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ANALISIS BEBERAPA FAKTOR YANG BERPENGARUH TERHADAP EKSPOR CENGKEH HARMONIZED SYSTEM (HS) 0907 INDONESIA KE ARAB SAUDI Evi Fortuna Sukiran Putri; Niniek Imaningsih
Curve Elasticity: Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi Vol 7 No 1 (2026): Curve Elasticity: Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi
Publisher : Universitas Nias Raya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57094/jpe.v7i1.4092

Abstract

Indonesia is the largest clove producer in the world and one of the major exporters after Madagascar. Cloves grow well in tropical regions like Indonesia and play an important role in the national economy. This study uses secondary data from 1998 to 2023 obtained from the World Bank, TradeMap, FAOSTAT, and the Directorate General of Plantations, Ministry of Agriculture of Indonesia. The study aims to analyze the factors influencing Indonesia’s clove exports, classified under the Harmonized System (HS) code 0907, to the Saudi Arabian market. The method employed is a secondary time series analysis using multiple linear regression at a 5% significance level. The results indicate that international prices have a significant negative effect, while clove production has a significant positive effect on Indonesia’s clove exports to Saudi Arabia. However, Saudi Arabia’s GDP does not show a significant effect on exports to the country, nor does the Rupiah-to-USD exchange rate significantly influence clove exports to Saudi Arabia.
Analisis Daya Saing dan Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Cengkeh Indonesia Sephia Zalyanti; Niniek Imaningsih
Journal of Regional Economics and Development Vol. 3 No. 3 (2026): May
Publisher : Indonesian Journal Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47134/jred.v3i3.1054

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis daya saing ekspor cengkeh Indonesia ke Arab Saudi dibandingkan empat kompetitor utama menggunakan metode Revealed Comparative Advantage dan analisis jalur dengan data sekunder dari BPS, UN Comtrade, serta Direktorat Jenderal Perkebunan. Hasil menunjukkan Indonesia memiliki daya saing kuat dan fluktuatif yang mendominasi pangsa pasar, sementara Madagaskar stabil namun menurun, Uni Emirat Arab lemah sebagai re-ekspor, serta Sri Lanka dan India rendah. Analisis jalur mengonfirmasi produksi cengkeh berpengaruh positif langsung signifikan terhadap daya saing, nilai tukar tidak berpengaruh; secara langsung terhadap ekspor, produksi tidak signifikan, nilai tukar positif signifikan, dan daya saing paling dominan. Secara tidak langsung, produksi memengaruhi ekspor melalui mediasi daya saing, merekomendasikan peningkatan produksi dan stabilitas nilai tukar untuk memperkuat posisi kompetitif Indonesia.
Macroeconomic Determinants of Indonesia’s Refined Palm Oil Export Perfomance: Evidence from China, India and Pakistan (2010-2024) Jeisica Jeisica; Niniek Imaningsih
Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 6 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi (JRIE) Edisi April 2026
Publisher : Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23969/jrie.v6i1.421

Abstract

Indonesia is the world’s largest producer and exporter of palm oil, with refined palm oil (RPO) playing an increasingly strategic role in export diversification and downstream industrialization. However, the export performance of Indonesia’s refined palm oil remains volatile, indicating that competitiveness is influenced not only by production capacity but also by macroeconomic conditions, external demand, and international competition. This study examines the determinants of Indonesia’s refined palm oil exports to China, India, and Pakistan during 2010–2024 using a panel data econometric approach. The analysis incorporates the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), trading partner GDP, competitor prices, and downstream industrial policy within a unified framework. Model selection tests identify the Common Effect Model (CEM) as the most appropriate specification. The results show that REER has a negative and statistically significant effect on exports, indicating that exchange rate appreciation weakens Indonesia’s export competitiveness. In contrast, trading partner GDP and competitor prices positively and significantly affect refined palm oil exports, reflecting the importance of external demand and substitution effects in global markets. Meanwhile, the downstream industrial policy variable has a positive but statistically insignificant effect. Overall, the findings suggest that Indonesia’s refined palm oil exports are primarily driven by international competitiveness and global market dynamics rather than domestic policy intervention alone.
Analysis of the Effect of Economic Growth, Open Unemployment Rate, and Capital Expenditure on Income Disparity Daya Amarta Suwarjana; Niniek Imaningsih
Jurnal Ekonomi & Bisnis Vol 5 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Publisher : Politeknik Baubau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57151/jeko.v5i1.1048

Abstract

Income disparity is an important issue in regional development as it reflects inequality in the distribution of welfare across regions or social groups. This study aims to analyze the effect of regional economic growth, open unemployment rate, and regional government capital expenditure on income disparity in Pacitan Regency and Wonogiri Regency during the period 2010–2023. This research employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of East Java and Central Java Provinces, as well as BPS of Pacitan Regency and Wonogiri Regency. The study population consists of annual socio-economic indicator data, with a total sampling technique of 14 years of observation for each regency. Data analysis is conducted using multiple linear regression with the assistance of IBM SPSS 25 software. The partial test results indicate that the effects of independent variables on income disparity differ between regions. In Pacitan Regency, regional economic growth and open unemployment rate have no significant effect on income disparity, while capital expenditure has a positive and significant effect. Conversely, in Wonogiri Regency, regional economic growth and open unemployment rate have a negative and significant effect on income disparity, whereas capital expenditure has no significant effect. These findings provide policy implications for local governments in designing more equitable and inclusive development strategies.
Analysis of Economic Growth, Education, Labor Participation, and Minimum Wage on Open Unemployment in Malang M. Dikri Khoirul Ibad; Niniek Imaningsih
Finance : International Journal of Management Finance Vol. 3 No. 4 (2026): June
Publisher : Publikasi Inspirasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62017/finance.v3i4.161

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of the open unemployment rate in Malang City, where unemployment remains a major challenge despite ongoing regional economic development. The study aims to analyze the effects of economic growth, education level, labor force participation rate, and minimum wage on the open unemployment rate during the 2008–2024 period. Using a quantitative approach, this research applies multiple linear regression analysis based on secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and related institutions. Hypothesis testing was conducted through the t-test, F-test, and coefficient of determination (R²). The findings reveal that economic growth and minimum wage have a negative and significant effect on the open unemployment rate, indicating that higher economic growth and appropriate wage policies contribute to reducing unemployment in Malang City. In contrast, education level and labor force participation rate do not show a significant effect on unemployment. Simultaneously, all independent variables significantly influence the open unemployment rate. These findings imply that policies promoting sustainable economic growth and effective minimum wage regulations can serve as important instruments in reducing unemployment and supporting regional economic development in Malang City.