Putu Sugiartawan
Institut Bisnis dan Teknologi Indonesia

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Journal : IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems)

Predictive Analysis of Rice Pest Distribution in Bali Province Using Backpropagation Neural Network I Kadek Agus Dwipayana; putu sugiartawan
IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems) Vol 17, No 3 (2023): July
Publisher : IndoCEISS in colaboration with Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia.

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.85584

Abstract

The distribution of pests in rice plants results in significant losses in production and damage to rice plants for farmers, seen from data on the area of rice borer attacks in the province of Bali in Tabanan district. Therefore, by predicting the distribution of rice pests, we can know the pattern of pest attacks so that we can anticipate them because predicting can provide accuracy and error values through the test results. One of the prediction models is BPNN, where BPNN's advantages for solving complex problems are very suitable for use where large amounts of data are involved and many input/output variables, BPNN is also capable of modeling nonlinear relationships between input and output variables, which may be difficult to capture by this type of predictive model. other. Backpropagation includes supervised learning, which means it can learn from labeled examples and can make accurate predictions on new, unlabeled data. Split data using K-fold cross-validation serves to assess the process performance of an algorithmic method by dividing random data samples and grouping the data as many as K k-fold values.
Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (C-LSTM) For Multi Product Prediction Putu Sugiartawan; Yusril Eka Saputra; Agus Qomaruddin Munir
IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems) Vol 17, No 4 (2023): October
Publisher : IndoCEISS in colaboration with Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia.

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ijccs.90149

Abstract

The retail company PT Terang Abadi Raya has a solid commitment to supporting distributors of LED lights and electrical equipment who have joined them, helping to spread their products widely in various regions. To face increasingly intense market competition, it is essential to produce high-quality products to win the competition and meet consumer demands. To achieve this, efficient production planning is necessary. The Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (C-LSTM) method is used in this study to forecast product sales at PT Terang Abadi Raya. The research results show that C-LSTM has the potential to predict sales effectively. Evaluation is conducted using Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The calculations reveal that the smallest values are obtained at epoch 10, with an MAE of 0.1051 and a MAPE of 22% in the testing data. For the cable data, the smallest values are found at epoch 100, with an MAE of 0.0602 and a MAPE of 44% in the testing data. The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method with ten neurons produces the most minor errors during training.