both the little run also the long proceed uses the Partial Adjustment Model (PAM) regression. The yields shown that coal exports have no impact towards exchange grades both are short or long proceed, also inflation also coal production has positive impact towards exchange grades. The government was expecting hight coal exports and reduce its imports in order to turn the trade balance deficit into a surplus and it is hoped that rupiah will appreciate. The government also needs to make regulations regarding coal import limits so that they dont excide tha count of its exports. Inflation rate should also be maintained through monetary policies especially interest rates to make sure that Indonesians’ consumption and purchasing power are stable.
Pengaruh Ekspor Batu Bara terhadap Kurs Rupiah Fannes Monica Sari; Muhammad Anas
El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Vol. 5 No. 12 (2024): El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/elmal.v5i12.5915

Abstract

The major of exchange grade was an crucial macroeconomic indicator for a country, and its fluctuations can greatly influence the course of trade activities in a country and the price of a commodity. The reseach purposelly to quantitatively estimating toward impact of coal exports, inflation, also coal production towards rupiah exchange grades from 1996-2022 both the little run also the long proceed uses the Partial Adjustment Model (PAM) regression. The yields shown that coal exports have no impact towards exchange grades both are short or long proceed, also inflation also coal production has positive impact towards exchange grades. The government was expecting hight coal exports and reduce its imports in order to turn the trade balance deficit into a surplus and it is hoped that rupiah will appreciate. The government also needs to make regulations regarding coal import limits so that they dont excide tha count of its exports. Inflation rate should also be maintained through monetary policies especially interest rates to make sure that Indonesians’ consumption and purchasing power are stable.
Faktor Penentu Serapan Tenaga Kerja Sektor Industri Di Indonesia Danang Koirol Anwar; Muhammad Anas
Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal (MSEJ) Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025): Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal (MSEJ)
Publisher : Yayasan Pendidikan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual (YRPI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/msej.v6i3.7780

Abstract

Tenaga kerja memiliki peran penting dalam pembangunan ekonomi suatu negara, khususnya dalam sektor industri yang berkontribusi besar terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) Indonesia. Meskipun industri pengolahan memberikan kontribusi terbesar terhadap PDB, terdapat dinamika jumlah tenaga kerja yang diserap oleh industri mikro dan kecil (IMK), dan industri besar (IB). Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengestimasi pengaruh nilai input, pengeluaran untuk pekerja, dan jumlah perusahaan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja IMK dan IB di 33 provinsi di Indonesia tahun 2015-2022 dengan menggunakan regresi data panel dengan pendekatan Fixed Effects Model (FEM). Ditemukan bahwa secara simultan, nilai input, pengeluaran untuk pekerja, dan jumlah perusahaan secara bersama-sama berpengaruh terhadap tenaga kerja IMK dan IB. Secara parsial, pengeluaran untuk pekerja dan jumlah perusahaan berpengaruh positif terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja, sedangakan nilai input tidak berpengaruh terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja pada IMK dan IB. Pemerintah diharapkan untuk bekerja sama dengan pelaku usaha di sektor industri kecil, menengah, dan besar untuk membuka lapangan pekerjaan untuk mengurangi jumlah pengangguran. Selain itu, pekerja juga perlu terus meningkatkan keterampilan agar lebih menarik bagi perusahaan. Pemerintah juga diharapkan mampu merumuskan kebijakan yang mendukung dan menguntungkan bagi industri kecil dan menengah, seperti memberikan bantuan tunai atau pinjaman bagi pelaku UMKM agar dapat mengembangkan bisnis yang dijalankan
Pengaruh Industri Mikro dan Kecil terhadap Kemiskinan di Indonesia Remahaen Ramadhan; Muhammad Anas
Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal (MSEJ) Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025): Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal (MSEJ)
Publisher : Yayasan Pendidikan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual (YRPI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/msej.v6i3.7907

Abstract

Kemiskinan adalah isu yang kompleks dengan berbagai dimensi, sehingga menjadi salah satu fokus utama dalam upaya pembangunan, terutama di Indonesia. Meski Industri Mikro dan Kecil (IMK) berperan penting dalam penyerapan tenaga kerja di Indonesia, kontribusinya terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dan pengentasan kemiskinan masih terhambat oleh berbagai kendala seperti keterbatasan pembiayaan, teknologi, pemasaran, kualitas SDM, serta dukungan infrastruktur dan regulasi yang kurang memadai. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengestimasi pengaruh jumlah perusahaan IMK, jumlah tenaga kerja IMK dan nilai output IMK terhadap kemiskinan di masing-masing provinsi di Indonesia tahun 2017-2022 menggunakan regresi data panel dengan model terpilih Fixed Effects Model (FEM). Hasil regresi masing-masing industri mikro dan industri kecil menghasilkan pengaruh masing-masing variabel independen yang berbeda-beda. Dari regresi industri mikro, ditemukan bahwa jumlah perusahaan berpengaruh negatif, jumlah tenaga kerja tidak berpengaruh, dan output berpengaruh positif terhadap kemiskinan di Indonesia. Sementara itu, hasil regresi industri kecil menunjukkan bahwa jumlah tenaga kerja berpengaruh negatif, jumlah perusahaan berpengaruh positif, dan nilai output tidak berpengaruh terhadap kemiskinan di Indonesia. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian ini, diharapkan pemerintah dapat berkerja sama dengan IMK untuk membuka lapangan pekerjaan baru dan meningkatkan kualitas tenaga kerja dengan cara memberikan pelatihan untuk meningkatkan keterampilan dan pengetahuan pencari kerja. Selain itu, diharapkan pemerintah juga dapat menciptakan kebijakan, program, dan produk keuangan yang lebih efektif dalam mengeluarkan masyarakat dari kemiskinan dan meningkatkan kesejahteraan mereka secara berkelanjutan.