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Beyond the Long-term Infrastructure Project: Survival Analysis on Monetary Institution and Capital City Relocation Setiawan, Azhari; Wahyudi, Herry; Putra, Ardi; Rahayu, Sri
JSP (Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan ilmu Poltik) Vol 28, No 3 (2025): March
Publisher : Faculty of Social and Political Sciences, Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/jsp.97648

Abstract

Past studies on regime change, political business cycles, and long-term infrastructure projects have shown that regime change can significantly shift policy priorities and approaches to long- term projects. Leaders aiming for survival will leverage available resources and policies to retain power, ensure regime sustainability, maintain policy coherence, and secure project continuity, especially for long-term infrastructure projects extending beyond their tenure. Most existing literature has discussed how leaders use resources to maximise power retention. However, the impact of these resources and policies on the success of long-term infrastructure projects has not been adequately tested, particularly regarding the economic impact of capital city relocation and the role of macroeconomic policies in accelerating this impact. We argue that expanding monetary policy instruments for project continuity and policy realignment can accelerate the achievement of capital relocation goals. Using Cox regression survival analysis on 16 countries that relocated their capital between 1956 and 2023, we assessed the time required to achieve targeted goals and examined macroeconomic factors influencing these timelines. Our results indicate a 75% chance of achieving success within 50 years, 50% within 30 years, and 25% within 20 years. The expansion of monetary policy instruments accelerates project goal achievement. However, since our study focuses on political-economic aspects, future research needs to include other variables, such as political stability, party polarisation, and opposition autonomy regarding policy realignment and long-term project continuity.
“Engines” of Growth, “Sponges” of Labor: A Study on Economic Transformation and the Kuznets Paradox in Kepulauan Riau Farhan, Adhe Fadli; Setiawan, Azhari; Pratama, Ryan Anggria; Azizi, Okky Rizki; Asyikin, Azrul
Jurnal Pemerintahan dan Politik Lokal Vol 7 No 2 (2025): JGLP, NOVEMBER 2025
Publisher : Universitas Pancasakti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47650/jglp.v7i2.2248

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between structural transformation and regional inequality in Kepulauan Riau (Kepri), Indonesia, a province strategically located as an industrial and service hub yet marked by persistent disparities. While the Kuznets hypothesis suggests an inverted-U link between growth and inequality, evidence from archipelagic economies remains limited. The main purpose of this research is to assess whether Kepri follows or diverges from the Kuznets trajectory by analyzing sectoral shifts and their implications for inequality dynamics. Using provincial macro and microeconomic data, this study applies panel data econometrics and productivity decomposition techniques to evaluate both within-sector growth and labor reallocation effects. The results reveal that industrial expansion generates high productivity but limited employment opportunities, while services act as a labor sponge with weak welfare contributions. This dualistic pattern, termed the “structural change penalty,” has amplified inequality across sectors and regions rather than reducing it. The findings underscore the need for stronger industrial linkages, service sector upgrading, and inclusive regional policies to ensure that structural transformation fosters broad-based and equitable development. By shifting the analytical focus from the national to the sub-national level, this study contributes new insights into the role of local governance, spatial politics, and policy choices in shaping divergent development paths in Indonesia.
UNVEILING TRANSNATIONAL ORGANISED CRIMES NETWORKS: MARITIME NARCOTICS TRAFFICKING AND SMUGGLING IN KEPULAUAN RIAU Riyadi, Sayed Fauzan; Setiawan, Azhari; Putra, Ardi; Rivai, Aspin Nur Arifin
Global: Jurnal Politik Internasional Vol. 26, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Maritime routes in Kepulauan Riau Province, Indonesia, serve as pivotal entry points for narcotics trafficking and smuggling within the Southeast Asian region. This study delves into the establishment and evolution of these illicit networks by examining three key variables: demographic and socio-economic characteristics, operating structures and classifications, methods, means, and funding sources. Leveraging an analysis of 355 court rulings records, the authors constructed a comprehensive dataset encompassing these variables. The findings underscore the intricate nature of narcotics trafficking networks, spanning from production to distribution, with involvement at various levels across diverse demographics. Notably, the exorbitant earnings potential, with couriers fetching up to 700 million rupiahs, underscores the financial allure of the narcotics trade. Moreover, the research elucidates the pivotal role of public transportation modes, including ships, planes, and speed boats, in facilitating these illicit activities. Furthermore, the intricate web of relationships among defendants, ranging from familial to social ties, underscores the complex nature of these networks. The authors argue that effective law enforcement and prevention strategies necessitate a nuanced understanding of these social dynamics to combat narcotics operations effectively. The implication is that law enforcement and prevention must focus on specific individuals or groups and recognize patterns of social relationships utilized in narcotics operations.
Sosialisasi dan Internalisasi Norma Kesuksesan Dalam Pandangan Islam Bagi Generasi Muda Pekanbaru Luerdi; Setiawan, Azhari; Kenepri; Wahyudi, Herry; Hakim, Amri
Ragom Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): Ragom: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat
Publisher : Program Studi Hubungan Internasional FISIP UNILA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/ragom.v2i1.14

Abstract

Permasalahan Umat Islam dalam menerapkan Al-Qur’an sebagai panduan hidup (operasionalisasi/membumikan) adalah tidak bertemunya makna konsep-konsep di dalam teks dengan konsep-konsep di dalam realitas kehidupan atau science sebagai generalisasi realitas (non-complementary paradigm). Hal ini membawa Umat Islam pada kondisi anomali, dimana visi kerosulan adalah sebagai Rohmatan lil Alamin yang berarti kesejahteraan atau sebuah kondisi terpenuhinya kebutuhan jasmani dan rohani manusia serta kelestarian lingkungan, dilandasi keamanan atau perdamaian, dan bertopang pada keadilan, akan tetapi realitasnya umat Islam sendiri hidup di dalam kekerasan dan kemiskinan. Pengabdian ini bertujuan untuk mengkonstruksi dan mensosialisasikan norma kesuksesan dalam Perspektif Islam bertempat di Pesantren Teknologi Riau, yang merupakan salah satu institusi pendidikan Islam yang mempersiapkan calon-calon intelektual muslim di masa depan
Economic-Political Orientations and Perceptions of The Riau Community: Social Embeddedness, Political Efficacy, and Islamic Financial Inclusion Eka Armas Pailis; Azhari Setiawan; M. Hamid; Darmayuda Darmayuda; M. Hasnan
International Journal of Accounting and Finance in Asia Pasific (IJAFAP) Vol 8, No 3 (2025): October 2025
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/ijafap.v8i3.4557

Abstract

Civic engagement and political efficacy as non-economic factors do have significant impact on sharia economy inclusion agenda in Riau Province. Existing literatures found that Islamic economic principles have significant impact on banking and finance sectors which have been felt by us nowadays along with its impact on investment and capital markets, labor market, taxation system, and economic behavior. But it is still underdiscussed when it comes to some inquiries on to what extent non-economic factors contribute to this agenda. Drawing from our public survey data on 911 respondents which is distributed proportionally in each district in Riau Province, we found that besides education level in term of modernization theory, religiosity, civic engagement, and political efficacy have significant effects on sharia economic and finance inclusion. Using multiple regression and ANOVA technique, our study shows that political attitudes and voting for Islamic parties also determine the rate of sharia economy index in Riau context. Regarding these political factors, we also found that criticism of people’s views on government’s works and programs could positively drive the participation and literacy on sharia economy and finance.
Peran Global Qurban Aksi Cepat Tanggap Indonesia dalam Menyalurkan Bantuan Kemanusiaan Transnasional Azhari Setiawan; Andhik Beni Saputra; Herry Wahyudi
T JDP (JURNAL DINAMIKA PEMERINTAHAN) Vol 3 No 1 (2020): Januari 2020
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Abdurrab

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (990.5 KB) | DOI: 10.36341/jdp.v3i1.1178

Abstract

The research explores how the role of Aksi Cepat Tanggap (ACT) Indonesia and Global Qurban as one of its flagship programs at the global level. ACT is a professional non-profit organization that focuses on humanitarian work due to natural disasters and humanitarian conflicts. ACT's working area on a global scale begins with gait in every humanitarian tragedy in various parts of the world such as natural disasters, hunger and drought, conflict and war, including the suppression of minority groups of various countries. This study applies qualitative approach. This type of research is classified into Phenomenological research which seeks meaning from a social reality from a human point of view within it—Aksi Cepat Tanggap. This study applies six conceptual approaches on exploring the research findings on Global Qurban Aksi Cepat Tanggap from the point of view of (i) social movements, (ii) the international society, (iii) development, regimes and policies, (iv) socioeconomics, (v) the use of social media, and the perspectives of (vi) transnational advocacy networks. The results of this study indicate that humanitarian assistance—and also humanitarian issues—is still being major trends in the dynamics of transnational organizations discourses. In addition, the use of social media is considered necessary to determine the development and progress of a transnational advocacy network.
PENGUATAN LITERASI MASYARAKAT TENTANG BAHAYA HUMAN TRAFFICKING DI DESA BERAKIT, KABUPATEN BINTAN Azhari Setiawan; Azrul Asyikin; Ryan Anggria Pratama; Okky Rizki Azizi; Adhe Fadli Farhan
Community Services and Social Work Bulletin Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): Community Services and Social Work Bulletin Volume 5 No. 2 2025
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Tangerang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31000/cswb.v5i2.15019

Abstract

The Community Service Program of Expertise of the Riau Islands Dekranasda is a strategic collaboration between Raja Ali Haji Maritime University and the Regional National Crafts Council of the Riau Islands Province. The main objective of this activity is to strengthen the capacity of MSMEs in the downstreaming of creative economy-based tourism products through increasing legal literacy, Intellectual Property Rights certification, and public policy advocacy. The implementation method uses a participatory approach through a policy dialogue forum and technical assistance for IPR registration. The results of this activity show a significant increase in participant knowledge (the average score increased from 4.58 to 4.71) as well as increased legal awareness and business motivation. The policy forum also produced strategic recommendations for strengthening the role of MSMEs in tourism development planning. This article discusses the academic-government-community (pentahelix) collaboration model in promoting the legitimacy and competitiveness of local products in the maritime region.
Diplomasi Selancar: Dampak Nias Pro 2025 dalam Strategi Smart Power Indonesia di Kawasan Indo-Pasifik Febriyanti Halawa; Herry Wahyudi; Azhari Setiawan
Tamasya : Jurnal Pariwisata Indonesia Vol. 3 No. 3 (2026): September : Tamasya : Jurnal Pariwisata Indonesia
Publisher : Asosiasi Peneliti Dan Pengajar Ilmu Sosial Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62383/tamasya.v3i3.1212

Abstract

 This Research aims to analyze the impact of the Nias Pro international event on the south Nias region and its role in supporting Indonesian diplomacy as part of the smart power strategy in the Indo-Pasific region. Indonesia as a strategic archipelagic coutry between the Indian ocean and the pacific ocean, utilizes maritime potential through sport tourism to strengthen its bargaining position in the international arena. The research method used is an explanatory qualitative approach. Primary data was obtained through direct observation at sorake beach. The results show that Nias Pro has a significant impact on three main aspects. Economic, in the form of a surge in income for MSMEs and homestay entrepreneurs that increased during the event, as well as the creation of new jobs. Social, through the formation of internasional networks and crosscultural interactions between local communities and foreign tourists. Cultural, by introducing local identities such as the stone jumping (fohombo)tradition and traditional dances to a global audience through collaboration witg the Word Surf League (WSL). Overall, Nias Pro is a concrete manifesting of surf diplomacy that successfully integrates soft power elements in the form of natural and cultural attractions with hard power in the form of policy support and infrastructure development to strengthen Indonesia’s positive image and strategic position in the Indo-Pasific region.