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Implementation of forecasting methods to determine teaching and learning model policies during a pandemic in border areas Irfan Wahyu Prananto; Tubagus Pamungkas; Riyan Hidayat
Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Pendidikan Vol. 16 No. 1 (2023): January–June
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Pendidikan, Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21831/jpipfip.v16i1.52573

Abstract

Indonesia is an archipelagic country with more than seventeen thousand islands, both in the interior and border areas. The border area is directly or indirectly a barrier to other countries. The purpose of this study is to provide an overview for readers to conduct forecasting method research. This study aims to describe the profile of the spread of the virus and provide input on education policies in border areas for forecasting. This research may need to be more thematically up-to-date and slow in publication. Still, researchers believe this is useful for policymakers to determine policies from reading existing patterns using equations in forecasting methods. Especially in the era of disruption, which is full of uncertainty, knowledge like this is needed to make predictions. In this study, the characterization is divided into gender, age, occupation, and interaction. The results showed that the gender of COVID-19 patients in the border areas had the same proportion of both men and women, the age range of twenty to forty-eight years had a greater probability of being affected, employees/private sector were more dominant to be involved, groups and the most prevalent cause of transmission of COVID-19 is family interaction. In addition, using Brown's double smoothing exponential method shows that predictions for July, August, and November for suspects and patients with COVID-19 will increase. Thus, the recommendation from this research for the Education Office as a policy maker in border areas is that school learning activities should be postponed until conditions are feasible. Implementasi metode peramalan guna menentukan kebijakan model belajar mengajar saat pandemic di daerah perbatasanIndonesia merupakan negara kepulauan yang terdiri lebih dari tujuh belas ribu pulau, baik yang berada di pedalaman maupun di daerah perbatasan. Daerah perbatasan secara langsung atau tidak langsung menjadi pembatas dengan negara lain. Tujuan penelitian ini secara umum memberikan gambaran kepada para pembaca untuk melakukan sebuah penelitian metode peramalan. Secara kusus, dalam penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menggambarkan profil sebaran virus, dan memberikan masukan kebijakan pendidikan di daerah perbatasan atas peramalan yang dilakukan. Penelitian ini mungkin tidak up to date secara tema dan lambat dalam publikasi, namun peneliti berkeyakinan ini berguna bagi pengambil kebijakan untuk menentukan kebijakan dari membaca pola-pola yang ada menggunakan persamaan dalam metode peramalan. Apalagi di era disrupsi yang penuh dengan ketidak pastian, pengetahuan seperti ini sangat diperlukan untuk memprediksi. Dalam penelitian ini, karakterisasi dibagi menjadi empat yaitu jenis kelamin, usia, pekerjaan, dan interaksi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jenis kelamin pada pasien COVID-19 di daerah perbatasan memiliki proporsi yang sama baik laki-laki maupun perempuan, rentang usia dua puluh sampai empat puluh delapan tahun memiliki kemungkinan lebih besar untuk terkena, pegawai/swasta lebih dominan untuk terkena, kelompok lain dan juga penyebab paling dominan penularan COVID -19 adalah interaksi keluarga. Selain itu dengan menggunakan metode double smoothing exponential Brown menunjukkan bahwa prediksi Juli, Agustus hingga November kondisi suspek dan pasien COVID -19 akan naik. Dengan demikian, rekomendasi dari penelitian ini  untuk Dinas Pendidikan sebagai pengambil kebijakan di daerah perbatasan adalah kegiatan belajar di sekolah sebaiknya ditunda hingga keadaan sudah bisa dikatakan layak.
From Language Anxiety to Professional Excellence Among Indonesian Employees Alpino Susanto; Sri Langgeng Ratnasari; Albert Efendi Pohan; Tubagus Pamungkas; Linayati Lestari; Joy Early Wahyuni Simarmata
Vision: Journal for Language and Foreign Language Learning Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Walisongo Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21580/vjv14i227792

Abstract

Although the demand for English proficiency in the workplace is increasing, limited research has examined its effects on employees' self-efficacy and job performance. English skills are essential for communication, productivity, and career advancement, yet their Influence on workplace outcomes remains understudied. This study investigates the relationship between employees' English self-efficacy and their professional performance using a mixed-methods design. A closed-ended survey was administered to 32 employees across five companies, and additional qualitative insights were collected from three managerial leaders. Quantitative data were analyzed through statistical correlation, while qualitative data were examined using thematic analysis. Findings show a strong correlation (r = .57) between English self-efficacy and job performance, indicating that employees who feel confident in their English abilities tend to perform more effectively. Managers also emphasized that English proficiency is especially important for supervisory and managerial roles. The study concludes that higher English self-efficacy positively contributes to job performance. However, its scope is limited by a small sample drawn from an electronics manufacturing company and by feedback from only three managerial interviewees, reducing the generalizability of the findings. Future research should explore a broader range of international workplace contexts to better understand how learning communities and vocational training can strengthen employees' language skills and performance.