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Perbandingan prediksi jumlah penjualan kapas menggunakan metode dekomposisi aditif dan multiplikatif Kristuadji, Yesaya Arya Danar; Zubair, Anis
Journal of Information System and Application Development Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): September 2024
Publisher : Universitas Merdeka Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26905/jisad.v2i2.11068

Abstract

PT Taruna Kusuma Purinusa is a company that focuses on the beauty cotton industry with the Selection Cotton brand label. Their product sales are spread in various cities including Malang City. This study aims to determine fluctuations and predict the amount of sales of cotton PT Taruna Kusuma Purinusa Malang and simultaneously compare the two methods of Decomposition, namely Multiplicative Decomposition and Additive Decomposition. The data is secondary on cotton sales from January 2019 to May 2023. The research procedure begins by analyzing the components of the decomposition, namely the trend (𝑇), seasonal (𝑆), cyclical (𝐶) and random (𝐼) components, then multiplying the value of these components. The prediction results show that cotton sales from June to December 2023 are as follows: 1,759,864 in June, 1,691,855 in July, 1,744,614 in August, 1,720,060 in September, 1,746,516 in October, 1,850,913 in November, and 1,893,669 in December. In addition, the proper forecasting method used in the Cotton Sales data at PT Taruna Kusuma Purnisua Malang is the additive decomposition method.
Analisis prediktif perubahan nilai profit berdasarkan klasifikasi pengguna pada usaha jasa logistik Putri, Sephia Dwi Arma; Zubair, Anis
Journal of Information System and Application Development Vol. 1 No. 1 (2023): March 2023
Publisher : Universitas Merdeka Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26905/jisad.v1i1.9865

Abstract

The delivery of logistics services continues to experience a rapid increase in line with the high sales of goods through e-commerce. According to thepredetermined standards, each cargo expedition outlet is required to meet the monthly shipment achievement target (tonnage) to avoid fines and an increase in the target rate. This study aims to find out how to anticipate failure to achieve targets, so as to prevent additional operating expenses and profit instability. In this study, quantitative analysis was carried out using two algorithms. The Naïve Bayes algorithm is used to classify service user categories. The results showed that the industrial category contributed greatly to the delivery of cargo expeditions with a total tonnage percentage of 69.33%, while the remaining 30.67% was included in the individual category. Furthermore, the Multiple Linear Regression algorithm is used to predict profit values based on category classes. Predictions were made from October to December which resulted in an increase in profit for the individual category and a decrease in profit for the industrial category. Recommendations that can be made include royalty rewards for customers, brand awareness to attract new customers, as well as business cooperation with MSMEs and other business actors around them.
JFLAP SEBAGAI ALAT BANTU PENGAJARAN AUTOMATA Zubair, Anis
Jurnal Teknologi dan Manajemen Informatika Vol. 1 No. 1 (2015): Mei 2015
Publisher : Universitas Merdeka Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (477.165 KB) | DOI: 10.26905/jtmi.v1i1.66

Abstract

DOI: https://doi.org/10.26905/jtmi.v1i1.66
Classifying School Scope Using Deep Neural Networks Based on Students' Surrounding Living Environments Karyudi, Mochammad Daffa Putra; Zubair, Anis
Journal of Computing Theories and Applications Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): JCTA 2(2) 2024
Publisher : Universitas Dian Nuswantoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62411/jcta.11739

Abstract

This research investigates school scope classification using Deep Neural Networks (DNN), focusing on students living environments and educational opportunities. By addressing the interplay of socioeconomic and educational factors, the study aims to develop an analytical framework for understanding how environmental contexts shape academic trajectories. The research provides a nuanced understanding of the importance of features in educational classification by developing DNN models based on Spearman's Rank Correlation Coefficient (SRCC). The methodology employs machine learning techniques, integrating data wrangling, exploratory analysis, and multiple DNN models with K-fold cross-validation. The study analyzes 677 student records from two schools. The research examined multiple model configurations. Results show that the 'All Data' model achieved 83.08% accuracy, the 'Top 5' model 81.54%, and the 'Non-Top 5' model 79.23%. The SRCC-based approach revealed that while top correlated features are important, additional variables significantly contribute to model performance. The study highlights the profound impact of family background, social environment, and educational contexts on school selection. Furthermore, it demonstrates DNN's capability to uncover intricate, non-linear relationships, offering actionable insights for policymakers to leverage machine learning's potential in developing targeted educational strategies.
Peramalan Harga Saham Perbankan dengan Menggunakan Metode Moving Average dan Exponential Smoothing Sadili, Ach; Zubair, Anis
Journal of Internet and Software Engineering Vol 6 No 1 (2025): Journal of Internet and Software Engineering
Publisher : Department of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, Vocational College, Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/jise.v6i1.11848

Abstract

Investasi saham adalah ptoses dimana para investor membeli kepemilikan dalam suatu perusahaan atau entitas bisnis dengan harapan mendapatkan keuntungan dari pertumbuhan nilai saham atau dari pembayaran dividen. Kebanyakan para investor atau nasabah masih takut tertipu pialang-pialang saham karena mereka belum mengetahui naik turunnya harga saham perbankan. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan dua metode yaitu metode Moving Average dan metode Exponential Smoothing (Adaptive Parameter). metode Moving Average adalah metode yang menggunakan kumpulan data historis untuk meramalkan masa depan. Sedangkan, metode Exponential Smoothing adalah teknik untuk menyelaraskan data deret waktu dengan menggunakan fungsi eksponensial untuk memberikan bobot yang kurang secara eksponensial seiring berjalannya waktu. Kedua metode tersebut berhasil menghasilkan hasil yang sangat memuaskan dan sangat akurat untuk meramalkan harga saham perbankan. Meskipun ada perbedaan hasil dari kedua metode tersebut tetapin tidak ada perbedaan yang signifikan.
Revitalization of the Walet Park in Sukun Village, Malang as a TOGA Tourist Attraction Zubair, Anis; Ramadhan, Viry Puspaning; Hidayati, Rahmatina; Hasugian, Elsa Dame Ripka; Savsavubun, Valentinus
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat
Publisher : Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis Asia Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32815/jpm.v5i2.1715

Abstract

Purpose: This community service project aims to revitalize Walet Park by improving its cleanliness and using it for planting TOGA (Family Medicinal Plants), addressing cleanliness issues and vacant land in the park.Method: The project involved cleaning the park and planting TOGA in selected areas, with volunteers participating in both activities to enhance the park’s ecological value.Practical Applications: The revitalization transformed Walet Park into a domestic tourist attraction, promoting local tourism and educating the community about the benefits of medicinal plants.Conclusion: Walet Park's transformation into a tourist site highlights the impact of community projects in improving public spaces and addressing local environmental concerns.
Akuaponik Sebagai Media Pembelajaran Kewirausahaan Berwawasan Lingkungan Di SMKN 5 Malang Nurdewanto, Bambang; Zubair, Anis; Hidayati, Rahmatina; Yuliati, Ninik Catur Endah; Prihatiningsih, Bekti; Sonalitha, Elta; Adha, Muhammad Nibras; Wulandari, Fadila
JAPI (Jurnal Akses Pengabdian Indonesia) Vol 9, No 3 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Tribhuwana Tunggadewi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33366/japi.v9i3.6271

Abstract

Permasalahan lingkungan yang semakin kompleks mendorong perlunya pendidikan yang mengintegrasikan teori dan praktik berkelanjutan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk membuat kajian pengaruh penerapan sistem akuaponik sebagai media pembelajaran kewirausahaan berkelanjutan pada siswa SMKN 5 Malang. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah deskriptif kualitatif dengan populasi siswa SMKN 5 Malang yang mengikuti program akuaponik. Teknik pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui observasi, wawancara, dan dokumentasi. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan bahwa penerapan akuaponik memberikan dampak positif pada pengembangan keterampilan teknis, kreativitas, dan jiwa kewirausahaan siswa. Siswa mampu menghasilkan produk yang bernilai ekonomis dan memiliki kesadaran yang tinggi terhadap pentingnya kelestarian lingkungan. Disimpulkan bahwa akuaponik merupakan media pembelajaran yang efektif untuk membentuk generasi muda yang inovatif dan mampu berkontribusi dalam pembangunan berkelanjutan. Sebagai rekomendasi, perlu adanya perluasan program akuaponik di sekolah-sekolah lain dan dukungan dari berbagai pihak untuk pengembangan usaha sosial berbasis akuaponik.
Pemanfaatan Tanaman Obat Sebagai Bahan Ajar Muatan Lokal Di SDI Mohammad Hatta Malang Zubair, Anis; Satriyawan, Haris; Hairunisya, Nanis; Yuliati, Ninik Catur Endah; Sonalitha, Elta; Agung Adha, Muhammad Nibras; Fridayanti, Dinda Ahsana Zahra
JAPI (Jurnal Akses Pengabdian Indonesia) Vol 9, No 3 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Tribhuwana Tunggadewi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33366/japi.v9i3.6272

Abstract

Masalah lingkungan menjadi isu global yang mendesak. Pendidikan lingkungan sejak dini menjadi salah satu solusi untuk mengatasi permasalahan tersebut. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesadaran lingkungan siswa melalui pemanfaatan tanaman obat sebagai bahan ajar muatan lokal di SDI Mohammad Hatta Malang. Metode yang digunakan adalah pendekatan partisipatif dengan melibatkan siswa dalam kegiatan pengenalan, penanaman, dan pengolahan tanaman obat. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah seluruh siswa SDI Mohammad Hatta Malang, sedangkan sampelnya adalah siswa kelas 5 dan 6. Teknik pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui observasi, wawancara, dan dokumentasi. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan bahwa kegiatan ini berhasil meningkatkan pengetahuan siswa tentang keanekaragaman hayati, pentingnya menjaga lingkungan, dan manfaat tanaman obat. Selain itu, siswa juga menunjukkan peningkatan keterampilan berpikir kritis, kreativitas, dan kemampuan bekerja sama. Sebagai rekomendasi, perlu adanya pengembangan kurikulum yang lebih terintegrasi dengan muatan lokal dan peningkatan ketersediaan sarana dan prasarana pendukung.
Evaluasi Akurasi Moving Average dan Single Exponential Smoothing dalam Meramalkan Harga Jual Karkas Ayam Broiler dan Pakan Ayam Broiler (Studi Kasus: Jawa Timur) Rijanto, Jonathan Billy; Zubair, Anis
Jurnal Ilmiah Universitas Batanghari Jambi Vol 24, No 2 (2024): Juli
Publisher : Universitas Batanghari Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33087/jiubj.v24i2.5305

Abstract

This study will use two forecasting methods: moving average and single exponential smoothing. Both use data from the past to predict what will happen in the future, therefore both techniques are referred to as time series methods. This method comparison was chosen to determine which method is most appropriate for predicting sales. This choice is based on the smallest error resulting from both methods which is known through the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) calculation. Forecasting broiler chicken feed and carcasses can help farmers improve carcass quality, increase feed use, and increase profits. Forecasting can also make and find out whether there is a link between the price of broiler chickens and the price of broiler chicken feed.
Rebranding UMKM “produk olahan Aloe vera” di kelurahan Ciptomulyo Hidayati, Rahmatina; Zubair, Anis; Ramadhan, Viry Puspaning; Kenvin, Iqbal Baghis
SELAPARANG: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Berkemajuan Vol 8, No 1 (2024): March
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jpmb.v8i1.15440

Abstract

Abstrak                                                                                  Di Kelurahan Ciptomulyo, Kecamatan. Sukun, Kota Malang terdapat UMKM yang bernama Warung Perempuan Mandiri. Salah satu kegiatan UMKM ini adalah membuat makanan dan minuman yang berbahan dasar Aloe vera (lidah buaya). Proses produksi olahan Aloe vera dilakukan ketika menerima pesanan. Namun, kegiatan ini terhenti semenjak pandemi Covid-19 tahun 2020. Padahal sumber dana UMKM Warung Perempuan Mandiri adalah dari hasil berjualan. Tim Pengabdi Universitas Merdeka Malang yang terdiri dari dosen dan mahasiswa membuat program kerja membangkitkan kembali produk olahan Aloe vera. UMKM mengolah Aloe vera menjadi minuman sari, sirup, dan serabi. Pada kemasan produk sebelumnya, belum terdapat logo dan label yang digunakan belum mencantumkan komposisi, serta masa berlaku produk. Dari permasalahan tersebut, Tim Pengabdi membuatkan design logo dan redesign label serta mengganti packaging. Kegiatan ini dinamakan dengan rebranding. Hasil dari pengabdian ini berupa logo, desain label baru, dan packaging baru. Kata kunci: rebranding; UMKM; lidah buaya AbstractIn Ciptomulyo Village, Kec. Sukun, Malang City has an UMKM called Warung Perempuan Mandiri. One of these UMKM activities is making food and drinks made from Aloe vera. The production process of Aloe vera products  is carried out when receiving an order. However, this activity has been stoped  since the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. Even though the source of funds for the UMKM Mandiri Women Shop is from sales. The Merdeka University Malang Service Team consisting of lecturers and students created a work program to revive processed Aloe vera products. UMKM processes Aloe vera into juice, syrup and pancakes. On the previous product packaging, there was no logo and the label used did not include the composition and validity period of the product. From these problems, the Service Team made a logo design and redesigned the label and replaced the packaging. This activity is called rebranding. The results of this dedication are in the form of logo, new label designs, and new packaging. Keywords: rebranding; UMKM; Aloe vera