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All Journal Jurnal Prima Edukasia Multidiciplinary Output Research for Actual and International Issue (Morfai Journal)
Tubagus Pamungkas
Universitas Riau Kepulauan
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Forecasting Batam City Secondary School Enrolments in 2035: Implementing Double Brown Exponential Smoothing Pamungkas, Tubagus; Prananto, Irfan Wahyu; Pohan, Albert Efendi; Abd. Ghani, Muhammad Faizal
Jurnal Prima Edukasia Vol. 13 No. 2 (2025): May 2025
Publisher : Asosiasi Dosen PGSD dan Dikdas Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21831/jpe.v13i2.84103

Abstract

Batam City, an industrial hub in the Riau Kepulauan Province, Indonesia, boasts a significant immigrant population and occupies a strategic position along international shipping routes, bordering other nations. The city experiences one of the fastest population growth rates in Indonesia, including a surge in student numbers. The current number of elementary school students and the number of junior high and high school students in the next few years play an important role  for sustainable development, aligning with the government's Golden Indonesia Vision 2045, which aims to cultivate a high-quality and productive generation. To support this initiative, accurate projections of student numbers, particularly in high schools, are essential. This study focuses on forecasting the number of senior secondary school students in Batam City for 2035. Utilizing data from the Batam City Statistics Agency spanning 2019 to 2022. To achieve the research goals, the authors employed the Smoothing Exponential Brown Parameter to project figures for 2023-2035. The optimal projection was achieved with α=0.99, estimating 29,988 high school students in Batam City by 2030 and 34,775 by 2035. The research findings indicate that the Batam City government is highly recommended to formulating the policies and planning to establish 18 new secondary schools, addressing potential shortages in classrooms and educational institutions. Additionally, the study urges the local government need to ensure the availability of 1,879 teachers of secondary school by 2035 in Batam City. These projections can assist the administration in effectively planning for educational resources to deliver quality education by 2025, contributing to the realization of the Golden Indonesia Vision 2045
ANALYSIS OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE EDUCATIONAL QUALITY ASSURANCE SYSTEM AT STATE VOCATIONAL SCHOOL 3 KEMARITIMAN BIAK NUMFOR Yoas Yafdas; Zulkifli; Tubagus Pamungkas
Multidiciplinary Output Research For Actual and International Issue (MORFAI) Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): Multidiciplinary Output Research For Actual and International Issue
Publisher : RADJA PUBLIKA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54443/morfai.v5i2.3894

Abstract

The quality management system is an approach in realizing a quality assurance program that is very important to be placed as scientific studies in the context of measuring and predicting the readiness of educational institutions. The purpose of this study is to determine the planning for implementing the SPMP implementation in order to improve the quality of schools at SMK Negeri 3 Kemaritiman Biak Numfor., Garut Regency. This research was conducted using a qualitative approach. The method used is descriptive analysis. Techniques and research instruments using observation, interviews and documentation. While the analysis technique is done through data reduction, data display and drawing conclusions. The results of the study indicate that quality planning is carried out in several steps, namely quality mapping through school self-evaluation (EDS) activities, which are followed by preparation of compliance plans, implementation of education quality, evaluation of education quality and standard setting so that it can describe school quality accurately. Implementation of education quality assurance that has been planned to fulfill eight National Education Standards.
Co-Authors Abd. Ghani, Muhammad Faizal Albert Efendi Pohan Irfan Wahyu Prananto Yoas Yafdas Zulkifli