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All Journal Ulul Albab: Jurnal Studi Islam MATICS : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi (Journal of Computer Science and Information Technology) OPSI SMATIKA Jurnal ELTIKOM : Jurnal Teknik Elektro, Teknologi Informasi dan Komputer Indonesian Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining Jurnal Riset Informatika JIPI (Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Pembelajaran Informatika) Jurnal Review Pendidikan dan Pengajaran (JRPP) Jurnal Mantik ILKOMNIKA: Journal of Computer Science and Applied Informatics Jurnal Mnemonic International Journal of Advances in Data and Information Systems Journal of Computer Networks, Architecture and High Performance Computing Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF) Jurnal Computer Science and Information Technology (CoSciTech) J-Intech (Journal of Information and Technology) Jurnal Ilmiah Sistem Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Ririen Kusumawati
Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang
Religion Aerospace Engineering Arts Humanities Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Library & Information Science Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF)

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PREDICTION SYSTEM OF RICE CONSUMPTION NEEDS USING WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE METHOD Renisa Maulidifa; Puspa Miladin Nuraida Safitri A.; Ririen Kusumawati
Jurnal Teknik Informatika (Jutif) Vol. 5 No. 4 (2024): JUTIF Volume 5, Number 4, August 2024
Publisher : Informatika, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52436/1.jutif.2024.5.4.1905

Abstract

Most of Indonesia's population works in the agricultural sector. The main agricultural commodity is paddy which will be processed into rice. Despite being the fourth largest rice producer in the world, Indonesia continues to import rice. This is due to the rice deficit, declining rice field harvest areas, and the high consumption and demand for rice in the country. Malang Regency is one of the regions in Indonesia that faces challenges in fulfilling rice needs due to the increasing population and decreasing agricultural land due to land conversion. Therefore, this research aims to predict rice demand to ensure the availability of sufficient supply. This research implements the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) method to find the most optimal period and weight with the smallest MAPE value. The results show that WMA using a 3-month period and weights 0.1, 0.1, 0.8 is the best. From the test results, the rice demand obtained MAPE of 7.15% with the prediction results reaching 20,552.25 tons and the planting area obtained MAPE of 22.96% with the prediction results reaching 3842.70 ha for the next period. Further analysis was conducted to determine the efficiency of the available planting area whether it can sufficient the needs of rice. The results show that the expected rice production from the available planting area in Malang Regency can still sufficient the rice needs of the population. This research has also successfully implemented the method on a website-based system to facilitate data processing and prediction process with faster and more accurate results.
Co-Authors A, Miftahul Hikmah Putri Samudera Agung Teguh Wibowo Almais Agus Sofiyan Anwar, Agus Sofiyan Ahmad Fahmi Karami Ainul Yaqin Anwar, Aldian Faizzul Arief, Yunifa Miftachul Cahyo Crysdian Dita Aisha Dwi Purbo Yuwono Eko Agus Moh. Iqbal Erfan Ainul Yakin Fathurrahman Fathurrahman Fithriani Matondang, Fithriani Fresy Nugroho Hidayah, Ika Arofatul Hidayah Ida Ayu Putu Sri Widnyani imamudin Imamudin, M Irwan Budi Santoso Kunaefi, Aang Kurniawati Kurniawati Lia Wahyuliningtyas MARIA BINTANG Mokhamad Amin Hariyadi Muchammad Mustaqhfiri, Muchammad Muhammad Andryan Muhammad Andryan Wahyu Saputra Muhammad Faisal Muhammad Isa Ansori Nur Fitriyah Ayu Tunjung Sari Pahlevi, Achmad Fahreza Alif Puspa Miladin Nuraida Safitri A. Basid Renisa Maulidifa Silfiyah, Chilmiatus Sri Harini Subarkah, Aan Fuad Sulika Sulika Syawab, Moh Husnus Totok Chamidy Usman Pagalay Wahyuliningtyas, Lia Wiwik Handayani Yuliawan, Audi Bayu Yunifa Miftachul Arif Yunifa Mittachul Arif Yusril Haza Mahendra Zainal Abidin Zainal Abidin Zuhri, Abdurrozaq Ashshiddiqi Zuhri, Abdurrozzaaq Ashshiddiqi