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Pengaruh Aspek-Aspek Demokrasi Indonesia Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Periode 2016-2020 Sabardin; Muhammad Ghafur Wibowo
Jurnal Magister Ekonomi Syariah Vol. 2 No. 2 Desember (2023): J-MES: Jurnal Magister EKonomi Syariah
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ekonomi Syariah, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam, Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Kalijaga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14421/jmes.2023.022-08

Abstract

This research aims to find out how aspects of democracy presented through civil liberties, political rights, and democratic institutions influence Indonesia's economic growth from 2016 to 2020. The Central Statistics Agency (BPS) provided the data and researchers used secondary data for this research from 2016 to 2022. The random effect model (REM) is the model selection test most commonly found in this research approach, which uses panel data regression analysis tools. It was found that variables related to democratic institutions positively and significantly influence economic growth. However, civil liberties and political rights did not affect Indonesia's economic growth from 2016 to 2020.
The Effects of Exports, Inflation, Provincial Minimum Wage, Household Consumption, and Democracy on PMDN in Java Island for the 2009-2022 Period Vina Rahmawati; Muhammad Ghafur Wibowo
Bulletin of Islamic Economics Vol. 2 No. 2 (2023)
Publisher : Department of Islamic Economics, Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Kalijaga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14421/bie.2023.022-01

Abstract

Investment is an activity that can increase economic growth in a region. In times of crisis, economic activities that can help stabilize the economy are private investment or commonly called Domestic Investment (PMDN). The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of independent variables in the form of exports, inflation, provincial minimum wage, household consumption, and the Indonesian democracy index on the variables of Domestic Investment in 6 Provinces in Java for the 2009-2022 period. The data used in this study is secondary panel data. The analysis method used is the panel data regression analysis method with a weighted Fixed Effect  model approach with Cross Section SUR. The results of this study are export variables, provincial minimum wages, and the Indonesian democracy index have a significant and positive influence on PMDN. Then the inflation variable has a negative and insignificant influence on PMDN. Meanwhile, household consumption has a significant and negative influence on PMDN in 6 provinces in Java.
Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Kemiskinan di Provinsi Sulawesi Tenggara Nurul Humaera; Muhammad Ghafur Wibowo; Muhammad Wakhid Musthofa
GEMILANG: Jurnal Manajemen dan Akuntansi Vol. 6 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal Manajemen dan Akuntansi
Publisher : BADAN PENERBIT STIEPARI PRESS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56910/gemilang.v6i1.3573

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the factors that affect the prevalence of poverty in Southeast Sulawesi Province during the period 2014 to 2023. The independent variables studied include the Open Unemployment Rate (TPT), Human Development Index (HDI), and Total Population (JP), with poverty level as a dependent variable. The method used is multiple linear regression analysis using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method processed with E-Views software. The results of the study show that simultaneously, TPT, HDI, and JP have a significant influence on the poverty rate in Southeast Sulawesi. However, when tested partially or individually, the findings showed different results. Only the Population (JP) variable has been proven to have a significant and meaningful impact on the poverty rate in the region. In contrast, the Open Unemployment Rate (TPT) and the Human Development Index (HDI) did not show a significant influence separately on the dependent variables. This research presents an important contribution in deconstructing the complexity of the relationship between key socio-economic factors and the determination of poverty rates in Southeast Sulawesi province, as well as underlining the importance of population control in poverty alleviation efforts in the region.
The Impact of E-Commerce, Exchange Rates, and Interest Rates on Indonesia's Economic Growth Syafa Maytara Sultri Mulza; Muhammad Wakhid Musthofa; Muhammad Ghafur Wibowo
al-Afkar, Journal For Islamic Studies Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Perkumpulan Dosen Fakultas Agama Islam Indramayu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31943/afkarjournal.v9i1.2905

Abstract

The rapid development of e-commerce transactions in Indonesia plays an important role in driving economic growth in Indonesia, especially amidst changes in exchange rates and interest rates that affect the overall economic situation. However, there have not been many studies that examine the influence of these three variables simultaneously using quarterly time series data. Therefore, this research is intended to be able to examine the impact of e-commerce transactions, exchange rates, and interest rates on Indonesia's economic growth during the quarterly period of 2011 to 2024. The method applied is multiple linear regression with the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method on time series data, accompanied by classical assumption tests such as autocorrelation, normality, heteroscedasticity, and multicollinearity tests to ensure the validity of the model using Eviews 12 software. The results of the study indicate that e-commerce transactions, exchange rates, and interest rates simultaneously (together) and partially (separately) have a positive and significant effect on economic growth. The resulting regression model had an R-square value of 98.7%, indicating excellent ability to explain variations in economic growth. Therefore, it can be concluded that these results form the basis for recommendations that must be analyzed holistically for digital technology integration policies through e-commerce and responsive monetary policy, which are key factors in supporting sustainable economic growth in Indonesia. These findings are expected to serve as a reference for policymakers in formulating economic strategies to remain adaptive to technological developments and macroeconomic conditions.
Pengaruh Faktor Makroekonomi Terhadap Migrasi Tenaga Kerja Indonesia dalam Perspektif Ekonomi Islam: (Studi Studi Kasus Tahun 1995-2024) Anisa Putri; M. Wakhid Musthofa; Muhammad Ghafur Wibowo
Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen Pariwisata dan Perhotelan Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026): Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen Pariwisata Dan Perhotelan
Publisher : Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/jempper.v5i2.6777

Abstract

The disparity between education levels and job availability in Indonesia, coupled with the suboptimal impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) dynamics on unemployment figures, primarily drives the increase in labor migration abroad. This study aims to analyze the extent to which education level, unemployment rate, and GDP influence the decision of Indonesian citizens to migrate overseas during the 1995-2024 period. A quantitative approach employing multiple linear regression analysis (OLS method) was utilized, supported by Eviews 12 software and secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and World Development Indicator. The research findings indicate that, simultaneously, education level and unemployment significantly affect migration. However, when examined partially, only education level and unemployment show a significant influence, while GDP does not significantly impact migration. The results suggest that improving education quality and aligning it with job creation strategies within Indonesia could reduce the trend of labor migration. Ultimately, policies aimed at both enhancing education and fostering employment opportunities domestically could mitigate the flow of labor migration abroad.