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All Journal JURNAL DINAMIKA EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN Jurnal Kebijakan Kesehatan Indonesia Al-Iqtishad : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah (Journal of Islamic Economics) EQUILIBRIUM Jurnal Populasi Jurnal Pemuda Jurnal Ekonomi & Kebijakan Publik Jurnal Studi Pemuda BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Ekuilibrium : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Jurnal Kependudukan Indonesia Jurnal Ketenagakerjaan Jurnal Sosial dan Sains Journal of Islamic Economics Lariba Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia
Hardius Usman
Politeknik Statistika STIS
Religion Arts Humanities Astronomy Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Public Health Social Sciences Transportation

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Analisis Spasial Determinan Penyerapan Pekerja Perempuan Berstatus Buruh di Indonesia Tahun 2021 Andriani, Dwi Ayu; Usman, Hardius
Jurnal Ketenagakerjaan Vol 18 No 3 (2023)
Publisher : Pusat Pengembangan Kebijakan Ketenagakerjaan Kementerian Ketenagakerjaan Republik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47198/jnaker.v18i3.254

Abstract

Mayoritas perempuan memilih bekerja di sektor informal dan hanya sedikit yang terserap ke sektor formal karena diduga adanya diskriminasi dalam pasar tenaga kerja. Berbagai upaya telah dilakukan pemerintah dalam mengatasi ketidaksetaraan gender agar potensi perempuan dapat dikelola dengan lebih baik sesuai dengan Rancangan Pembangunan Jangka Menengah Nasional (RPJMN) 2020-2024 yang mengedepankan pembangunan Sumber Daya Manusia (SDM), sehingga kesetaraan tenaga kerja dapat tercapai. Penelitian ini memberikan gambaran umum pekerja perempuan berstatus buruh di Indonesia dan menganalisis faktor yang memengaruhinya dengan metode Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). Hasil analisis spasial menunjukkan seluruh kabupaten/kota di Indonesia dipengaruhi oleh setidaknya satu variabel independen. Variabel dengan pengaruh terbanyak adalah variabel pendidikan minimal SMA yaitu di 393 kabupaten/kota dan variabel rata-rata upah tenaga kerja perempuan di 353 kabupaten/kota. Sementara itu, tiga variabel lainnya yang signifikan memengaruhi persentase pekerja perempuan berstatus buruh di Indonesia secara lokal yaitu PDRB berpengaruh signifikan positif di 122 kabupaten/kota, Angka Harapan Hidup perempuan berpengaruh signifikan positif di 101 kabupaten/kota, dan persentase perempuan yang pernah mengikuti pelatihan berpengaruh signifikan positif di 102 kabupaten/kota.
The Effect of Per Capita Expenditure on the Working Status of the Elderly in Indonesia Amania, Atina Asyfa; Usman, Hardius
Populasi Vol 32, No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Center for Populatioan and Policy Studies Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/jp.102688

Abstract

The increasing number of elderly people indicates that Indonesia has begun to enter the second demographic bonus. This stage can be beneficial if the elderly remain productive and contribute to development. One of the things closely related to the elderly population and remains the development capital is their work activity. In Indonesia, the percentage of elderly who work also continues to increase yearly. However, most of them have low per capita expenditure, indicating that their low welfare motivates the elderly to work. This research aims to study the general description and characteristics of the elderly and working elderly in Indonesia, examine the effect of per capita expenditure on their working status, and analyze the differences in the effect considering other variables. The data is sourced from the March 2023 National Socio-Economic Survey (NSES), and the study utilizes binary logistic regression with interaction effects. The results showed that per capita expenditure has a significant effect on the working status of the elderly, but the effect is different in terms of place of residence, age, gender, head of household status, marital status, education level, health complaint status, and ownership of health insurance.
Kepemilikan Jaminan Kesehatan di Kalangan Penduduk Miskin Indonesia Tahun 2023 Nazli, Nisrina; Usman, Hardius
Jurnal Kebijakan Kesehatan Indonesia Vol 13, No 4 (2024): December
Publisher : Center for Health Policy and Management

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/jkki.96626

Abstract

Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional RI (Bappenas RI) menargetkan kepemilikan jaminan kesehatan penduduk Indonesia mencapai angka 98% pada tahun 2024. Namun per Maret 2023 hanya sekitar 72,38% penduduk yang memiliki jaminan kesehatan. Masyarakat dengan status ekonomi tinggi yang mempunyai jaminan kesehatan mencapai 83,08%, sedangkan pada penduduk miskin yang memiliki jaminan kesehatan hanya sebanyak 63,19% dimana seharusnya angka tersebut lebih tinggi dengan adanya program jaminan kesehatan khusus penduduk dengan status ekonomi rendah yang biayanya ditanggung pemerintah. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui penyebab rendahnya kepemilikan jaminan kesehatan di kalangan penduduk miskin di Indonesia tahun 2023. Data yang digunakan adalah rawdata yang bersumber dari Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional Maret (Susenas) 2023, dengan menerapkan Regresi Logistik Biner sebagai metode analisis. Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa umur, jumlah anggota rumah tangga, dan keluhan kesehatan yang mengganggu kegiatan sehari-hari memengaruhi status kepemilikan jaminan kesehatan penduduk miskin Indonesia.
Peran Perempuan dalam Menanggulangi Kemiskinan di Indonesia Tahun 2017-2021 Zahra, Patimah; Usman, Hardius
Jurnal Dinamika Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 7, No 1 (2024): APRIL
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/jdep.7.1.33-49

Abstract

Indonesia is still grappling with poverty issues, both at the national and regional levels. The trend shows a downward movement, although the pace of decline tends to be slow and has not been able to meet the poverty target set forth in the RPJMN 2020-2024. Thus, there is a need for innovation in poverty alleviation policies. One such approach is maximizing the role of women. When women participate in productive economic activities, the welfare of their families increases, which can reduce the poverty rate in aggregate. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the influence of variables representing the role of women on poverty levels in Indonesia from 2017 to 2021. The method used is panel data regression with the FEM selected model and the FGLS-SUR estimation method. The results show that women’s pure participation rate, women's life expectancy, the percentage of households with female heads, women's adjusted per capita expenditure, women's average wages, and women's labor force participation rate have a negative and significant effect on poverty levels, while women's open unemployment rate has a positive and significant effect on poverty levels. Meanwhile, women's literacy rate has a negative but insignificant effect on poverty levels.
FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC: ARIMAX AND INTERVENTION MODELLING APPROACHES Rianda, Fahriza; Usman, Hardius
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 17 No 1 (2023): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (465.982 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol17iss1pp0285-0294

Abstract

The tourism sector in Indonesia is one of the economic sectors severely impacted by the COVID-19 epidemic and its variants. The government is attempting to revive the economy by implementing numerous recovery policies. These economic recovery policies, particularly in the tourism sector, must be backed by a policy evaluation conducted using tourism demand data, such as the number of international visitors visiting Indonesia. However, official data from the BPS-Statistics Indonesia has been released with a two-month delay and is sometimes revised the following month. Consequently, it is necessary to forecast the data for the current situation. In addition, the forecasting model must be modified to account for data conditions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. This research proposes an ARIMAX forecasting model that utilizes Google Trends and an intervention forecasting model with data sources from BPS and Google Trends. Thus, this research aims to present an overview, develop a model and identify the best forecasting model, and calculate the influence of the intervention on the number of international visitors visiting Indonesia. Compared to the ARIMAX model, the results indicated that the intervention model provided the most accurate forecasts. Not only superior in forecasting results, but the intervention model also demonstrates the magnitude of the intervention's effect on the number of international visitors visiting Indonesia.
Impact of marketing communication mix towards image, brand awareness, and costumers decision to choose Islamic insurance Fajar, Ade; Sobari, Nurdin; Usman, Hardius
Journal of Islamic Economics Lariba Vol. 4 No. 2 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/jielariba.vol4.iss2.art5

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of marketing communication mix on brand image and brand awareness and its implication on the consumer decision to choose sharia insurance. This research is descriptive by using quantitative approach method and also supported by qualitative data. Data analysis method used in this research is SEM (Structural Equation Modeling). Respondents in this study are sharia life insurance customer in Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Tanggerang, and Bekasi with a sample of 160 people. The result of the research shows that marketing communication mixes influence to brand image, marketing communication mix influence to brand awareness, marketing communication mix does not affect consumer decision to choose sharia insurance, brand image influence to consumer decision to accept sharia insurance, and brand awareness influence to consumer decision sharia insurance.
Kangaroo Market Phenomenon: Identification and Impact on Indonesia’s Economic Growth Fatah, Saifullah; Usman, Hardius
EKUILIBRIUM : JURNAL ILMIAH BIDANG ILMU EKONOMI Vol 19 No 2 (2024): September
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Ponorogo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24269/ekuilibrium.v19i2.2024.pp289-308

Abstract

The stock market holds a crucial role in a country's economy, including Indonesia. As an indicator, the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) experiences volatility alongside changes in the Indonesian economy. The presence of a kangaroo market in JCI returns can pose a risk of future economic slowdown, making it crucial for monetary authorities to intervene to stabilize the stock market. Therefore, this study identifies the kangaroo market phenomenon, structural economic changes, and the impact of the kangaroo market phenomenon on Indonesia's economic growth. The study focuses on many variables, including JCI returns, kangaroo market, and economic growth from Q3 1995 to Q4 2023. By using the Hodrick-Prescott Filter to define a kangaroo market as JCI returns that lack a deterministic trend, have high volatility, and deviate by one standard deviation from their volatility trend, the results show that most kangaroo phenomena occur during undervaluation. Following the kangaroo market phenomenon, Indonesia's economy underwent five structural changes based on the multiple breakpoint test. Using dynamic linear regression, the overvaluation kangaroo phenomenon negatively affects Indonesia's economic growth, while the undervaluation kangaroo phenomenon has no impact but shows a positive direction.
The Role of Religious Norms On Selecting The Islamic Bank Usman, Hardius
Al-Iqtishad: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah Vol. 7 No. 1 (2015)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS ISLAM NEGERI SYARIF HIDAYATULLAH JAKARTA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aiq.v7i1.1356

Abstract

The aims of this study are to examine Muslim’s religious norms regarding to their belief on  the  law  of  the  prohibition  of  bank  interest,  and  to  investigate  the  effect  of religius norms on customers’ decision in using the Islamic banking services. This study employs natural experimental design with Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), and Pearson Chi-Square Test. The exploratory study also conducted to support the quantitative analysis. The results show that the religious norms among Muslims classified into two categories, i.e: traditional and contemporary group and the religious norm of the Muslim have significant affects on the decision in using the Islamic banks.DOI:10.15408/aiq.v7i1.1356
Prediksi IHSG dengan Model Garch dan Model Arima Nachrowi, Nachrowi D.; Usman, Hardius
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study search for proper models to forecast Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) and then compare their forecasts. The stock index from strong markets, like Dow Jone Industrial Average (DJIA) and NIKKEi, as well as the index from regional markets, like SET, are expected to have strong influences on JCI. More specifically, it is expected that SET will be able to explain the realocation of short term Jund from Thailand to Indonesia through capital market due to unfavour political situation in Thailand. Other than that, exchange rate is also expected to have effect on JCI movements. By using the daily data from January 3, 2005 to January 2, 2006, the study found that the proper models to be used to forecast JCI are GARCH (2,2) Model and ARIMA (1,1,0) Model. The empirical results showed that the forecast from ARIMA Model is superior to that of GARCH Model.
Co-Authors Ade Fajar Agil Priyovi Yonanda Amania, Atina Asyfa Andriani, Dwi Ayu Fadhli Wiryanto Fajar, Ade Fatah, Saifullah Gratiana Imelda Nahak Katamso Noto Santoso Meilani Thereza Br. Saragih Nachrowi D. Nachrowi Nachrowi DjaIaI Nachrowi Nazli, Nisrina Nurdin Sobari Pardiansyah, Elif Rianda, Fahriza Rofatunnisa, Sifa Saifullah Fatah Sheila Annisa Zahra, Patimah