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Journal : PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS

Deep Learning Approaches for Predicting Intraday Price Movements: An Evaluation of RNN Variants on High-Frequency Stock Data Mochamad Ridwan; Kusman Sadik; Farit Mochamad Afendi
Proceedings of The International Conference on Data Science and Official Statistics Vol. 2023 No. 1 (2023): Proceedings of 2023 International Conference on Data Science and Official St
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/icdsos.v2023i1.278

Abstract

This study discusses the comparison of four recurrent neural networks (RNN) models: Simple RNN, Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Bidirectional RNN (BiRNN), in forecasting minute-level stock price time series data. The performance of these four models is evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) on a stock dataset from Bank Central Asia (BBCA.JK). The experimental results reveal that the GRU model exhibits the best performance with an average MAPE of 0.0255%, followed by the LSTM model with an average MAPE of 0.0377%. The BiRNN model also demonstrates good performance with an average MAPE of 0.0668%, while the Simple RNN has the highest average MAPE at 0.5118%. This suggests that more complex recurrent architectures like GRU and LSTM have better capabilities in capturing patterns in high-frequency time series data. This study can be expanded by exploring other models such as CNN, conducting tests on diverse datasets, and experimenting with a wider range of hyperparameter variations. Additional variables such as economic indicators, global market data, and social data can also offer a more comprehensive understanding of factors influencing stock prices.
Co-Authors . Indahwati . Sutoro Aam Alamudi Abd. Rasyid Syamsuri Agus Mohamad Soleh Agus Santoso Aji Hamim Wigena Akbar Rizki Akbar Rizki Akbar Rizki Aki Hirai Anang Kurnia Anggraini Sukmawati Annisa Malik Apino, Ezi Aqmar, Nurzatil Bagus Sartono Budi Susetyo Budi Susetyo Budi Waryanto Budi Waryanto Budi Waryanto Cici Suhaeni Dairul Fuhron Dalimunthe, Amir Abduljabbar Dian Ayuningtyas Eka Setiawaty Erwandi Erwandi fatimah Fatimah Febie Tri Lestari Fitrianto, Anwar H S, Rahmat Handayani, Vitri Aprilla Handayani, Vitri Aprilla Hari Wijayanto Hari Wijayanto Hasibuan, Rafika Aufa Hasnita Hasnita Herdina Kuswari Heri Retnawati Hiroki Takahashi I Made Sumertajaya Ikhlasul Amalia Rahmi Indahwati Indahwati Indahwati Isnan Mulia Itasia Dina Sulvianti Izzati, Fatkhul Kensuke Nakamura Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Koesnandy H, Abialam Kusman Sadik Latifah Kosim Darusman M. Rafi Maya Deanti Maysarah Sabariah Kudadiri Md. Altaf-Ul-Amin . Melati Mochamad Ridwan Mochamad Ridwan, Mochamad Mohammad Masjkur Muchlishah Rosyadah Muhammad Ali Umar Mukhamad Najib Nadhif Nursyahban Nur Hikmah Nur Janah Nur Jannah Nurul Qomariasih Octaviani, Siti Nurfajar Panjaitan, Intan Juliana Pardede, Timbul Pika Silvianti Pika Silvianti Pika Silvianti Puspita, Novi Qomariasih, Nurul Rifqi Aulya Rahman Rizal Bakri Rossi Azmatul Barro Rosyada, Munaya Nikma Rosyadah, Muchlishah Rudi Heryanto Safitri, Wa Ode Rahmalia Septaningsih, Dewi Anggraini Septanti Kusuma Dwi Arini Septiani, Adeline Vinda Shigehiko Kanaya Sulistiyani . Syahrir, Nur Hilal A. Syahrir, Nur Hilal A. Usman, Muhammad Syafiuddin Widhiyanti Nugraheni Widya Putri Nurmawati Winata, Hilma Mutiara Wisnu Ananta Kusuma Zana Aprillia