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All Journal Jurnal Ekonomi : Journal of Economic An-Nisbah: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah JURNAL LENTERA : Kajian Keagamaan, Keilmuan dan Teknologi Jurnal Ekonomi Islam Martabe : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat GERVASI: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Account : Jurnal Akuntansi, Keuangan dan Perbankan Journal of Economics and Business Aseanomics Soeropati: Journal of Community Service Jurnal Abdimas Ilmiah Citra Bakti (JAICB) Equalita: Jurnal Studi Gender dan Anak Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Pendidikan Jurnal Abdimas Bina Bangsa Rengganis Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Abdimas Kartika Wijayakusuma Unram Journal of Community Service (UJCS) Jurnal Ekonomika Dan Bisnis PREDIKSI : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan Prosiding University Research Colloquium International Journal of Economics (IJEC) International Journal of Community Service (IJCS) Dharma Pengabdian Perguruan Tinggi (DEPATI) Economics and Business Journal Jurnal Ekonomi Islam Indo-Fintech Intellectuals: Journal of Economics and Business Amal Ilmiah: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi Jurnal Kajian Islam dan Sosial Keagamaan Advances In Social Humanities Research El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam JURNAL RUMPUN MANAJEMEN DAN EKONOMI An-Nisbah: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Journal of Ekonomics, Finance, and Management Studies Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyaraka Pelita Nusantara Jurnal Abdimas Ilmiah Citra Bakti Al-Infaq : Jurnal Ekonomi Islam
Renny Oktafia, Renny
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Analysis of The Effect International Prices, Exchange Rates, Non-Tarif Measures, and Import Volume On The Export Value Of Indonesian Cloves (Hs:0907) To India Jonathan, Krisna Adi; Oktafia, Renny
Economics and Business Journal (ECBIS) Vol. 4 No. 3 (2026): March
Publisher : PT. Maju Malaqbi Makkarana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47353/ecbis.v4i3.304

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of international prices, the rupiah–rupee exchange rate, non-tariff measures, and India’s import volume on the export value of Indonesian cloves to India. The research utilizes secondary data for the period 2015–2024. The analytical method employed is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to examine both short-run and long-run relationships, complemented by stationarity tests, cointegration tests, ECM estimation, and diagnostic and stability tests. The results show that international prices have a positive and significant effect on Indonesia’s clove export value, consistent with export-supply theory which states that higher global prices increase export incentives. The rupiah–rupee exchange rate displays a positive but insignificant relationship, indicating that exchange rate volatility is not sufficiently strong to influence changes in export value. Non-tariff measures, including SPS and TBT standards, are found to have a significant effect, reflecting the role of regulations in increasing compliance costs while simultaneously enhancing Indian consumer confidence in the quality of Indonesian cloves. India’s import volume also has a significant influence, showing that India’s domestic demand remains a major driver of Indonesia’s export value during the study period. This study is expected to provide insights for policymakers and industry players in strengthening trade strategies, particularly in enhancing the competitiveness of Indonesian clove exports through quality improvements, exchange rate stability, and compliance with non-tariff standards.
Co-Authors Abdul Basith Agustina, Devi Alfiansyah, Calvin Amalia, Holisatul angella20, jemima20 Ardiwinata, Muhammad Everest Ary Fauziah Amini Ayu, Alnysa Purwita Aziz, Rizqi Nurul Afifa Bella, VIOLA Candraningtyas, Callista Vania Crisandy, Fabian Daniswara, Edo Dewi, Kharisma Tri Buana Dimas Nugroho Dwi Seputro Dyah Suryani Elisabeth Sirait, Petra Fadhilah, Rizky Ahmad Fadhlilhaq, Tsaqif Faiqotul Himmah Febrianti, Fina Fajar Fironika, Firda Cahaya Fransiska Ajustina Hafizhah, Aqilah Nur Isnaini Harisanti, Nur Nadila Hartanti, Wulan Siska Dwi Ilma, Adam Zidni Imron Mawardi Indiati, Pingkan Syabila Tri Jonathan, Krisna Adi Khairunisa, Siti Kholifah, Ananda Nur Kusuma, Shania Pradyptha Laily Nisa, Fauzatul Laily, Fauzatul Latifah, Mutiata M. Taufiq M. Taufiq Majid, Alfi Aulia Mantika, Tri Yuni Marseto Marseto, Marseto Maulidyah, Syafrida Mentari Clara Dewanti Mufajar, Aniswatin Putri Muhammad Ilham Naufal Muhammad Yani, Muhammad Nahdah, Adiibah Afifah Nisa, Fauzatul Laily Nur Hidayat, Yogi Pandiangan, Jeniper Indah Permatasari, Siviana Pratama, Mohammad Adi Puspitasari, Ana Widya Puspito, Galuh Retno Puteri, Natasha Arvanessa Putri Isnaeni, Widya Okta Putri, Rosalyta Rifany Rachmaniyah, Bunga Ayufi Ramadhanty, Nila Safira Reihan, Mohammad Ristiyono, Adinda Dwi Salsabila, Alifah Naurah Sandi, Pramu Mai Santosa, Agus Budhi Saputri, Nanda Vernia Adji Setiawan, Mohammad Irvan Sinaga, Debora Theresia Wulan Situmorang, Febrina Syarif, Muhammad Zulfan Taher, Lisanur Kholifah Tania P.F, Fredella Taufiq, M. Ahmad Wati, Ika Murni Wulandari, Annisa Dwi Wulansari, Suci Diana Yundari, Yundari Zahroh, Fitriana Zebua, Michael