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All Journal OIKOS: Jurnal Kajian Pendidikan Ekonomi dan Ilmu Ekonomi Ultima Management : Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen Dharma Ekonomi Jurnal Riset Akuntansi Jurnal Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Jurnal Kajian dan Penelitian Umum Maeswara: Jurnal Riset Ilmu Manajemen dan Kewirausahaan Al-Zayn: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial & Hukum El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam
Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
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Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences Other

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PENGARUH PERUBAHAN KASUS POSITIF COVID-19 DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM DI INDONESIA Santi Fitriani; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
Ultima Management : Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen Vol 14 No 2 (2022): Ultima Management : Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen
Publisher : Universitas Multimedia Nusantara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31937/manajemen.v14i2.2904

Abstract

Abstract- This study aims to analyze whether the Jakarta Composite Index is affected by changes in the positive cases of Covid-19 in Indonesia and the Rupiah against the US$. This research was motivated by the high number of positive cases of COVID-19 in Indonesia which affected economic activity in Indonesia. The sample in this study was determined using the purposive sampling method, so that a sample of 52 observations was obtained. The variables in this study were the weekly average data of the Composite Stock Index (IHSG) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Positive Cases of Covid-19 and the Rupiah against US$ which is for the period March 2, 2020 – March 7, 2021. This study uses secondary data in the form of time series measured using the multiple linear regression analysis method. The results of the study found that the Positive Case of Covid-19 had a significant negative effect on the JCI and the Rupiah on the US $ had a non-significant positive effect. Keywords: Composite Stock Price Index; COVID-19; US$; Share; Capital market
Analisis Peran Akumulasi Modal dalam Pertumbuhan Ekonomi: Faktor-Faktor Pendorong Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Herlina Reva Carita; Haura Khalisa Hakim; Raden Naufal Hilmi Saputra; Ni Komang Mia Fabiola; Izzan Shulhan Albar; Vanessa Azahra Rohman; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
Dharma Ekonomi Vol. 32 No. 1 (2025): DHARMA EKONOMI
Publisher : sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Dharmaputra Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59725/de.v32i1.230

Abstract

Economic growth is a complex process influenced by various factors, one of which is capital accumulation. Capital accumulation plays a crucial role in increasing production capacity, creating employment opportunities, and enhancing labor productivity. This study analyzes the role of capital accumulation in Indonesia’s economic growth by highlighting key factors contributing to national output expansion. Using the growth accounting approach and neoclassical growth theory, this research confirms that while capital accumulation contributes to per capita income growth, long-term economic growth remains dependent on efficient resource allocation and productivity improvements through innovation and human capital development. The Cobb-Douglas production model is applied to understand the relationship between capital, labor, and output in determining economic growth rates. The findings indicate that countries with higher savings and investment rates tend to experience faster economic growth. Therefore, economic policies focusing on increasing investment, strengthening human capital, and optimizing resource allocation are key factors in accelerating Indonesia’s economic growth.
Analisis Teknologi terhadap Perekonomian Nasional: Studi Kasus Kontribusi GoTo terhadap Pendapatan Indonesia Abiyyu Rahmatullah; Agus Rizki Pandapotan Siagian; Ahmad Devani Yuslah; Alfia Damar Yanti; Annisa, Fesya Diva; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
Dharma Ekonomi Vol. 32 No. 1 (2025): DHARMA EKONOMI
Publisher : sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Dharmaputra Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59725/de.v32i1.231

Abstract

The research analyzes the impact of technology on Indonesia's national economy, focusing on GoTo's contribution as a leading technology company. GoTo, born from the merger of Gojek and Tokopedia, has created an innovative business model that connects consumers and businesses through an efficient digital platform. Secondary data analysis from LPEM FEB UI (2023), Aji (2023), Jerry (2023) SMERU Research Institute (2022), and other relevant sources, shows that GoTo makes a significant contribution to Indonesia's GDP, estimated at Rp349 trillion to Rp428 trillion in 2022, equivalent to 1.8% to 2.2% of total GDP. In addition, GoTo has empowered MSMEs by increasing average incomes by 30% for those in its ecosystem, created approximately 1.7 million jobs, and contributed to reducing income inequality by lowering the Gini coefficient by 4.43% in its operating regions. The research also underscores the importance of GoTo in facilitating increased value addition and business efficiency. Nonetheless, challenges such as the digital divide and the need for increased digital literacy remain a concern. By optimally utilizing the potential of the digital ecosystem and addressing existing challenges, Indonesia can achieve sustainable, inclusive, and equitable economic growth through the strategic role of technology companies like GoTo.
Peran Sumber Daya Manusia, Pendidikan, dan Kebijakan Pemerintah dalam Meningkatkan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Devi Prameswati; Fikria Hanifa Nabiha; Flira Tri Octaviani; Puri, Gista Alfania; Kayla Aryani Putri Nugroho; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
Dharma Ekonomi Vol. 32 No. 1 (2025): DHARMA EKONOMI
Publisher : sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Dharmaputra Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59725/de.v32i1.232

Abstract

The study was conducted to analyze the relationship between the quality of human resources (HR) and economic growth in Indonesia which aims to determine the role of Human Resources, Education, and Government Policy in Indonesia's economic growth. By using descriptive qualitative research methods, data were collected through literature studies by collecting journals and articles spread across the Internet. The results of the study obtained were that 1) The Role of Human Resources in Economic Growth. 2) The Role of Education in Economic Growth. 3) The Role of Government Policy in Economic Growth. Based on the results of the study, it is expected that the government can continue to improve the quality of education and HR skills to improve the Indonesian economy.
Studi Pengaruh Kebijakan Bantuan Sosial Tunai Nasional terhadap Daya Beli di Kota Surabaya Naysilla Chairani; Nisrina Zasmin; Rahman Raisuli; Akhmad Rasyid Rosidi; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
Maeswara : Jurnal Riset Ilmu Manajemen dan Kewirausahaan Vol. 3 No. 3 (2025): JUNI : Maeswara : Jurnal Riset Ilmu Manajemen dan Kewirausahaan
Publisher : Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Manajemen Kewirausahaan dan Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61132/maeswara.v3i3.1830

Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of the National Cash Social Assistance (BST) policy on the purchasing power of communities in Surabaya. BST is a social protection program launched by the Indonesian government in response to the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The policy targets low-income and vulnerable groups through direct cash transfers, with the goal of maintaining basic consumption levels and preventing a sharp decline in household welfare. This research examines the extent to which the BST program has achieved its objectives, particularly in enhancing or sustaining the purchasing power of its beneficiaries in urban settings. The study employs an evaluative approach using a mixed-methods design, combining quantitative survey data with qualitative interviews involving aid recipients and local-level implementers. The findings indicate that the BST program had a positive short-term impact on household purchasing power, particularly in meeting essential needs such as food and utility expenses. However, several implementation challenges were also identified, including issues of inaccurate beneficiary targeting, delays in distribution, and the relatively small amount of assistance compared to actual household need. These results highlight that the effectiveness of social policy is not solely dependent on budget allocation but also on the precision of its implementation on the ground. Consequently, the study recommends improvements in beneficiary data updating, enhanced transparency in aid distribution, and the development of more adaptive program designs that reflect local socio-economic conditions. The findings are expected to serve as a valuable reference for policymakers in designing more efficient and sustainable social assistance programs in the future.
FLUKTUASI NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH & DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP IMPOR KEDELAI DARI AMERIKA SERIKAT KE INDONESIA PERIODE 2018 - 2024 Ratu Aribah Santika Xaviera; Aisyah Fahriza Anindita; Alfina Marta; Aradea Margareta; Rara Marcella; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
OIKOS: Jurnal Kajian Pendidikan Ekonomi dan Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 9 No 2 (2025): OIKOS: Jurnal Kajian Pendidikan Ekonomi dan Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Fakultas Keguruan Dan Ilmu Pendidikan Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the relationship between fluctuations in the rupiah exchange rate and the volume of soybean imports from the United States to Indonesia during the period 2018-2024. The data used includes the average exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar per year, the volume of soybean imports per year, as well as relevant macroeconomic factors such as global soybean prices, government import policies, and domestic demand. The analysis shows that the rupiah exchange rate experienced significant fluctuations during the period, especially in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic and in 2022 due to global economic instability. These fluctuations significantly affected the volume of soybean imports, where a weakening exchange rate tends to decrease the volume of imports due to increased import costs in rupiah terms. Descriptive statistics show that there is a negative correlation between the exchange rate and import volume, which is confirmed through linear regression analysis. The regression results show that the rupiah exchange rate has a significant effect on the volume of soybean imports from the United States. In addition, other variables such as world soybean prices, subsidy and import duty policies, and demand from the domestic industry also influence fluctuations in import volume. Thus, the stability of the rupiah exchange rate is a key factor in maintaining a smooth and adequate supply of imported soybeans, which is very important for the national food industry.
Analisis Edukatif Kebijakan Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia Berdasarkan Taylor Rule (2022–2023) Mutia Rafa Nursawitri; Nadia Sulistyaningsih; Miranda Herdia Nova; Miftahul Jannah; Khanaya Isyabrina Maryam; Gregorius Agung Steven Simanjuntak; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Vol. 6 No. 9 (2025): El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/elmal.v6i9.8466

Abstract

This study analyzes Bank Indonesia’s benchmark interest rate policy during the 2022–2023 period using the Taylor Rule approach, a simple formula that links interest rate settings with inflation conditions and the output gap. The research adopts a descriptive quantitative method. The purpose of this study is to provide a more comprehensive understanding for the general public regarding the fundamentals behind Bank Indonesia’s interest rate decisions. The data used were obtained from Bank Indonesia and Statistics Indonesia (Badan Pusat Statistik), including actual inflation and economic growth figures. The analysis results indicate that in several periods, Bank Indonesia’s decisions aligned with the Taylor Rule, particularly in the second half of 2022 when core inflation exceeded the central bank’s target. However, some deviations were observed, primarily due to external economic shocks and currency volatility considerations. The study concludes that although the Taylor Rule can serve as an initial guideline, Bank Indonesia must remain flexible in responding to economic challenges. This research is expected to enhance public understanding of how interest rate policies are formulated in Indonesia.
Analisis Manajemen Risiko pada Perusahaan Bank Shinhan Shakila Dian Nova; Muhammad Zhafran Syahputra; Agus Rizky Pandapotan Siagian; Alsheira Nasywa; Anggita Angraini; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
Al-Zayn: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Hukum & Politik Vol 4 No 1 (2026): 2026
Publisher : Yayasan pendidikan dzurriyatul Quran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61104/alz.v4i1.3069

Abstract

Industri perbankan memiliki peran penting dalam perekonomian, namun rentan terhadap risiko kredit, operasional, pasar, dan reputasi. Penelitian ini menganalisis manajemen risiko di Bank Shinhan Indonesia menggunakan pendekatan Enterprise Risk Management (ERM). Data primer diperoleh melalui wawancara dengan Operational Service Manager dan observasi langsung, sedangkan data sekunder berasal dari literatur, jurnal, dan laporan keuangan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan risiko utama mencakup risiko sumber daya manusia, operasional, dan eksternal, termasuk perubahan regulasi dan risiko siber Risiko dikategorikan menjadi tinggi, sedang, dan rendah, dengan fokus mitigasi pada risiko sedang dan tinggi melalui pelatihan staf, kepatuhan SOP, dual control, audit internal,dan penguatan sistem keamanan informasi. Penerapan manajemen risiko secara efektif membantu menjaga stabilitas operasional, kepercayaan nasabah, dan mendukung prinsip Good Corporate Governance
Identifikasi Risiko di Perusahaan Percetakan di Jakarta Selatan Cabang Kemang Pada Era Transformasi Digital: Sebuah Laporan Berdasarkan Hasil Wawancara Dengan Branch Manager Ari Tri Dianto; Catur Diah Ayu Putri Lestari; Deva Olivia; Devi Prameswati; Muhammad Leonardo; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
Al-Zayn: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Hukum & Politik Vol 4 No 1 (2026): 2026
Publisher : Yayasan pendidikan dzurriyatul Quran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61104/alz.v4i1.3127

Abstract

Industri percetakan di Indonesia mengalami transformasi mendasar akibat disrupsi digital, yang memperketat persaingan dan mengalihkan preferensi pelanggan menuju layanan yang lebih cepat, fleksibel, dan terintegrasi secara digital. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengidentifikasi, menilai, dan memetakan prioritas risiko yang dihadapi sebuah perusahaan percetakan tradisional di Jakarta Selatan dalam konteks perubahan teknologi, operasional, dan pasar. Metode penelitian menggunakan pendekatan triangulasi melalui wawancara semi-terstruktur dengan manajemen serta data sekunder dari sumber industri digital. Proses identifikasi menghasilkan 15 risiko pada kategori operasional, keuangan, teknologi, pasar, serta hukum lingkungan. Penilaian kualitatif dilakukan dengan Matriks Likelihood Impact berdasarkan kerangka Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) dan ISO 31000. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan tidak adanya risiko kategori High, dengan lima risiko kategori Medium yang mencakup gangguan produksi, komplain produk, keterlambatan pengiriman, penurunan permintaan cetak fisik, dan performa mesin, sementara sepuluh risiko lainnya berada pada kategori Low. Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa perusahaan beroperasi dalam lingkungan risiko yang saling terkait akibat penuaan peralatan, kesalahan operasional, fluktuasi harga, dan ancaman siber. Penelitian menyimpulkan bahwa mitigasi terarah melalui penyempurnaan SOP digital, pemantauan mesin berbasis IoT, peremajaan peralatan, serta pengembangan layanan branding end to end menjadi langkah penting untuk memperkuat ketahanan dan menjaga daya saing di era digital.
Analisis Manajemen Risiko Pada Usaha Food and Beverage (F&B) Berbasis Sosial: (Studi Kasus Pondasi Warga) Nazwa Silva Fauziah; Nindya Kirana Putri Sandy; Shabilla Risty Eka Putri; Tia Yuniarsih; Wahyuningsih; Garciano Bisuk Nathaniel Simanjuntak; Ahmad Setiawan Nuraya
Al-Zayn: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Hukum & Politik Vol 4 No 1 (2026): 2026
Publisher : Yayasan pendidikan dzurriyatul Quran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61104/alz.v4i1.3134

Abstract

Pertumbuhan pesat sektor Food and Beverage (F&B) di Indonesia, yang menyumbang lebih dari 36% terhadap PDB industri pengolahan nonmigas, mendorong munculnya model bisnis inovatif. Pondasi Warga hadir sebagai pelopor konsep “One Stop Breakfast” berbasis sosial dengan mengusung semangat “Warga Bantu Warga”. Meskipun memiliki potensi besar dalam pemberdayaan masyarakat, Pondasi Warga dihadapkan pada tantangan dan risiko bisnis yang kompleks, terutama seiring dengan perluasan operasional. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi, menganalisis, dan mengevaluasi jenis serta faktor penyebab risiko yang dihadapi, serta merumuskan strategi manajemen risiko yang efektif untuk menjaga keberlanjutan usaha. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah deskriptif kualitatif dengan pendekatan Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) berdasarkan kerangka COSO (Committee of Sponsoring Organizations). Data primer diperoleh melalui observasi langsung dan wawancara dengan manajemen Pondasi Warga, didukung data sekunder dari publikasi Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) terkait inflasi. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa Pondasi Warga menghadapi beberapa risiko utama pada level Tinggi (High Risk) di berbagai aspek, termasuk Risiko Operasional, Risiko Lingkungan, Risiko Keuangan, Risiko Pasar, dan Risiko Pemasaran. Untuk memitigasi risiko-risiko tersebut, direkomendasikan strategi proaktif, seperti menjalin kontrak jangka panjang dengan pemasok, menetapkan safety stock, membuat jadwal maintenance rutin dengan alokasi maintenance fund, serta menerapkan strategi pemasaran yang fleksibel (promo/bundling) sebagai respons terhadap perubahan kondisi ekonomi. Penerapan ERM secara terintegrasi ini diharapkan dapat memperkuat daya tahan (resilience) dan daya saing Pondasi Warga dalam jangka panjang.
Co-Authors Abiyyu Rahmatullah Adinda Rizka Febriyanti Adzra Andriana Agus Rizki Pandapotan Siagian Agus Rizky Pandapotan Siagian Ahmad Devani Yuslah Aisyah Fahriza Anindita Akhmad Rasyid Rosidi Alfia Damar Yanti Alfian Fadillah Alfina Marta Alkena Sae Hafizah Alsheira Nasywa Alvioli Putria Amelia Indah Putri Cahyani Anggita Angraini Anggun Mustika Anggraeni Annisa, Fesya Diva Aradea Margareta Ari Tri Dianto Aulia Biea Bellia Catur Diah Ayu Putri Lestari Deva Olivia Devi Prameswati Fikria Hanifa Nabiha Flira Tri Octaviani Garciano Bisuk Nathaniel Simanjuntak Gregorius Agung Steven Simanjuntak Haura Khalisa Hakim Herlina Reva Carita Izzan Shulhan Albar Kayla Aryani Putri Nugroho Khanaya Isyabrina Maryam Melliani Septiawati MIFTAHUL JANNAH Miranda Herdia Nova Muhammad AlZidan Herdiansyah Muhammad Ihsan Noviansyah Muhammad Leonardo Muhammad Zhafran Syahputra Mutia Rafa Nursawitri Nadia Sulistyaningsih Namira Farahdiva Naysilla Chairani Nazwa Silva Fauziah Ni Komang Mia Fabiola Nindya Kirana Putri Sandy Nisrina Zasmin Nugroho, Farhan Puri, Gista Alfania Raden Naufal Hilmi Saputra Rahman Raisuli Rara Marcella Ratu Aribah Santika Xaviera Rizki Khairani Hasibuan Saniyyah ‘Ulyaa Santi Fitriani Shabilla Risty Eka Putri Shakila Dian Nova Shandy Zahra Permadi Theresia Imelda Nelly Sianipar Tia Yuniarsih Vanessa Azahra Rohman Viona Priskila Naftali Manurung Wahyuningsih Zakia Zamielna Putri ⁠Valendra Desilva