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KARAKTERISTIK SEKTOR PERTANIAN DI PROVINSI BALI MENURUT SUBSEKTOR PENYUSUN PUTU OKA SURYA ARSANA; MADE SUSILAWATI; KETUT JAYANEGARA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 2 No 4 (2013)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2013.v02.i04.p054

Abstract

Bali instead of famous for tourism also popular at agriculture. One of them is subak. It is a culture heritage in the world. To cope with this problem the development in agriculture should be increased. The goal for this research are to know the identifiier factors of agriculture devolopment in Bali, the most dominat factors, and the variable which represent the development of agriculture in Bali. The method of analysis used for this research is factors analysis. Factor analysis is used to reduce the data or summary, for variable which is being changed to a new variable called factor and still load many information contained in a real variable. The method used in the factor analysis is principal component analysis method. Many  factors are determined by eigen values. The  factor rotation which used is varimax rotation. Based on the research results, got seven factors with the diversities which can be explained are 76.417%. Factors dryland farming as the most dominant factor identifier with the total value of the largest eigenvalues ??is 4.564 or 25.356% with variables representing these factors are widely planted potatoes and pulses.
MEMODELKAN KEMISKINAN PENDUDUK PROVINSI BALI DENGAN REGRESI DATA PANEL KADEK BUDINIRMALA; NI LUH PUTU SUCIPTAWATI; KETUT JAYANEGARA; I PUTU EKA NILA KENCANA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 7 No 3 (2018)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2018.v07.i03.p206

Abstract

One indicator of the success of development programs undertaken is the declining percentage of the poor, defined as the ratio of the number of people classified as poor to the total population. For Bali province, despite its economic growth is higher than national rate; 6.03 percent and 6.24 percent compared to 4.88 percent and 5.02 percent in 2015 and 2016, respectively; the poor are still observed in this province by 4.15 percent of its 4.2 million population in September 2016. In order to make development programs in Bali more effective to decrease the number of poor people, significant determinants of poor have to be recognised. The purpose of this work is to model and to determine the significant factor(s) that affect the percentage of poor in Bali province by applying panel data analysis. Percentage of poor for period 2007 to 2015 is positioned as the dependent variable while economic growth, unemployment rate, labor force participation rates, total population, and human development index as the independent ones. We found the best model to describe the causal relationship among variables is fixed effect model and two predictors, the economic growth rate and human development index, were significant in affecting the number of poor in Bali province.
PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN AUSTRALIA YANG BERKUNJUNG KE BALI MENGGUNAKAN MULTIVARIAT FUZZY TIME SERIES I MADE CANDRA SATRIA; I KOMANG GDE SUKARSA; KETUT JAYANEGARA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 4 No 3 (2015)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2015.v04.i03.p094

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to forecast the numbers of Australian tourist to Bali using multivariate fuzzy time series method (MFTS). MFTS method is development from fuzzy time series (FTS). The defferent betwen FTS and MFTS method is showed by factor in used. In FTS method using one factor, but in MFTS method using more than one factor. In this peper there was three factor used in this research, it was number of Australian tourist, Indonesian Inflation, and change rate of AUD to IDR. At the beginning, the speed of each factor was calculated. For each factor given weight, 0,999 for numbers of Australian tourist, -0,90 for Indonesian inflation, and 0,21 for change rate of AUD to IDR. The result showed that Australian tourist at July 2014 would visit Bali as much 91.056 tourist, with average error rate 6.87%.
ANALISIS SISTEM ANTREAN PADA LOKET PENDAFTARAN POLIKLINIK SPESIALIS DI RS BALIMED KADEK DITA SUGIARI; I WAYAN SUMARJAYA; KETUT JAYANEGARA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 10 No 2 (2021)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2021.v10.i02.p323

Abstract

Hospital is one of the service facilities that is not free from queue problem. One example of this hospital is Balimed Hospital. At certain times, especially in the morning, there is a lineup of patients at the Balimed Hospital’s Specialist Polyclinic. In order to maximize service, it is necessary to analyze the queuing system by applying the queuing theory. This study focuses on queues at the Balimed Hospital’s Specialist Polyclinic in Internal Disease. After conducting the research, it was found that the model used at the Specialist Polyclinic in Internal Disease is . With this model, the queuing system at Balimed Hospital's Specialist Polyclinic in Internal Disease is in steady state condition because ???? < 1. The measures of performance for queuing system at Balimed Hospital’s Specialist Polyclinic in Internal Disease is the average number of patients in queue is 0,1 patient or it can be said that there is almost no patient in queue because the value of is close to 0, the average number of patients in system is 1 patient, the average waiting time for patients in queue is 1 minute, and the average time spent by patients start from queuing until being served is 2,5 minutes. The queuing system has been effective, it can be seen from the short waiting time for patients.
MODEL TINGKAT KEMISKINAN DI KABUPATEN BANGLI DENGAN PENDEKATAN PARTIAL LEAST SQUARE NI WAYAN EKA SURYA ARTINI; I PUTU EKA NILA KENCANA; KETUT JAYANEGARA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 6 No 3 (2017)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2017.v06.i03.p165

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to determine the dominant factors that influence the increment of poverty in 6 villages in Bangli regency which categorized as disadvantaged village in Bali province, namely, Binyan Village, Ulian Village, Langgahan Village, Abuan Village, Mengani Village, and Tembuku Village. The total respondents in this research are 84 poor families which determined through the stratified proportional random sampling method. The research regarding the poverty in disadvantaged village involves 5 latent variables, namely, poverty rate, inability to meet basic needs, the shortage of human resource competencies, inability to meet support needs, and the shortage of access to infrastructure which are each 5 of the latent variable have the reflective indicator. This research is using the variant-based (PLS-SEM) Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) method and calculated through smart PLS software. Based on the output of structural poverty rate equation model resulting from the analysis, it can be concluded that the increment of inability to meet basic needs, the shortage of human resource competencies, and the shortage of access to infrastructure have a significant effect towards the increment of poverty rate in a disadvantage village, meanwhile inability to meet support needs rate has no effect towards poverty rate in the disadvantaged village of Bangli Regency.
PENENTUAN HARGA OPSI BELI TIPE ASIA DENGAN METODE MONTE CARLO-CONTROL VARIATE NI NYOMAN AYU ARTANADI; KOMANG DHARMAWAN; KETUT JAYANEGARA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 6 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2017.v06.i01.p145

Abstract

Option is a contract between the writer and the holder which entitles the holder to buy or sell an underlying asset at the maturity date for a specified price known as an exercise price. Asian option is a type of financial derivatives which the payoff taking the average value over the time series of the asset price. The aim of the study is to present the Monte Carlo-Control Variate as an extension of Standard Monte Carlo applied on the calculation of the Asian option price. Standard Monte Carlo simulations 10.000.000 generate standard error 0.06 and the option price convergent at Rp.160.00 while Monte Carlo-Control Variate simulations 100.000 generate standard error 0.01 and the option price convergent at Rp.152.00. This shows the Monte Carlo-Control Variate achieve faster option price toward convergent of the Monte Carlo Standar.
KOMPARASI METODE ANFIS DAN FUZZY TIME SERIES KASUS PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN AUSTRALIA KE BALI IDA BAGUS KADE PUJA ARIMBAWA K.; KETUT JAYANEGARA; I PUTU EKA NILA KENCANA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 2 No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2013.v02.i02.p033

Abstract

This study compares the accuracy of forecasting using ANFIS and Fuzzy Time Series the number of Australian tourists to Bali. The data used in this study are data on the number of Australia tourists visit to Bali from the period January 2006 through December 2011. ANFIS consists of two stages of learning and testing phases. Least Squares Estimator is used to study the forward direction and Error Back Propagation learning is used in the reverse direction. Forecasting with Fuzzy Time Series is forecast to capture the pattern of previous data is then used to project the data to come. The results of comparison of both methods showed that the ANFIS method has a higher forecasting accuracy than the method of Fuzzy Time Series. Forecasting by using ANFIS method obtained AFER aqual to 9,26% while the prediction using the method of Fuzzy Time Series obtained AFER aqual to 14,02%
ANALISIS KEPUASAN KONSUMEN RESTORAN CEPAT SAJI MENGGUNAKAN METODE PARTIAL LEAST SQUARE (Studi Kasus: Burger King Bali) MADE SANJIWANI; KETUT JAYANEGARA; I PUTU EKA N. KENCANA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 4 No 3 (2015)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2015.v04.i03.p095

Abstract

The were two aims of this research. First is to get model of the relation between the latent variable quality of service and product quality to customer satisfaction. The second was to determine the influence of service quality on customer satisfaction and the influence of product quality on consumer satisfaction at Burger King Bali. This research implemented Partial Least Square method with 3 second order variables is the service quality, product quality, and customer satisfaction. In this research also used 5 first order variables to explain the variable service quality are tangibles, empathy, reliability, responsiveness, assurance and 6 first order variables to explain the variable quality product are performance, reliability, feature, durability, conformance, and design. Samples used in this research is 100. The results of this research indentify that the service quality and product quality affect customer satisfaction at Burger King.
SOLUSI DARI PERSAMAAN CAUCHY–EULER NONHOMOGEN KASUS LOGARITMIK I GEDE PUTU MIKI SUKADANA; I NYOMAN WIDANA; KETUT JAYANEGARA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 9 No 2 (2020)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2020.v09.i02.p289

Abstract

Ordinary differential equation is one form of differential equations that are often found in everyday life. One form of ordinary differential equations which has non–constant coefficients is the Cauchy–Euler differential equation. In the nonhomogeneous Cauchy–Euler differential equations, the undetermined coefficient and the parameter variation were the most method that often used to find the particular solution. This paper aimed to show a new solution that was shorter than the previous methods for nonhomogeneous Cauchy–Euler differential equations with the right side was a logarithmic form. The new solution had been proven to produce the same solution as the ordinary solution sought using the undetermined coefficient method.
VARIABEL LATEN SEBAGAI MODERATOR DAN MEDIATOR DALAM HUBUNGAN KAUSAL I KOMANG GEDE ANTARA; I PUTU EKA NILA KENCANA; KETUT JAYANEGARA
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 2 No 4 (2013)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2013.v02.i04.p056

Abstract

Latent variables are variables that can not be measured directly. In analysis of causal relationship involving three latent variables, one latent variable can be a moderator or mediator variables. Goodness of Fit moderation and mediation model of latent variables is affected by the value of the canonical correlation between moderator/mediator latent variables with the independent latent variables and dependent latent variables. If the value of both canonical correlation is well , so the Goodness of Fit models of mediation is getting better, while the opposite Goodness of Fit models will be better moderation.